Ontario

Historique récent | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 52% ± 9% 44,8% 42,5% 49,8% PLO 34% ± 9% 13,6% 40,8% 35,7% NPD 6% ± 4% 28,2% 7,8% 6,7% PVO 4% ± 3% 11,7% 4,4% 4,0% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 2,9% 2,2%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte 42% 61% 52% ± 9% PC 25% 44% 34% ± 9% PLO 3% 10% 6% ± 4% NPD 1% 7% 4% ± 3% PVO PC 2025 49,85% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte

PLO 34% ± 9% PC 52% ± 9% NPD 6% ± 4% PVO 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 43% PLO 42% NPD 7% PVO 5% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 43% PLO 42% NPD 7% PVO 5% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 46% PLO 41% NPD 7% PVO 5% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 46% PLO 40% NPD 7% PVO 5% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 45% PLO 41% NPD 7% PVO 5% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 45% PLO 42% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 45% PLO 41% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 46% PLO 41% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 46% PLO 41% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 46% PLO 41% NPD 7% PVO 5% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 46% PLO 40% NPD 7% PVO 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 46% PLO 41% NPD 7% PVO 5% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 46% PLO 41% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 46% PLO 42% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 46% PLO 42% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 45% PLO 42% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 47% PLO 40% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 47% PLO 40% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 46% PLO 41% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 46% PLO 41% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 47% PLO 40% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 47% PLO 40% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 47% PLO 40% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 48% PLO 39% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 48% PLO 39% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 48% PLO 39% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 48% PLO 39% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 49% PLO 38% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 49% PLO 38% NPD 6% PVO 5% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 50% PLO 36% NPD 7% PVO 4% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 50% PLO 36% NPD 7% PVO 4% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 50% PLO 36% NPD 7% PVO 4% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 51% PLO 35% NPD 6% PVO 4% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 54% PLO 33% NPD 5% PVO 4% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 54% PLO 34% NPD 5% PVO 4% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 6% PVO 4% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 52% PLO 34% NPD 6% PVO 4% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 52% PLO 34% NPD 6% PVO 4% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 52% PLO 34% NPD 6% PVO 4% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 55% PLO 45% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 58% PLO 42% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 77% PLO 23% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 80% PLO 20% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 74% PLO 26% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 71% PLO 29% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 72% PLO 28% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 79% PLO 21% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 78% PLO 22% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 75% PLO 25% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 81% PLO 19% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 79% PLO 21% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 76% PLO 24% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 74% PLO 26% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 73% PLO 27% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 71% PLO 29% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 84% PLO 16% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 86% PLO 14% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 77% PLO 23% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 77% PLO 23% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 82% PLO 18% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 84% PLO 16% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 83% PLO 17% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 93% PLO 7% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 93% PLO 7% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18