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Ontario

Windsor West


Député(e) : Gretzky, Lisa (NPD)

Dernière mise à jour : 9 octobre 2024
Pivot PPCO/NPD
Windsor West 37% ± 8%▼ PPCO 37% ± 8%▲ NPD 16% ± 6% PLO 4% ± 3% PON 4% ± 3% PVO NPD 2022 42,1% Projection du vote | 9 octobre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Windsor West 53%▼ PPCO 47%▲ NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 9 octobre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Windsor West

PLO 16% ± 6% PPCO 37% ± 8% NPD 37% ± 8% PVO 4% ± 3% PON 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Windsor West 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO PON 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 34% PPCO 29% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 35% PPCO 29% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 34% PPCO 30% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 35% PPCO 31% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 36% PPCO 31% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 36% PPCO 30% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 35% PPCO 31% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 35% PPCO 31% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 35% PPCO 31% PLO 23% PVO 8% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 8% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 8% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 8% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 8% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 35% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 8% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 34% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 8% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 34% PPCO 30% PLO 23% PVO 8% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 36% PPCO 30% PLO 22% PVO 8% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 35% PPCO 31% PLO 22% PVO 8% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 35% PPCO 31% PLO 22% PVO 8% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 38% PPCO 30% PLO 19% PVO 8% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 38% PPCO 31% PLO 19% PVO 8% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 38% PPCO 31% PLO 19% PVO 8% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD 42% PPCO 35% PLO 13% PVO 3% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD 43% PPCO 35% PLO 13% PVO 3% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD 40% PPCO 36% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD 40% PPCO 35% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD 40% PPCO 36% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD 41% PPCO 35% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD 43% PPCO 32% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD 43% PPCO 32% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD 43% PPCO 33% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD 42% PPCO 33% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD 44% PPCO 31% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD 43% PPCO 33% PLO 13% PVO 4% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD 43% PPCO 35% PLO 13% PVO 4% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD 42% PPCO 35% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD 42% PPCO 35% PLO 15% PVO 4% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 38% PPCO 34% PLO 19% PVO 4% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 NPD 37% PPCO 35% PLO 18% PVO 4% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 38% PPCO 35% PLO 17% PVO 4% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 NPD 37% PPCO 36% PLO 17% PVO 4% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 NPD 38% PPCO 37% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 38% NPD 36% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 37% NPD 37% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2024-10-09

Probabilités de victoire | Windsor West

PLO <1% PPCO 53% NPD 47% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 76% PPCO 21% PLO 2% PVO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 86% PPCO 13% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 87% PPCO 13% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 86% PPCO 14% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 87% PPCO 13% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 88% PPCO 12% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 89% PPCO 10% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 87% PPCO 13% PLO 1% PVO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 88% PPCO 11% PLO 1% PVO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 84% PPCO 15% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 83% PPCO 17% PLO 1% PVO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 80% PPCO 19% PLO 1% PVO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 81% PPCO 19% PLO 1% PVO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 80% PPCO 19% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 85% PPCO 14% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 78% PPCO 22% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 79% PPCO 21% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 79% PPCO 21% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 85% PPCO 15% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 85% PPCO 15% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 86% PPCO 13% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 82% PPCO 18% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 81% PPCO 19% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 80% PPCO 20% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 80% PPCO 20% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 88% PPCO 12% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 80% PPCO 19% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 80% PPCO 20% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 94% PPCO 6% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD 97% PPCO 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD 76% PPCO 24% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD 77% PPCO 23% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD 78% PPCO 22% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD 82% PPCO 18% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD 96% PPCO 4% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD 95% PPCO 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD 97% PPCO 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 80% PPCO 20% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 NPD 62% PPCO 38% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 69% PPCO 31% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 NPD 61% PPCO 39% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 NPD 57% PPCO 43% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 69% NPD 31% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 53% NPD 47% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09

Historique récent | Windsor West



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NPD 41,4% 52,1% 42,1% 37% ± 8% PPCO 14,4% 28,4% 35,3% 37% ± 8% PLO 38,5% 14,8% 13,1% 16% ± 6% PON 0,0% 0,0% 4,8% 4% ± 3% PVO 3,2% 3,6% 2,8% 4% ± 3% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 2,0% 2% ± 2%