Projections par circonscription — Ontario

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Circonscription	Parti actuel	Projection
Ajax Robert Cerjanec	L	Pivot PLO/PC
Algoma—Manitoulin Bill Rosenberg	PC	PPCO probable
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Michael Parsa	PC	PPCO solide
Barrie—Innisfil Andrea Khanjin	PC	PPCO solide
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Doug Downey	PC	PPCO probable
Bay of Quinte Tyler Allsopp	PC	PPCO probable
Beaches—East York Mary-Margaret Mcmahon	L	PLO solide
Brampton Centre Charmaine Williams	PC	PPCO probable
Brampton East Hardeep Grewal	PC	PPCO solide
Brampton North Graham Mcgregor	PC	PPCO solide
Brampton South Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria	PC	PPCO solide
Brampton West Amarjot Sandhu	PC	PPCO solide
Brantford—Brant Will Bouma	PC	PPCO solide
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Paul Vickers	PC	PPCO probable
Burlington Natalie Pierre	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Cambridge Brian Riddell	PC	PPCO probable
Carleton George Darouze	PC	PPCO probable
Chatham-Kent—Leamington Trevor Jones	PC	PPCO solide
Davenport Marit Stiles	N	NPD solide
Don Valley East Adil Shamji	L	PLO probable
Don Valley North Jonathan Tsao	L	Pivot PLO/PC
Don Valley West Stephanie Bowman	L	PLO probable
Dufferin—Caledon Sylvia Jones	PC	PPCO solide
Durham Todd Mccarthy	PC	PPCO solide
Eglinton—Lawrence Michelle Cooper	PC	PPCO enclin
Elgin—Middlesex—London Rob Flack	PC	PPCO solide
Essex Anthony Leardi	PC	PPCO solide
Etobicoke Centre Kinga Surma	PC	PPCO probable
Etobicoke North Doug Ford	PC	PPCO solide
Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lee Fairclough	L	PLO enclin
Flamborough—Glanbrook Donna Skelly	PC	PPCO solide
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Stéphane Sarrazin	PC	PPCO probable
Guelph Mike Schreiner	V	PVO solide
Haldimand—Norfolk Bobbi Ann Brady	I	IND solide
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Laurie Scott	PC	PPCO solide
Hamilton Centre Robin Lennox	N	NPD solide
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Neil Lumsden	PC	PPCO probable
Hamilton Mountain Monica Ciriello	PC	PPCO probable
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Sandy Shaw	N	NPD enclin
Hastings—Lennox and Addington Ric Bresee	PC	PPCO solide
Humber River—Black Creek Tom Rakocevic	N	Pivot PC/NPD
Huron—Bruce Lisa Thompson	PC	PPCO solide
Kanata—Carleton Karen Mccrimmon	L	PLO enclin
Kenora—Rainy River Greg Rickford	PC	PPCO solide
Kiiwetinoong Sol Mamakwa	N	NPD probable
Kingston and the Islands Ted Hsu	L	PLO solide
King—Vaughan Stephen Lecce	PC	PPCO solide
Kitchener Centre Aislinn Clancy	V	PVO solide
Kitchener South—Hespeler Jess Dixon	PC	PPCO solide
Kitchener—Conestoga Mike Harris	PC	PPCO probable
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Stephen Pinsonneault	PC	PPCO solide
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston John Jordan	PC	PPCO solide
Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes Steve Clark	PC	PPCO solide
London North Centre Terence Kernaghan	N	NPD probable
London West Peggy Sattler	N	NPD probable
London—Fanshawe Teresa Armstrong	N	NPD probable
Markham—Stouffville Paul Calandra	PC	PPCO probable
Markham—Thornhill Logan Kanapathi	PC	PPCO probable
Markham—Unionville Billy Pang	PC	PPCO solide
Milton Zee Hamid	PC	PPCO probable
Mississauga Centre Natalia Kusendova	PC	PPCO probable
Mississauga East—Cooksville Silvia Gualtieri	PC	PPCO enclin
Mississauga—Erin Mills Sheref Sabawy	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
Mississauga—Lakeshore Rudy Cuzzetto	PC	PPCO enclin
Mississauga—Malton Deepak Anand	PC	PPCO probable
Mississauga—Streetsville Nina Tangri	PC	PPCO enclin
Mushkegowuk—James Bay Guy Bourgouin	N	Pivot PC/NPD
Nepean Tyler Watt	L	PLO enclin
Newmarket—Aurora Dawn Gallagher Murphy	PC	PPCO probable
Niagara Centre Jeff Burch	N	NPD enclin
Niagara Falls Wayne J. Gates	N	NPD solide
Niagara West Sam Oosterhoff	PC	PPCO solide
Nickel Belt France Gélinas	N	NPD probable
Nipissing Vic Fedeli	PC	PPCO solide
Northumberland—Peterborough South David Piccini	PC	PPCO solide
Oakville Stephen Crawford	PC	PPCO enclin
Oakville North—Burlington Effie Triantafilopoulos	PC	PPCO probable
Orléans Stephen Blais	L	PLO probable
Oshawa Jennifer French	N	NPD enclin
Ottawa Centre Catherine Mckenney	N	NPD solide
Ottawa South John Fraser	L	PLO solide
Ottawa West—Nepean Chandra Pasma	N	NPD solide
Ottawa—Vanier Lucille Collard	L	PLO solide
Oxford Ernie Hardeman	PC	PPCO solide
Parkdale—High Park Alexa Gilmour	N	NPD solide
Parry Sound—Muskoka Graydon Smith	PC	PPCO enclin
Perth—Wellington Matthew Rae	PC	PPCO solide
Peterborough—Kawartha Dave Smith	PC	PPCO enclin
Pickering—Uxbridge Peter Bethlenfalvy	PC	PPCO probable
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Billy Denault	PC	PPCO solide
Richmond Hill Daisy Wai	PC	PPCO solide
Sarnia—Lambton Bob Bailey	PC	PPCO solide
Sault Ste. Marie Chris Scott [Élu avec le PC]	I	Pivot PC/NPD
Scarborough Centre David Smith	PC	PPCO enclin
Scarborough North Raymond Cho	PC	PPCO probable
Scarborough Southwest Doly Begum	N	NPD probable
Scarborough—Agincourt Aris Babikian	PC	PPCO probable
Scarborough—Guildwood Andrea Hazell	L	PLO probable
Scarborough—Rouge Park Vijay Thanigasalam	PC	PPCO probable
Simcoe North Jill Dunlop	PC	PPCO solide
Simcoe—Grey Brian Saunderson	PC	PPCO solide
Spadina—Fort York Chris Glover	N	NPD probable
St. Catharines Jennie Stevens	N	NPD probable
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Nolan Quinn	PC	PPCO solide
Sudbury Jamie West	N	NPD probable
Thornhill Laura Smith	PC	PPCO solide
Thunder Bay—Atikokan Kevin Holland	PC	PPCO solide
Thunder Bay—Superior North Lise Vaugeois	N	NPD probable
Timiskaming—Cochrane John Vanthof	N	NPD enclin
Timmins George Pirie	PC	PPCO solide
Toronto Centre Kristyn Wong-Tam	N	NPD probable
Toronto—Danforth Peter Tabuns	N	NPD solide
Toronto—St. Paul’s Stephanie Smyth	L	PLO probable
University—Rosedale Jessica Bell	N	NPD solide
Vaughan—Woodbridge Michael Tibollo	PC	PPCO solide
Waterloo Catherine Fife	N	NPD solide
Wellington—Halton Hills Joseph Racinsky	PC	PPCO solide
Whitby Lorne Coe	PC	PPCO probable
Willowdale Stan Cho	PC	PPCO enclin
Windsor West Lisa Gretzky	N	NPD probable
Windsor—Tecumseh Andrew Dowie	PC	PPCO solide
York Centre Michael Kerzner	PC	PPCO solide
York South—Weston Mohamed Firin	PC	Pivot PLO/PC
York—Simcoe Caroline Mulroney	PC	PPCO solide