Ontario

Historique récent | Hastings—Lennox and Addington


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 50% ± 9% 50,3% 47,6% 48,4% PLO 29% ± 8% 11,5% 18,5% 29,6% NPD 11% ± 5% 32,1% 19,0% 11,4% PON 6% ± 4% 0,0% 7,4% 5,7% PVO 3% ± 2% 4,2% 4,6% 3,2% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 3,0% 1,6%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Hastings—Lennox and Addington

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Hastings—Lennox and Addington 41% 59% 50% ± 9% PC 20% 37% 29% ± 8% PLO 6% 16% 11% ± 5% NPD 2% 9% 6% ± 4% PON PC 2025 48,42% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Hastings—Lennox and Addington >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Hastings—Lennox and Addington

PLO 29% ± 8% PC 50% ± 9% NPD 11% ± 5% PVO 3% ± 2% PON 6% ± 4% Projection du vote % | Hastings—Lennox and Addington 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO PON 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 50% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 6% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 51% PLO 20% NPD 18% PVO 6% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 54% PLO 19% NPD 17% PVO 5% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 54% PLO 19% NPD 17% PVO 5% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 53% PLO 19% NPD 17% PVO 5% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 54% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 54% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 55% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 54% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 55% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 55% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 15% PVO 5% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 15% PVO 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 15% PVO 5% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 55% PLO 21% NPD 14% PVO 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 55% PLO 21% NPD 14% PVO 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 48% PLO 30% NPD 11% PVO 3% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 49% PLO 29% NPD 11% PVO 3% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 49% PLO 30% NPD 11% PVO 3% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 49% PLO 29% NPD 11% PVO 3% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 53% PLO 28% NPD 9% PVO 3% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 53% PLO 28% NPD 9% PVO 3% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 52% PLO 28% NPD 10% PVO 3% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 51% PLO 28% NPD 11% PVO 3% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 51% PLO 28% NPD 11% PVO 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 50% PLO 29% NPD 11% PVO 3% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Hastings—Lennox and Addington

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18