logo
Ontario

Mississauga East—Cooksville


Député(e) : Rasheed, Kaleed (IND)

Dernière mise à jour : 30 juin 2024
Pivot PLO/PPCO
Mississauga East—Cooksville 40% ± 9%▲ PPCO 39% ± 9%▼ PLO 10% ± 4% NPD 5% ± 3% PVO 4% ± 3%▲ PNBO PPCO 2022 41,0% Projection du vote | 30 juin 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Mississauga East—Cooksville 59%▲ PPCO 41%▼ PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 30 juin 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Mississauga East—Cooksville

PLO 39% ± 9% PPCO 40% ± 9% NPD 10% ± 4% PVO 5% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Mississauga East—Cooksville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 30 juin 2024 2022-04-23 PLO 41% PPCO 38% NPD 14% PVO 3% 2022-04-23 2022-04-28 PLO 41% PPCO 40% NPD 12% PVO 3% 2022-04-28 2022-04-30 PPCO 40% PLO 40% NPD 12% PVO 3% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PLO 39% PPCO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 38% PLO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 39% PLO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 39% PLO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 39% PLO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PLO 39% PPCO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PLO 40% PPCO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PLO 40% PPCO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 39% PLO 39% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 39% PLO 39% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 39% PLO 39% NPD 14% PVO 3% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 39% PLO 38% NPD 14% PVO 3% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 39% PLO 37% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 38% PLO 38% NPD 16% PVO 3% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 39% PLO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 39% PLO 38% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 39% PLO 37% NPD 15% PVO 4% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PLO 37% PPCO 37% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PLO 37% PPCO 37% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PLO 37% PPCO 37% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 38% PLO 37% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 38% PLO 37% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 37% PLO 37% NPD 15% PVO 4% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 37% PLO 37% NPD 15% PVO 4% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 37% PLO 37% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 38% PLO 36% NPD 15% PVO 4% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 38% PLO 36% NPD 15% PVO 4% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PLO 38% PPCO 38% NPD 13% PVO 4% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 38% PLO 38% NPD 13% PVO 4% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 40% PLO 36% NPD 13% PVO 4% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 41% PLO 37% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 41% PLO 37% NPD 11% PVO 4% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 40% PLO 38% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 40% PLO 39% NPD 10% PVO 4% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 40% PLO 39% NPD 10% PVO 4% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 40% PLO 38% NPD 10% PVO 4% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PLO 38% PPCO 37% NPD 12% PVO 6% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PLO 39% PPCO 37% NPD 11% PVO 6% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PLO 38% PPCO 38% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PLO 38% PPCO 38% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PLO 40% PPCO 36% NPD 12% PVO 6% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PLO 38% PPCO 38% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 41% PLO 37% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PLO 43% PPCO 36% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PLO 43% PPCO 36% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PLO 45% PPCO 34% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PLO 43% PPCO 37% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PLO 41% PPCO 38% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PLO 40% PPCO 39% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 40% PLO 39% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2024-06-30

Probabilités de victoire | Mississauga East—Cooksville

PLO 41% PPCO 59% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 30 juin 2024 2022-04-23 PLO 66% PPCO 34% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-04-23 2022-04-28 PLO 56% PPCO 44% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-04-28 2022-04-30 PPCO 50% PLO 50% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PLO 55% PPCO 45% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 50% PLO 50% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 56% PLO 44% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 53% PLO 47% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 51% PLO 49% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PLO 55% PPCO 45% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PLO 59% PPCO 41% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PLO 64% PPCO 36% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 53% PLO 47% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 54% PLO 46% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 56% PLO 44% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 56% PLO 44% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 63% PLO 37% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 51% PLO 49% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 52% PLO 48% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 55% PLO 45% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 58% PLO 42% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PLO 51% PPCO 49% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PLO 50% PPCO 50% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PLO 53% PPCO 47% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 52% PLO 48% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 51% PLO 49% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 52% PLO 48% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 53% PLO 47% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 55% PLO 45% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 62% PLO 38% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 62% PLO 38% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PLO 53% PPCO 47% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 52% PLO 48% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 76% PLO 24% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 84% PLO 16% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 70% PLO 30% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 63% PLO 37% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 56% PLO 44% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 57% PLO 43% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 64% PLO 36% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PLO 62% PPCO 38% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PLO 62% PPCO 38% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PLO 54% PPCO 46% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PLO 52% PPCO 48% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PLO 79% PPCO 21% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PLO 53% PPCO 47% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 72% PLO 28% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PLO 88% PPCO 12% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PLO 91% PPCO 9% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PLO 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PLO 82% PPCO 18% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PLO 69% PPCO 31% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PLO 60% PPCO 40% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 59% PLO 41% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-06-30

Historique récent | Mississauga East—Cooksville



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 27,9% 41,2% 41,0% 40% ± 9% PLO 50,2% 30,2% 37,3% 39% ± 9% NPD 14,9% 22,7% 10,8% 10% ± 4% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 4,7% 4% ± 3% PVO 3,6% 3,5% 4,0% 5% ± 3% PON 0,0% 0,0% 1,8% 1% ± 1%