Ontario

Historique récent | Windsor West


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 54% ± 10% 52,1% 42,1% 52,1% PC 38% ± 10% 28,4% 35,3% 39,4% PON 3% ± 2% 0,0% 4,8% 2,7% PVO 2% ± 2% 3,6% 2,8% 2,3% PNBO 1% ± 2% 0,0% 2,0% 1,4%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Windsor West

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Windsor West 43% 64% 54% ± 10% NPD 29% 48% 38% ± 10% PC NPD 2025 52,12% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Windsor West 98% NPD 2% PC <1% PON Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Windsor West

PC 38% ± 10% NPD 54% ± 10% Projection du vote % | Windsor West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 38% PC 38% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 38% NPD 38% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 40% NPD 38% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 40% NPD 38% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 39% NPD 39% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 40% NPD 37% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 40% NPD 37% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 41% NPD 37% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 41% NPD 37% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 40% NPD 37% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 40% NPD 38% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 40% NPD 37% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 41% NPD 37% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 41% NPD 36% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 45% NPD 44% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 45% PC 44% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 44% NPD 44% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 45% NPD 44% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 45% PC 43% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 45% PC 43% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 45% PC 44% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 45% PC 45% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 46% PC 45% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 46% PC 45% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 46% PC 45% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 46% PC 45% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 46% PC 44% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 45% NPD 45% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 45% NPD 45% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 52% PC 39% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 52% PC 40% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 51% PC 40% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 51% PC 41% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 46% PC 46% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 48% PC 44% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 50% PC 42% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 53% PC 39% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 53% PC 39% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 54% PC 38% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Windsor West

PLO <1% PC 2% NPD 98% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 50% PC 50% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 53% NPD 47% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 62% NPD 38% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 60% NPD 40% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 55% NPD 45% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 67% NPD 33% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 68% NPD 32% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 72% NPD 28% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 69% NPD 31% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 64% NPD 36% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 70% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 76% NPD 24% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 81% NPD 19% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 50% NPD 50% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 51% PC 49% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 50% NPD 50% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 51% NPD 49% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 63% PC 37% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 61% PC 39% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 52% PC 48% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 54% PC 46% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 56% PC 44% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 57% PC 43% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 58% PC 42% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 58% PC 42% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 58% PC 42% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 53% NPD 47% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 53% NPD 47% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 95% PC 5% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 95% PC 5% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 92% PC 8% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 50% PC 50% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 68% PC 32% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 89% PC 11% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 98% PC 2% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 98% PC 2% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 98% PC 2% PLO <1% 2026-02-18