Ontario

Historique récent | Dufferin—Caledon


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 54% ± 9% 53,1% 49,7% 52,2% PLO 24% ± 7% 12,5% 18,8% 25,2% PVO 12% ± 5% 12,5% 14,1% 12,3% NPD 6% ± 3% 20,3% 10,8% 6,4% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 5,0% 2,2% IND 1% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,8%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Dufferin—Caledon

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Dufferin—Caledon 45% 63% 54% ± 9% PC 17% 32% 24% ± 7% PLO 6% 17% 12% ± 5% PVO 3% 9% 6% ± 3% NPD PC 2025 52,18% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Dufferin—Caledon >99% PC <1% PLO <1% PVO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Dufferin—Caledon

PLO 24% ± 7% PC 54% ± 9% NPD 6% ± 3% PVO 12% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Dufferin—Caledon 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 49% PLO 21% PVO 15% NPD 10% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 50% PLO 21% PVO 15% NPD 10% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 53% PLO 20% PVO 14% NPD 10% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 53% PLO 20% PVO 14% NPD 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 53% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 10% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 53% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 9% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 53% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 9% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 54% PLO 20% PVO 14% NPD 9% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 53% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 9% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 53% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 9% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 53% PLO 20% PVO 14% NPD 9% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 53% PLO 20% PVO 14% NPD 9% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 53% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 9% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 53% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 53% PLO 22% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 53% PLO 22% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 54% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 55% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 55% PLO 21% PVO 14% NPD 8% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 52% PLO 25% PVO 12% NPD 6% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 52% PLO 25% PVO 12% NPD 6% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 52% PLO 25% PVO 12% NPD 6% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 53% PLO 25% PVO 12% NPD 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 57% PLO 24% PVO 11% NPD 5% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 56% PLO 24% PVO 11% NPD 5% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 56% PLO 24% PVO 12% NPD 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 12% NPD 6% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 12% NPD 6% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 12% NPD 6% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Dufferin—Caledon

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18