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Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke


Député(e) : Yakabuski, John (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 12 novembre 2024
PPCO solide
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke 60% ± 9% PPCO 16% ± 6%▼ NPD 11% ± 5% PLO 5% ± 3% PVO 4% ± 3% PNBO PPCO 2022 61,1% Projection du vote | 12 novembre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke >99% PPCO <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 12 novembre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke

PLO 11% ± 5% PPCO 60% ± 9% NPD 16% ± 6% PVO 5% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 65% PLO 17% NPD 9% PVO 4% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 63% PLO 17% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 63% PLO 16% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 63% PLO 17% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 63% PLO 17% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 63% PLO 17% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 62% PLO 17% NPD 12% PVO 4% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 62% PLO 17% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 62% PLO 18% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 63% PLO 17% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 63% PLO 17% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 63% PLO 17% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 63% PLO 16% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 63% PLO 16% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 63% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 4% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 60% PLO 20% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 60% PLO 20% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 59% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 58% PLO 19% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 58% PLO 19% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 58% PLO 19% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 59% PLO 19% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 59% PLO 19% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 58% PLO 19% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 58% PLO 19% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 59% PLO 18% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 60% PLO 18% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 60% PLO 18% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 60% PLO 18% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 61% PLO 17% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 65% PLO 16% NPD 10% PVO 4% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 61% NPD 17% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 61% NPD 17% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 61% NPD 16% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 61% NPD 16% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 61% NPD 16% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 60% NPD 17% PLO 10% PVO 4% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 56% NPD 19% PLO 11% PVO 6% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 56% NPD 19% PLO 11% PVO 6% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 57% NPD 18% PLO 11% PVO 5% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 57% NPD 18% PLO 11% PVO 5% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 55% NPD 19% PLO 11% PVO 5% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 57% NPD 18% PLO 10% PVO 5% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 60% NPD 18% PLO 10% PVO 5% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 59% NPD 18% PLO 11% PVO 5% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 59% NPD 18% PLO 11% PVO 5% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 56% NPD 18% PLO 14% PVO 5% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 58% NPD 17% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 58% NPD 18% PLO 12% PVO 5% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 59% NPD 17% PLO 12% PVO 5% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 59% NPD 17% PLO 11% PVO 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 61% NPD 16% PLO 11% PVO 5% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 60% NPD 17% PLO 11% PVO 5% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO 60% NPD 16% PLO 11% PVO 5% 2024-11-11

Probabilités de victoire | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-11-11

Historique récent | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 61,1% 69,2% 61,1% 60% ± 9% NPD 14,5% 16,7% 17,1% 16% ± 6% PLO 19,1% 9,8% 9,8% 11% ± 5% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 4,6% 4% ± 3% PVO 3,2% 3,0% 3,7% 5% ± 3% PON 0,0% 0,0% 2,9% 2% ± 2%