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Nickel Belt


Député(e) : Gélinas, France (NPD)

Dernière mise à jour : 12 novembre 2024
NPD probable
Nickel Belt 42% ± 10% NPD 32% ± 9% PPCO 16% ± 6% PLO 4% ± 3%▼ PVO 4% ± 3% PNBO NPD 2022 50,8% Projection du vote | 12 novembre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Nickel Belt 94%▼ NPD 6%▲ PPCO <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 12 novembre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Nickel Belt

PLO 16% ± 6% PPCO 32% ± 9% NPD 42% ± 10% PVO 4% ± 3% PNBO 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Nickel Belt 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO PNBO 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 47% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 48% PPCO 23% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 47% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 47% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 47% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 47% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 47% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 47% PPCO 24% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 47% PPCO 23% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 47% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 46% PPCO 24% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 46% PPCO 25% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 48% PPCO 26% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 48% PPCO 26% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 48% PPCO 25% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 46% PPCO 25% PLO 21% PVO 6% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 50% PPCO 25% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 49% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 49% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 8% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 49% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 49% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 49% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 49% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 48% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 48% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 48% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 47% PPCO 25% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 47% PPCO 25% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 48% PPCO 25% PLO 15% PVO 8% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 48% PPCO 25% PLO 15% PVO 8% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 48% PPCO 26% PLO 14% PVO 8% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD 51% PPCO 30% PLO 10% PVO 3% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD 51% PPCO 29% PLO 10% PVO 3% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD 49% PPCO 30% PLO 11% PVO 4% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD 48% PPCO 30% PLO 11% PVO 4% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD 49% PPCO 30% PLO 11% PVO 3% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD 49% PPCO 30% PLO 10% PVO 3% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD 52% PPCO 27% PLO 10% PVO 5% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD 52% PPCO 27% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD 51% PPCO 28% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD 51% PPCO 28% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD 52% PPCO 26% PLO 11% PVO 4% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD 52% PPCO 27% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD 51% PPCO 30% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD 51% PPCO 29% PLO 11% PVO 4% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD 51% PPCO 29% PLO 11% PVO 4% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 41% PPCO 26% PLO 24% PVO 4% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 NPD 39% PPCO 28% PLO 23% PVO 4% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 41% PPCO 28% PLO 22% PVO 4% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 NPD 43% PPCO 31% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 NPD 43% PPCO 31% PLO 15% PVO 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 NPD 41% PPCO 33% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 NPD 42% PPCO 32% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 NPD 42% PPCO 32% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2024-11-11

Probabilités de victoire | Nickel Belt

PLO <1% PPCO 6% NPD 94% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD >99% PVO <1% PPCO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD >99% PVO <1% PPCO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD >99% PVO <1% PPCO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD >99% PVO <1% PPCO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD >99% PVO <1% PPCO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD >99% PVO <1% PPCO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD >99% PVO <1% PPCO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD >99% PVO <1% PPCO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD >99% PVO <1% PPCO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 99% PPCO <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 NPD 97% PPCO 2% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 NPD 97% PPCO 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 NPD 95% PPCO 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 NPD 94% PPCO 6% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-11-11

Historique récent | Nickel Belt



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NPD 62,6% 63,5% 50,8% 42% ± 10% PPCO 11,9% 22,0% 29,9% 32% ± 9% PLO 21,9% 8,7% 9,9% 16% ± 6% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 4,9% 4% ± 3% PVO 3,6% 3,1% 3,0% 4% ± 3% PON 0,0% 0,0% 1,5% 1% ± 2%