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Ontario

Kenora—Rainy River


Député(e) : Rickford, Greg (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 29 juillet 2024
PPCO solide
Kenora—Rainy River 59% ± 11%▲ PPCO 16% ± 8%▼ PLO 14% ± 7%▼ NPD 5% ± 4% PVO PPCO 2022 59,4% Projection du vote | 29 juillet 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Kenora—Rainy River >99% PPCO <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 29 juillet 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Kenora—Rainy River

PLO 16% ± 8% PPCO 59% ± 11% NPD 14% ± 7% PVO 5% ± 4% Projection du vote % | Kenora—Rainy River 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 48% NPD 22% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 47% NPD 25% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 46% NPD 25% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 46% NPD 25% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 46% NPD 25% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 46% NPD 26% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 46% NPD 26% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 46% NPD 25% PLO 19% PVO 5% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 45% NPD 25% PLO 19% PVO 5% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 46% NPD 25% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 47% NPD 25% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 47% NPD 25% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 46% NPD 24% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 46% NPD 25% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 45% NPD 26% PLO 18% PVO 5% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 44% NPD 24% PLO 21% PVO 5% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 45% NPD 27% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 44% NPD 27% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 16% PVO 8% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 16% PVO 8% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 16% PVO 8% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 16% PVO 8% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 43% NPD 26% PLO 16% PVO 8% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 43% NPD 26% PLO 16% PVO 8% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 44% NPD 26% PLO 15% PVO 8% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 46% NPD 25% PLO 15% PVO 8% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 46% NPD 25% PLO 15% PVO 8% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 46% NPD 25% PLO 15% PVO 8% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 47% NPD 24% PLO 15% PVO 8% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 48% NPD 24% PLO 14% PVO 7% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 59% NPD 20% PLO 11% PVO 4% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 59% NPD 20% PLO 11% PVO 4% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 59% NPD 19% PLO 12% PVO 4% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 59% NPD 19% PLO 12% PVO 4% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 59% NPD 19% PLO 12% PVO 4% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 59% NPD 19% PLO 12% PVO 4% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 54% NPD 22% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 54% NPD 22% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 55% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 5% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 56% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 5% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 53% NPD 22% PLO 13% PVO 6% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 55% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 5% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 58% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 5% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 57% NPD 21% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 57% NPD 20% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 51% PLO 23% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 54% PLO 21% NPD 15% PVO 5% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 54% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 57% PLO 18% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 58% PLO 17% NPD 15% PVO 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 59% PLO 16% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2024-07-29

Probabilités de victoire | Kenora—Rainy River

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29

Historique récent | Kenora—Rainy River



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 29,5% 48,4% 59,4% 59% ± 11% NPD 52,7% 37,5% 19,9% 14% ± 7% PLO 14,9% 10,6% 11,4% 16% ± 8% PVO 2,9% 3,6% 3,8% 5% ± 4% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 2,5% 2% ± 3% PON 0,0% 0,0% 1,7% 1% ± 2%