Ontario

Historique récent | Nickel Belt


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 50% ± 10% 63,5% 50,8% 48,4% PC 35% ± 9% 22,0% 29,9% 35,7% PLO 10% ± 5% 8,7% 9,9% 10,9% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 4,9% 1,9% PVO 2% ± 2% 3,1% 3,0% 1,8%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Nickel Belt

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Nickel Belt 40% 61% 50% ± 10% NPD 26% 44% 35% ± 9% PC 5% 15% 10% ± 5% PLO NPD 2025 48,37% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Nickel Belt 99% NPD 1% PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Nickel Belt

PLO 10% ± 5% PC 35% ± 9% NPD 50% ± 10% Projection du vote % | Nickel Belt 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 45% PC 34% PLO 12% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 45% PC 34% PLO 12% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 44% PC 37% PLO 12% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 44% PC 37% PLO 12% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 44% PC 36% PLO 12% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 43% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 43% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 13% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 43% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 44% PC 37% PLO 12% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 43% PC 37% PLO 12% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 42% PC 38% PLO 13% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD 41% PC 38% PLO 13% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD 41% PC 38% PLO 13% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 41% PC 38% PLO 13% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 41% PC 38% PLO 13% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 41% PC 38% PLO 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 42% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 42% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 41% PC 38% PLO 13% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 42% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 42% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 42% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 42% PC 36% PLO 13% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 42% PC 36% PLO 13% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 42% PC 36% PLO 13% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 42% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 41% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 48% PC 36% PLO 11% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 48% PC 36% PLO 11% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 48% PC 36% PLO 11% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 47% PC 37% PLO 11% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 43% PC 41% PLO 11% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 44% PC 40% PLO 11% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 47% PC 38% PLO 10% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 50% PC 36% PLO 10% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 50% PC 35% PLO 10% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 50% PC 35% PLO 10% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Nickel Belt

PLO <1% PC 1% NPD 99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 96% PC 4% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 95% PC 5% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 87% PC 13% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 87% PC 13% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 90% PC 10% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 83% PC 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 82% PC 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 77% PC 23% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 79% PC 21% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 82% PC 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 85% PC 15% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 80% PC 20% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 76% PC 24% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD 69% PC 31% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD 70% PC 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 68% PC 32% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 67% PC 33% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 67% PC 33% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 77% PC 23% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 75% PC 25% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 69% PC 31% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 79% PC 21% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 81% PC 19% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 82% PC 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 83% PC 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 82% PC 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 83% PC 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 76% PC 24% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 74% PC 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 96% PC 4% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 96% PC 4% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 94% PC 6% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 57% PC 43% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 73% PC 27% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 91% PC 9% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 98% PC 2% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 99% PC 1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 99% PC 1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18