Ontario

Historique récent | Kenora—Rainy River


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 62% ± 11% 48,4% 59,4% 59,9% NPD 18% ± 9% 37,5% 19,9% 18,8% PLO 17% ± 8% 10,6% 11,4% 17,5% PNBO 2% ± 3% 0,0% 2,5% 1,9% PVO 2% ± 3% 3,6% 3,8% 1,9%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Kenora—Rainy River

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Kenora—Rainy River 50% 73% 62% ± 11% PC 9% 27% 18% ± 9% NPD 8% 25% 17% ± 8% PLO PC 2025 59,93% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Kenora—Rainy River >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Kenora—Rainy River

PLO 17% ± 8% PC 62% ± 11% NPD 18% ± 9% Projection du vote % | Kenora—Rainy River 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 60% NPD 16% PLO 14% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 61% NPD 16% PLO 14% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 64% NPD 16% PLO 14% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 64% NPD 15% PLO 14% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 63% NPD 16% PLO 14% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 64% PLO 15% NPD 14% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 64% PLO 15% NPD 14% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 65% PLO 14% NPD 14% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 64% NPD 14% PLO 14% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 64% PLO 14% NPD 14% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 64% NPD 15% PLO 14% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 64% NPD 14% PLO 14% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 14% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 67% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 67% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 65% PLO 16% NPD 13% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 66% PLO 16% NPD 13% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 60% NPD 19% PLO 17% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 60% NPD 19% PLO 17% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 60% NPD 18% PLO 18% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 61% NPD 18% PLO 17% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 65% PLO 16% NPD 15% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 65% PLO 17% NPD 15% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 64% PLO 16% NPD 16% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 62% NPD 18% PLO 17% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 62% NPD 18% PLO 17% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 62% NPD 18% PLO 17% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Kenora—Rainy River

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18