Ontario

Historique récent | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 57% ± 9% 69,2% 61,1% 54,8% PLO 21% ± 7% 9,8% 9,8% 22,1% NPD 14% ± 6% 16,7% 17,1% 14,9% PON 3% ± 3% 0,0% 2,9% 3,6% PVO 2% ± 2% 3,0% 3,7% 2,5% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 4,6% 2,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke 48% 65% 57% ± 9% PC 14% 28% 21% ± 7% PLO 9% 20% 14% ± 6% NPD PC 2025 54,83% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke

PLO 21% ± 7% PC 57% ± 9% NPD 14% ± 6% PON 3% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PON 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 62% NPD 16% PLO 11% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 63% NPD 16% PLO 11% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 66% NPD 16% PLO 11% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 66% NPD 15% PLO 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 65% NPD 16% PLO 11% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 66% NPD 14% PLO 12% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 66% NPD 14% PLO 12% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 67% NPD 14% PLO 11% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 66% NPD 14% PLO 11% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 66% NPD 14% PLO 12% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 66% NPD 15% PLO 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 66% NPD 14% PLO 11% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 67% NPD 14% PLO 12% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 67% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 67% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 67% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 68% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 68% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 67% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 67% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 68% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 68% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 68% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 68% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 68% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 68% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 68% NPD 13% PLO 12% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 68% NPD 12% PLO 12% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 69% NPD 12% PLO 12% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 55% PLO 22% NPD 15% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 55% PLO 22% NPD 15% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 55% PLO 22% NPD 15% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 56% PLO 22% NPD 14% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 60% PLO 21% NPD 12% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 60% PLO 21% NPD 12% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 59% PLO 21% NPD 13% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 57% PLO 21% NPD 14% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 57% PLO 21% NPD 14% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 57% PLO 21% NPD 14% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18