Projections par circonscription — Ontario

Mise à jour : 29 avril 2026

Circonscription	Parti actuel	Projection
Ajax Robert Cerjanec	L	PLO probable
Algoma—Manitoulin Bill Rosenberg	PC	PPCO probable
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Michael Parsa	PC	PPCO probable
Barrie—Innisfil Andrea Khanjin	PC	PPCO probable
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Doug Downey	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Bay of Quinte Tyler Allsopp	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Beaches—East York Mary-Margaret Mcmahon	L	PLO solide
Brampton Centre Charmaine Williams	PC	PPCO enclin
Brampton East Hardeep Grewal	PC	PPCO probable
Brampton North Graham Mcgregor	PC	PPCO probable
Brampton South Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria	PC	PPCO probable
Brampton West Amarjot Sandhu	PC	PPCO probable
Brantford—Brant Will Bouma	PC	PPCO solide
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Paul Vickers	PC	PPCO enclin
Burlington Natalie Pierre	PC	PLO probable
Cambridge Brian Riddell	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Carleton George Darouze	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Chatham-Kent—Leamington Trevor Jones	PC	PPCO solide
Davenport Marit Stiles	N	NPD solide
Don Valley East Adil Shamji	L	PLO solide
Don Valley North Jonathan Tsao	L	PLO probable
Don Valley West Stephanie Bowman	L	PLO solide
Dufferin—Caledon Sylvia Jones	PC	PPCO probable
Durham Todd Mccarthy	PC	PPCO probable
Eglinton—Lawrence Michelle Cooper	PC	PLO enclin
Elgin—Middlesex—London Rob Flack	PC	PPCO solide
Essex Anthony Leardi	PC	PPCO solide
Etobicoke Centre Kinga Surma	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Etobicoke North Doug Ford	PC	PPCO solide
Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lee Fairclough	L	PLO probable
Flamborough—Glanbrook Donna Skelly	PC	PPCO enclin
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Stéphane Sarrazin	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Guelph Mike Schreiner	V	PVO solide
Haldimand—Norfolk Bobbi Ann Brady	I	IND solide
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Laurie Scott	PC	PPCO solide
Hamilton Centre Robin Lennox	N	NPD solide
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Neil Lumsden	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Hamilton Mountain Monica Ciriello	PC	PLO enclin
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Sandy Shaw	N	NPD probable
Hastings—Lennox and Addington Ric Bresee	PC	PPCO enclin
Humber River—Black Creek Tom Rakocevic	N	Pivot PLO/PC/NPD
Huron—Bruce Lisa Thompson	PC	PPCO probable
Kanata—Carleton Karen Mccrimmon	L	PLO probable
Kenora—Rainy River Greg Rickford	PC	PPCO solide
Kiiwetinoong Sol Mamakwa	N	NPD solide
Kingston and the Islands Ted Hsu	L	PLO solide
King—Vaughan Stephen Lecce	PC	PPCO solide
Kitchener Centre Aislinn Clancy	V	PVO solide
Kitchener South—Hespeler Jess Dixon	PC	PPCO probable
Kitchener—Conestoga Mike Harris	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Stephen Pinsonneault	PC	PPCO probable
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston John Jordan	PC	PPCO enclin
Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes Steve Clark	PC	PPCO probable
London North Centre Terence Kernaghan	N	NPD solide
London West Peggy Sattler	N	NPD solide
London—Fanshawe Teresa Armstrong	N	NPD solide
Markham—Stouffville Paul Calandra	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Markham—Thornhill Logan Kanapathi	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Markham—Unionville Billy Pang	PC	PPCO probable
Milton Zee Hamid	PC	PLO enclin
Mississauga Centre Natalia Kusendova	PC	PLO enclin
Mississauga East—Cooksville Silvia Gualtieri	PC	PLO enclin
Mississauga—Erin Mills Sheref Sabawy	PC	PLO probable
Mississauga—Lakeshore Rudy Cuzzetto	PC	PLO enclin
Mississauga—Malton Deepak Anand	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Mississauga—Streetsville Nina Tangri	PC	PLO enclin
Mushkegowuk—James Bay Guy Bourgouin	N	NPD enclin
Nepean Tyler Watt	L	PLO solide
Newmarket—Aurora Dawn Gallagher Murphy	PC	PLO enclin
Niagara Centre Jeff Burch	N	NPD probable
Niagara Falls Wayne J. Gates	N	NPD solide
Niagara West Sam Oosterhoff	PC	PPCO probable
Nickel Belt France Gélinas	N	NPD solide
Nipissing Vic Fedeli	PC	PPCO solide
Northumberland—Peterborough South David Piccini	PC	PPCO enclin
Oakville Stephen Crawford	PC	PLO enclin
Oakville North—Burlington Effie Triantafilopoulos	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Orléans Stephen Blais	L	PLO solide
Oshawa Jennifer French	N	NPD probable
Ottawa Centre Catherine Mckenney	N	NPD solide
Ottawa South John Fraser	L	PLO solide
Ottawa West—Nepean Chandra Pasma	N	NPD solide
Ottawa—Vanier Lucille Collard	L	PLO solide
Oxford Ernie Hardeman	PC	PPCO solide
Parkdale—High Park Alexa Gilmour	N	NPD probable
Parry Sound—Muskoka Graydon Smith	PC	Pivot PC/PVO
Perth—Wellington Matthew Rae	PC	PPCO probable
Peterborough—Kawartha Dave Smith	PC	PLO enclin
Pickering—Uxbridge Peter Bethlenfalvy	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Billy Denault	PC	PPCO solide
Richmond Hill Daisy Wai	PC	PPCO probable
Sarnia—Lambton Bob Bailey	PC	PPCO solide
Sault Ste. Marie Chris Scott [Élu avec le PC]	I	Pivot PC/NPD
Scarborough Centre David Smith	PC	PLO enclin
Scarborough North Raymond Cho	PC	PPCO probable
Scarborough Southwest Doly Begum	N	NPD probable
Scarborough—Agincourt Aris Babikian	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Scarborough—Guildwood Andrea Hazell	L	PLO probable
Scarborough—Rouge Park Vijay Thanigasalam	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Simcoe North Jill Dunlop	PC	PPCO probable
Simcoe—Grey Brian Saunderson	PC	PPCO probable
Spadina—Fort York Chris Glover	N	NPD probable
St. Catharines Jennie Stevens	N	NPD probable
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Nolan Quinn	PC	PPCO solide
Sudbury Jamie West	N	NPD probable
Thornhill Laura Smith	PC	PPCO solide
Thunder Bay—Atikokan Kevin Holland	PC	PPCO probable
Thunder Bay—Superior North Lise Vaugeois	N	NPD probable
Timiskaming—Cochrane John Vanthof	N	NPD probable
Timmins George Pirie	PC	PPCO solide
Toronto Centre Kristyn Wong-Tam	N	NPD enclin
Toronto—Danforth Peter Tabuns	N	NPD solide
Toronto—St. Paul’s Stephanie Smyth	L	PLO probable
University—Rosedale Jessica Bell	N	NPD probable
Vaughan—Woodbridge Michael Tibollo	PC	PPCO solide
Waterloo Catherine Fife	N	NPD solide
Wellington—Halton Hills Joseph Racinsky	PC	PPCO probable
Whitby Lorne Coe	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Willowdale Stan Cho	PC	PLO enclin
Windsor West Lisa Gretzky	N	NPD solide
Windsor—Tecumseh Andrew Dowie	PC	PPCO probable
York Centre Michael Kerzner	PC	PPCO probable
York South—Weston Mohamed Firin	PC	PLO enclin
York—Simcoe Caroline Mulroney	PC	PPCO solide