Ontario

Historique récent | Scarborough—Guildwood


2018 2022 2025 Projection PLO 49% ± 11% 33,4% 46,3% 50,8% PC 40% ± 10% 33,1% 31,5% 38,0% NPD 7% ± 4% 27,6% 16,7% 6,7% PVO 2% ± 2% 2,4% 2,8% 2,5% PNBO 1% ± 2% 0,0% 1,3% 1,1% IND 1% ± 2% 0,0% 0,0% 1,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Scarborough—Guildwood

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Scarborough—Guildwood 39% 60% 49% ± 11% PLO 29% 50% 40% ± 10% PC 2% 11% 7% ± 4% NPD PLO 2025 50,85% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Scarborough—Guildwood 91%▲ PLO 9%▼ PC <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Scarborough—Guildwood

PLO 49% ± 11% PC 40% ± 10% NPD 7% ± 4% Projection du vote % | Scarborough—Guildwood 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 39% PC 35% NPD 21% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 39% PC 35% NPD 21% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 38% PLO 38% NPD 20% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 39% PLO 37% NPD 20% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 38% PLO 38% NPD 20% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO 39% PC 38% NPD 19% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO 39% PC 39% NPD 19% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 39% PLO 38% NPD 19% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 39% PLO 38% NPD 19% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 39% PLO 39% NPD 19% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 39% PLO 38% NPD 20% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 39% PLO 38% NPD 19% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 39% PLO 39% NPD 18% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 39% PC 39% NPD 18% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 40% PC 39% NPD 18% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 40% PC 40% NPD 17% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 40% PC 40% NPD 17% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 40% PC 40% NPD 17% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 41% PC 38% NPD 17% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 41% PC 39% NPD 17% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 40% PC 39% NPD 17% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 40% PC 39% NPD 17% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 41% PC 38% NPD 17% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 42% PC 38% NPD 17% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 42% PC 38% NPD 17% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 42% PC 38% NPD 17% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 42% PC 38% NPD 17% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 41% PC 39% NPD 17% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 42% PC 38% NPD 17% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO 51% PC 38% NPD 7% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 51% PC 38% NPD 7% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 51% PC 38% NPD 7% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 50% PC 39% NPD 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 48% PC 42% NPD 5% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 49% PC 42% NPD 5% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 48% PC 41% NPD 6% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 49% PC 40% NPD 6% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 49% PC 40% NPD 6% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 49% PC 40% NPD 7% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Scarborough—Guildwood

PLO 91% PC 9% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 73% PC 27% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 70% PC 30% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 55% PLO 45% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 57% PLO 43% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PLO 50% PC 50% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO 53% PC 47% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO 52% PC 48% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 58% PLO 42% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 55% PLO 45% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 51% PLO 49% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 60% PLO 40% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 57% PLO 43% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 51% PLO 49% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 52% PC 48% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 51% PC 49% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 54% PC 46% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 54% PC 46% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 54% PC 46% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 68% PC 32% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 65% PC 35% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 57% PC 43% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 57% PC 43% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 71% PC 29% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 72% PC 28% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 72% PC 28% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 73% PC 27% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 72% PC 28% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 68% PC 32% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 69% PC 31% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 96% PC 4% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 96% PC 4% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 94% PC 6% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 81% PC 19% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 83% PC 17% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 83% PC 17% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 88% PC 12% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 91% PC 9% NPD <1% 2026-02-18