Ontario

Historique récent | Davenport


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 60% ± 10% 60,3% 57,1% 57,2% PLO 19% ± 7% 18,7% 19,2% 20,4% PC 18% ± 7% 16,1% 14,1% 17,9% PVO 3% ± 2% 3,6% 4,8% 3,1%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Davenport

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Davenport 50% 69% 60% ± 10% NPD 12% 26% 19% ± 7% PLO 11% 24% 18% ± 7% PC NPD 2025 57,21% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Davenport >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PC Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Davenport

PLO 19% ± 7% PC 18% ± 7% NPD 60% ± 10% Projection du vote % | Davenport 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 51% PLO 22% PC 16% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 51% PLO 22% PC 16% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 51% PLO 21% PC 19% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 51% PLO 21% PC 19% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 51% PLO 21% PC 19% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 50% PLO 22% PC 19% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 50% PLO 22% PC 19% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 50% PLO 22% PC 20% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 50% PLO 22% PC 20% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 50% PLO 22% PC 19% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 51% PLO 21% PC 19% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 50% PLO 21% PC 19% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 49% PLO 22% PC 20% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD 48% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 48% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 48% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 19% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 48% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 49% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 48% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 48% PLO 23% PC 20% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 57% PLO 20% PC 18% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 57% PLO 20% PC 18% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 57% PLO 21% PC 18% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 56% PLO 21% PC 19% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 52% PC 22% PLO 21% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 54% PC 21% PLO 21% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 57% PC 19% PLO 19% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 59% PLO 19% PC 18% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 59% PLO 19% PC 18% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 60% PLO 19% PC 18% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Davenport

PLO <1% NPD >99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2026-02-18