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Ontario

Brampton South


Député(e) : Sarkaria, Prabmeet Singh (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 15 décembre 2024
PPCO solide
Brampton South 48% ± 9%▲ PPCO 27% ± 8%▼ PLO 18% ± 6% NPD 4% ± 3%▼ PVO PPCO 2022 45,4% Projection du vote | 15 décembre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Brampton South >99% PPCO <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 15 décembre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Brampton South

PLO 27% ± 8% PPCO 48% ± 9% NPD 18% ± 6% PVO 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Brampton South 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 15 décembre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 39% PLO 31% NPD 20% PVO 5% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 38% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 38% PLO 30% NPD 23% PVO 5% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 4% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 4% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 38% PLO 30% NPD 23% PVO 4% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 38% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 38% PLO 31% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 37% PLO 31% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 39% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 39% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 39% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 39% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 39% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 4% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 38% PLO 30% NPD 23% PVO 4% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 39% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 39% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 39% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 6% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 6% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 6% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 6% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 6% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 6% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 22% PVO 6% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 22% PVO 6% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 38% PLO 29% NPD 22% PVO 6% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 39% PLO 29% NPD 22% PVO 6% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 39% PLO 29% NPD 22% PVO 6% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 39% PLO 29% NPD 22% PVO 6% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 39% PLO 29% NPD 22% PVO 6% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 40% PLO 28% NPD 21% PVO 6% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 45% PLO 28% NPD 19% PVO 4% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 45% PLO 28% NPD 19% PVO 4% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 45% PLO 29% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 45% PLO 29% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 45% PLO 29% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 45% PLO 29% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 41% PLO 29% NPD 20% PVO 6% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 41% PLO 29% NPD 20% PVO 5% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 42% PLO 29% NPD 20% PVO 5% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 43% PLO 29% NPD 19% PVO 5% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 40% PLO 30% NPD 20% PVO 5% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 42% PLO 29% NPD 20% PVO 5% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 45% PLO 28% NPD 19% PVO 5% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 44% PLO 30% NPD 19% PVO 5% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 43% PLO 30% NPD 19% PVO 5% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 42% PLO 32% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 43% PLO 31% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 44% PLO 30% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 44% PLO 29% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 45% PLO 28% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 47% PLO 28% NPD 17% PVO 5% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 46% PLO 28% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO 46% PLO 28% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2024-11-11 2024-12-15 PPCO 48% PLO 27% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2024-12-15

Probabilités de victoire | Brampton South

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 15 décembre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 94% PLO 6% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 95% PLO 4% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 91% PLO 9% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 87% PLO 13% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 99% PLO 1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 99% PLO 1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 99% PLO 1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 97% PLO 3% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 99% PLO 1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 95% PLO 5% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 99% PLO 1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 99% PLO 1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-11-11 2024-12-15 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-12-15

Historique récent | Brampton South



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 26,0% 41,0% 45,4% 48% ± 9% PLO 44,7% 18,9% 27,8% 27% ± 8% NPD 21,9% 33,9% 19,1% 18% ± 6% PVO 3,1% 3,9% 3,6% 4% ± 3% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 3,4% 2% ± 2%