Ontario

Historique récent | Kitchener South—Hespeler


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 47% ± 9% 38,9% 40,0% 45,4% PLO 25% ± 8% 14,9% 16,5% 25,7% NPD 17% ± 7% 37,1% 26,5% 17,9% PVO 8% ± 5% 7,5% 11,2% 8,8% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 4,2% 2,2%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Kitchener South—Hespeler

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Kitchener South—Hespeler 38% 57% 47% ± 9% PC 17% 33% 25% ± 8% PLO 11% 24% 17% ± 7% NPD 4% 13% 8% ± 5% PVO PC 2025 45,42% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Kitchener South—Hespeler >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Kitchener South—Hespeler

PLO 25% ± 8% PC 47% ± 9% NPD 17% ± 7% PVO 8% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Kitchener South—Hespeler 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 40% NPD 22% PLO 19% PVO 15% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 41% NPD 21% PLO 19% PVO 16% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 43% NPD 21% PLO 19% PVO 15% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 44% NPD 21% PLO 19% PVO 15% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 43% NPD 21% PLO 19% PVO 14% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 44% PLO 20% NPD 20% PVO 15% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 44% PLO 20% NPD 20% PVO 15% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 45% NPD 19% PLO 19% PVO 15% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 44% NPD 19% PLO 19% PVO 15% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 44% NPD 20% PLO 19% PVO 15% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 44% NPD 20% PLO 19% PVO 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 44% NPD 20% PLO 19% PVO 15% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 45% PLO 20% NPD 19% PVO 15% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 45% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 45% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 45% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 17% PVO 15% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 17% PVO 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 45% PLO 21% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 45% PLO 21% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 45% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 17% PVO 15% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 15% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 17% PVO 15% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 46% PLO 20% NPD 17% PVO 14% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 45% PLO 26% NPD 18% PVO 9% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 46% PLO 26% NPD 18% PVO 9% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 46% PLO 26% NPD 18% PVO 9% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 46% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 9% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 51% PLO 25% NPD 14% PVO 8% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 50% PLO 25% NPD 14% PVO 8% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 49% PLO 24% NPD 16% PVO 8% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 48% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 8% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 48% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 8% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 47% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 8% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Kitchener South—Hespeler

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18