Ontario

Historique récent | Kanata—Carleton


2018 2022 2025 Projection PLO 46% ± 10% 17,2% 23,4% 47,7% PC 42% ± 9% 43,6% 43,5% 40,7% NPD 7% ± 4% 28,6% 24,3% 7,3% PVO 2% ± 2% 5,3% 5,5% 2,5% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 5,5% 1,1% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 0,9% 0,7%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Kanata—Carleton

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Kanata—Carleton 37% 56% 46% ± 10% PLO 33% 52% 42% ± 9% PC 3% 11% 7% ± 4% NPD PLO 2025 47,67% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Kanata—Carleton 71%▲ PLO 29%▼ PC <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Kanata—Carleton

PLO 46% ± 10% PC 42% ± 9% NPD 7% ± 4% Projection du vote % | Kanata—Carleton 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 38% PLO 31% NPD 26% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 38% PLO 31% NPD 25% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 40% PLO 30% NPD 25% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 40% PLO 30% NPD 25% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 40% PLO 31% NPD 25% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 40% PLO 32% NPD 23% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 40% PLO 32% NPD 23% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 41% PLO 31% NPD 23% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 41% PLO 31% NPD 23% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 41% PLO 31% NPD 23% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 41% PLO 31% NPD 24% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 41% PLO 31% NPD 24% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 41% PLO 32% NPD 22% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 41% PLO 32% NPD 22% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 41% PLO 32% NPD 22% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 41% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 41% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 21% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 40% PLO 34% NPD 21% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 40% PLO 34% NPD 21% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 41% PLO 34% NPD 21% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 41% PLO 34% NPD 21% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO 48% PC 41% NPD 7% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 47% PC 41% NPD 7% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 48% PC 41% NPD 7% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 47% PC 42% NPD 7% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 45% PC 45% NPD 6% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 46% PC 45% NPD 6% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 45% PC 44% NPD 6% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 46% PC 43% NPD 7% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 46% PC 43% NPD 7% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 46% PC 42% NPD 7% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Kanata—Carleton

PLO 71% PC 29% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 86% PLO 13% NPD 1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 88% PLO 12% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 91% PLO 9% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 86% PLO 14% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 86% PLO 14% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 88% PLO 12% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 87% PLO 13% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO 96% PC 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 84% PC 16% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 85% PC 15% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 79% PC 21% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 52% PC 48% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 56% PC 44% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 55% PC 45% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 66% PC 34% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 67% PC 33% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 71% PC 29% NPD <1% 2026-02-18