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Ontario
Drapeau de l’Ontario

Parry Sound—Muskoka

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026
PC
Député(e) : Graydon Smith
Parti progressiste conservateur de l’Ontario
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Historique récent | Parry Sound—Muskoka


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 49% ± 10% 48,1% 45,4% 46,8% PVO 40% ± 11% 20,0% 40,7% 41,7% PLO 6% ± 3% 8,6% 0,0% 6,1% NPD 3% ± 2% 22,0% 7,6% 2,9% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 2,0% 1,7% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 3,7% 0,9%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Parry Sound—Muskoka

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Parry Sound—Muskoka 38% 59% 49% ± 10% PC 29% 51% 40% ± 11% PVO 3% 9% 6% ± 3% PLO PC 2025 46,8% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Parry Sound—Muskoka 88%▼ PC 12%▲ PVO <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Parry Sound—Muskoka

PLO 6% ± 3% PC 49% ± 10% PVO 40% ± 11% Projection du vote % | Parry Sound—Muskoka 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 46% PVO 37% PLO 9% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 46% PVO 37% PLO 9% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 49% PVO 35% PLO 9% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 49% PVO 35% PLO 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 49% PVO 34% PLO 10% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 49% PVO 35% PLO 10% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 49% PVO 35% PLO 10% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 50% PVO 34% PLO 9% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 50% PVO 34% PLO 10% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 49% PVO 34% PLO 10% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 49% PVO 34% PLO 9% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 49% PVO 34% PLO 9% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 49% PVO 35% PLO 10% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 49% PVO 35% PLO 10% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 50% PVO 35% PLO 10% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 50% PVO 35% PLO 10% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 50% PVO 34% PLO 10% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 50% PVO 34% PLO 10% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 49% PVO 35% PLO 10% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 49% PVO 35% PLO 10% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 50% PVO 34% PLO 10% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 48% PVO 38% PLO 8% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 47% PVO 38% PLO 8% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 47% PVO 38% PLO 8% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 47% PVO 38% PLO 8% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 47% PVO 38% PLO 8% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 48% PVO 38% PLO 8% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 48% PVO 38% PLO 8% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 48% PVO 39% PLO 8% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 47% PVO 42% PLO 6% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 47% PVO 41% PLO 6% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 47% PVO 41% PLO 6% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 48% PVO 41% PLO 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 51% PVO 39% PLO 6% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 51% PVO 38% PLO 6% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 50% PVO 39% PLO 6% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 49% PVO 40% PLO 6% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 49% PVO 40% PLO 6% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 49% PVO 40% PLO 6% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Parry Sound—Muskoka

PLO <1% PC 88% NPD <1% PVO 12% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 87% PVO 13% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 87% PVO 13% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 97% PVO 3% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 97% PVO 3% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 97% PVO 3% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 97% PVO 3% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 97% PVO 3% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 99% PVO 1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 99% PVO 1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 98% PVO 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 99% PVO 1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 90% PVO 10% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 90% PVO 10% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 90% PVO 10% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 89% PVO 11% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 89% PVO 11% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 90% PVO 10% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 92% PVO 8% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 88% PVO 12% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 90% PVO 10% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 77% PVO 23% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 78% PVO 22% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 83% PVO 17% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 96% PVO 4% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 96% PVO 4% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 94% PVO 6% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 90% PVO 10% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 89% PVO 11% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 88% PVO 12% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18