Ontario

Historique récent | Thunder Bay—Superior North


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 43% ± 11% 37,1% 34,1% 40,9% PC 34% ± 10% 18,0% 30,9% 33,8% PLO 20% ± 8% 39,9% 28,3% 21,2% PVO 1% ± 2% 2,8% 3,0% 1,6% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 1,3% 1,0% IND 0% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,3%

Infolettre Qc125

Chargement…


Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Thunder Bay—Superior North

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Thunder Bay—Superior North 32% 54% 43% ± 11% NPD 24% 43% 34% ± 10% PC 12% 27% 20% ± 8% PLO NPD 2025 40,91% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Thunder Bay—Superior North 92%▲ NPD 8%▼ PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Thunder Bay—Superior North

PLO 20% ± 8% PC 34% ± 10% NPD 43% ± 11% Projection du vote % | Thunder Bay—Superior North 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 35% PC 31% NPD 27% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 35% PC 32% NPD 27% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 34% PLO 34% NPD 27% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 34% PLO 31% NPD 31% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 33% PLO 31% NPD 31% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 33% PLO 32% NPD 29% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 33% PLO 32% NPD 29% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 34% PLO 31% NPD 29% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 34% PLO 31% NPD 29% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 34% PLO 31% NPD 29% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 34% PLO 31% NPD 30% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 34% PLO 31% NPD 30% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 34% PLO 32% NPD 29% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 34% PLO 32% NPD 28% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 34% PLO 32% NPD 28% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 34% PLO 32% NPD 28% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 33% PLO 32% NPD 29% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 33% PLO 32% NPD 29% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 33% PC 32% NPD 30% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 33% PC 32% NPD 30% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 33% PLO 33% NPD 29% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 33% NPD 31% PLO 30% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 33% NPD 32% PLO 30% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 33% NPD 32% PLO 30% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 33% NPD 32% PLO 30% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 33% NPD 32% PLO 30% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 33% NPD 32% PLO 30% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 33% NPD 32% PLO 30% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 33% NPD 31% PLO 30% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 41% PC 34% PLO 21% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 40% PC 34% PLO 21% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 40% PC 34% PLO 21% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 40% PC 35% PLO 21% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 39% NPD 36% PLO 21% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 38% NPD 37% PLO 21% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 40% PC 36% PLO 20% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 43% PC 34% PLO 19% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 43% PC 34% PLO 20% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 43% PC 34% PLO 20% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Thunder Bay—Superior North

PLO <1% PC 8% NPD 92% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 68% PC 26% NPD 6% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 66% PC 28% NPD 6% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 50% PLO 46% NPD 4% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 55% PLO 22% NPD 22% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 50% PLO 27% NPD 24% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 53% PLO 32% NPD 15% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 54% PLO 32% NPD 15% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 62% PLO 26% NPD 13% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 60% PLO 27% NPD 13% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 56% PLO 29% NPD 15% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 59% PLO 21% NPD 20% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 59% PLO 25% NPD 16% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 59% PLO 30% NPD 11% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 59% PLO 33% NPD 8% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 59% PLO 33% NPD 8% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 59% PLO 34% NPD 7% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 50% PLO 36% NPD 14% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 50% PLO 37% NPD 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 46% PC 37% NPD 17% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 45% PC 39% NPD 16% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 46% PLO 40% NPD 14% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 52% NPD 28% PLO 20% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 44% NPD 36% PLO 20% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 44% NPD 37% PLO 19% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 44% NPD 37% PLO 18% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 45% NPD 37% PLO 18% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 44% NPD 38% PLO 17% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 52% NPD 30% PLO 17% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 51% NPD 30% PLO 19% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 94% PC 6% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 84% PC 16% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 83% PC 17% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 77% PC 23% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 69% NPD 31% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 54% NPD 46% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 72% PC 28% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 90% PC 10% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 91% PC 9% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 92% PC 8% PLO <1% 2026-02-18