Ontario

Historique récent | York South—Weston


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 37% ± 9% 33,0% 36,6% 35,2% PLO 34% ± 9% 27,8% 24,2% 34,7% NPD 25% ± 8% 36,1% 34,0% 25,6% PVO 3% ± 2% 2,5% 2,5% 2,7% PNBO 1% ± 2% 0,0% 1,1% 1,2% IND 1% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,7%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 York South—Weston

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

York South—Weston 27% 46% 37% ± 9% PC 24% 43% 34% ± 9% PLO 16% 33% 25% ± 8% NPD PC 2025 35,15% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% York South—Weston 69%▼ PC 31%▲ PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | York South—Weston

PLO 34% ± 9% PC 37% ± 9% NPD 25% ± 8% Projection du vote % | York South—Weston 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 40% NPD 29% PLO 26% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 40% NPD 28% PLO 26% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 42% NPD 28% PLO 25% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 43% NPD 28% PLO 25% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 42% NPD 28% PLO 26% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 43% PLO 27% NPD 26% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 43% PLO 27% NPD 26% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 44% PLO 26% NPD 26% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 44% PLO 26% NPD 26% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 43% PLO 26% NPD 26% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 43% NPD 27% PLO 26% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 43% NPD 26% PLO 26% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 44% PLO 27% NPD 25% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 44% PLO 27% NPD 24% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 44% PLO 27% NPD 24% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 45% PLO 28% NPD 24% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 45% PLO 28% NPD 23% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 45% PLO 28% NPD 23% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 44% PLO 28% NPD 24% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 44% PLO 28% NPD 24% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 45% PLO 28% NPD 23% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 45% PLO 28% NPD 23% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 45% PLO 28% NPD 23% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 45% PLO 28% NPD 24% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 41% PLO 28% NPD 27% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 41% PLO 28% NPD 27% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 41% PLO 28% NPD 27% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 41% PLO 28% NPD 27% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 41% PLO 28% NPD 27% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 35% PLO 35% NPD 26% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 35% PLO 35% NPD 25% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 35% PLO 35% NPD 25% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 36% PLO 34% NPD 25% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 40% PLO 34% NPD 21% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 40% PLO 35% NPD 21% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 39% PLO 34% NPD 23% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 37% PLO 34% NPD 25% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 37% PLO 34% NPD 25% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 37% PLO 34% NPD 25% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | York South—Weston

PLO 31% PC 69% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 97% NPD 2% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 98% NPD 1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 54% PLO 46% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 56% PLO 44% NPD 1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 54% PLO 45% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 61% PLO 39% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 84% PLO 16% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 81% PLO 19% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 81% PLO 19% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 74% PLO 26% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 71% PLO 29% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 69% PLO 31% NPD <1% 2026-02-18