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Ontario

Kiiwetinoong


Député(e) : Mamakwa, Sol (NPD)

Dernière mise à jour : 29 juillet 2024
NPD enclin
Kiiwetinoong 46% ± 13%▼ NPD 36% ± 13%▲ PPCO 10% ± 7% PLO 5% ± 5% PVO 3% ± 4% PNBO NPD 2022 55,8% Projection du vote | 29 juillet 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Kiiwetinoong 89%▼ NPD 11%▲ PPCO <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 29 juillet 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Kiiwetinoong

PLO 10% ± 7% PPCO 36% ± 13% NPD 46% ± 13% PVO 5% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Kiiwetinoong 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 31% PPCO 28% PLO 26% PVO 10% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 33% PPCO 26% PLO 25% PVO 9% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 34% PPCO 26% PLO 25% PVO 9% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 34% PPCO 26% PLO 25% PVO 9% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 34% PPCO 26% PLO 25% PVO 9% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 35% PPCO 28% PLO 22% PVO 9% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 35% PPCO 27% PLO 23% PVO 9% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 34% PPCO 27% PLO 23% PVO 9% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 34% PPCO 27% PLO 23% PVO 9% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 34% PPCO 28% PLO 23% PVO 9% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 34% PPCO 28% PLO 23% PVO 9% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 34% PPCO 28% PLO 23% PVO 9% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 24% PVO 10% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 9% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 36% PPCO 29% PLO 24% PVO 9% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 10% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 37% PPCO 30% PLO 19% PVO 10% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 36% PPCO 30% PLO 19% PVO 13% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 36% PPCO 29% PLO 18% PVO 14% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 36% PPCO 29% PLO 17% PVO 16% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 36% PPCO 28% PLO 18% PVO 16% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 17% PVO 16% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 18% PVO 16% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 17% PVO 16% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 17% PVO 16% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 17% PVO 16% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 34% PPCO 30% PLO 17% PVO 16% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 34% PPCO 30% PLO 17% PVO 16% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 40% PPCO 29% PLO 17% PVO 12% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 40% PPCO 29% PLO 17% PVO 12% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 39% PPCO 29% PLO 17% PVO 12% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD 56% PPCO 31% PLO 6% PVO 3% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD 56% PPCO 31% PLO 6% PVO 3% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD 54% PPCO 32% PLO 6% PVO 4% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD 54% PPCO 32% PLO 7% PVO 4% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD 54% PPCO 32% PLO 7% PVO 4% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD 55% PPCO 32% PLO 6% PVO 4% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD 57% PPCO 28% PLO 6% PVO 5% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD 57% PPCO 28% PLO 6% PVO 5% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD 56% PPCO 29% PLO 6% PVO 5% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD 56% PPCO 29% PLO 6% PVO 5% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD 58% PPCO 27% PLO 7% PVO 5% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD 57% PPCO 29% PLO 6% PVO 5% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD 56% PPCO 31% PLO 6% PVO 5% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD 56% PPCO 31% PLO 7% PVO 5% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD 55% PPCO 31% PLO 7% PVO 4% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 45% PPCO 27% PLO 20% PVO 5% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 NPD 43% PPCO 29% PLO 20% PVO 5% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 44% PPCO 29% PLO 19% PVO 5% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 NPD 48% PPCO 33% PLO 10% PVO 5% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 NPD 48% PPCO 34% PLO 10% PVO 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 NPD 46% PPCO 36% PLO 10% PVO 5% 2024-07-29

Probabilités de victoire | Kiiwetinoong

PLO <1% PPCO 11% NPD 89% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 57% PPCO 28% PLO 15% PVO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 75% PPCO 15% PLO 10% PVO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 79% PPCO 13% PLO 8% PVO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 79% PPCO 13% PLO 8% PVO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 79% PPCO 12% PLO 9% PVO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 82% PPCO 16% PLO 2% PVO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 82% PPCO 15% PLO 3% PVO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 80% PPCO 17% PLO 3% PVO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 81% PPCO 15% PLO 4% PVO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 78% PPCO 19% PLO 3% PVO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 77% PPCO 20% PLO 3% PVO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 75% PPCO 22% PLO 3% PVO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 76% PPCO 22% PLO 3% PVO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 75% PPCO 23% PLO 2% PVO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 79% PPCO 19% PLO 3% PVO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 73% PPCO 25% PLO 2% PVO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 80% PPCO 20% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 79% PPCO 20% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 83% PPCO 17% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 83% PPCO 17% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 84% PPCO 16% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 80% PPCO 20% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 80% PPCO 20% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 79% PPCO 21% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 79% PPCO 21% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 79% PPCO 21% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 71% PPCO 29% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 71% PPCO 29% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 98% PPCO 1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 NPD 96% PPCO 4% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 97% PPCO 3% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 NPD 96% PPCO 4% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 NPD 96% PPCO 4% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29

Historique récent | Kiiwetinoong



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NPD 65,5% 50,1% 55,8% 46% ± 13% PPCO 12,0% 27,0% 31,3% 36% ± 13% PLO 18,7% 15,2% 6,0% 10% ± 7% PVO 3,7% 6,3% 3,4% 5% ± 5% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 3,4% 3% ± 4%