Ontario

Historique récent | Mushkegowuk—James Bay


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 47% ± 16% 51,8% 47,2% 45,4% PC 44% ± 16% 30,2% 35,8% 45,4% PLO 7% ± 8% 14,1% 11,7% 7,7% PVO 1% ± 3% 1,8% 1,9% 1,5%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Mushkegowuk—James Bay

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Mushkegowuk—James Bay 31% 64% 47% ± 16% NPD 28% 61% 44% ± 16% PC -1% 15% 7% ± 8% PLO NPD 2025 45,4% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Mushkegowuk—James Bay 61%▲ NPD 39%▼ PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Mushkegowuk—James Bay

PLO 7% ± 8% PC 44% ± 16% NPD 47% ± 16% Projection du vote % | Mushkegowuk—James Bay 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 41% PC 40% PLO 15% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 40% PC 40% PLO 15% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 14% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 14% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 41% NPD 40% PLO 15% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 15% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 15% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 15% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 15% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 15% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 14% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 15% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 15% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 43% NPD 37% PLO 15% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 44% NPD 38% PLO 16% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 16% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 16% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 41% NPD 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 41% NPD 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 41% NPD 41% PLO 16% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 41% PC 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 41% PC 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 41% PC 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 41% PC 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 41% PC 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 41% NPD 40% PLO 16% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 41% PC 41% PLO 16% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 45% PC 45% PLO 8% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 46% NPD 45% PLO 8% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 46% NPD 45% PLO 8% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 47% NPD 44% PLO 8% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 52% NPD 39% PLO 8% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 50% NPD 41% PLO 7% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 48% NPD 44% PLO 7% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 47% PC 45% PLO 7% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 47% PC 45% PLO 7% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 47% PC 44% PLO 7% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Mushkegowuk—James Bay

PLO <1% PC 39% NPD 61% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 55% PC 45% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 53% PC 47% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 58% NPD 42% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 60% NPD 40% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 57% NPD 43% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 65% NPD 35% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 66% NPD 34% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 70% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 69% NPD 31% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 67% NPD 33% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 64% NPD 36% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 66% NPD 34% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 71% NPD 29% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 75% NPD 25% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 76% NPD 24% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 64% NPD 36% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 61% NPD 39% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 62% NPD 38% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 52% NPD 48% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 53% NPD 47% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 59% NPD 41% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 50% NPD 50% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 50% PC 50% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 52% PC 48% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 52% PC 48% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 52% PC 48% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 53% PC 47% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 55% NPD 45% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 50% PC 50% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 51% PC 49% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 53% NPD 47% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 53% NPD 47% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 60% NPD 40% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 87% NPD 13% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 80% NPD 20% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 64% NPD 36% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 55% PC 45% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 57% PC 43% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 61% PC 39% PLO <1% 2026-02-18