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Ontario
Drapeau de l’Ontario

Kitchener Centre

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026
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Député(e) : Aislinn Clancy
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Projection — Kitchener Centre → Projection régionale — Sud-ouest de l'Ontario → Circonscriptions provinciales de l’Ontario → Carte de la projection de l’Ontario → Sondages de l’Ontario → Page d’accueil de l’Ontario → Simulateur de l’Ontario → Roulette de comté ! →

Historique récent | Kitchener Centre


2018 2022 2025 Projection PVO 50% ± 11% 6,8% 12,8% 51,4% PC 26% ± 8% 27,7% 26,7% 24,2% PLO 14% ± 6% 20,1% 14,7% 14,3% NPD 7% ± 4% 43,4% 40,6% 6,8% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 5,3% 2,0% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 1,0% IND 0% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,4%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Kitchener Centre

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Kitchener Centre 39% 61% 50% ± 11% PVO 18% 34% 26% ± 8% PC 8% 20% 14% ± 6% PLO 3% 11% 7% ± 4% NPD PVO 2025 51,39% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Kitchener Centre >99% PVO <1% PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Kitchener Centre

PLO 14% ± 6% PC 26% ± 8% NPD 7% ± 4% PVO 50% ± 11% Projection du vote % | Kitchener Centre 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PVO 39% PC 26% NPD 23% PLO 11% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PVO 40% PC 26% NPD 23% PLO 11% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PVO 37% PC 29% NPD 23% PLO 10% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PVO 37% PC 29% NPD 22% PLO 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PVO 37% PC 29% NPD 23% PLO 11% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PVO 37% PC 29% NPD 22% PLO 11% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PVO 37% PC 29% NPD 22% PLO 11% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PVO 37% PC 30% NPD 22% PLO 11% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PVO 37% PC 30% NPD 22% PLO 11% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PVO 37% PC 29% NPD 22% PLO 11% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PVO 37% PC 29% NPD 22% PLO 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PVO 37% PC 29% NPD 22% PLO 11% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PVO 38% PC 30% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PVO 38% PC 30% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PVO 36% PC 30% NPD 20% PLO 12% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PVO 36% PC 30% NPD 20% PLO 12% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PVO 36% PC 30% NPD 20% PLO 12% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PVO 36% PC 30% NPD 20% PLO 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PVO 36% PC 29% NPD 20% PLO 12% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PVO 36% PC 29% NPD 20% PLO 12% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PVO 36% PC 30% NPD 20% PLO 12% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PVO 36% PC 30% NPD 20% PLO 12% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PVO 35% PC 31% NPD 20% PLO 12% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PVO 34% PC 31% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PVO 34% PC 31% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PVO 34% PC 31% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PVO 34% PC 31% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PVO 34% PC 32% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PVO 33% PC 32% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PVO 51% PC 24% PLO 14% NPD 7% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PVO 51% PC 24% PLO 14% NPD 7% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PVO 51% PC 24% PLO 14% NPD 7% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PVO 51% PC 25% PLO 14% NPD 7% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PVO 49% PC 28% PLO 14% NPD 6% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PVO 49% PC 28% PLO 14% NPD 6% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PVO 50% PC 27% PLO 14% NPD 6% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PVO 50% PC 26% PLO 14% NPD 7% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PVO 50% PC 26% PLO 14% NPD 7% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PVO 50% PC 26% PLO 14% NPD 7% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Kitchener Centre

PLO <1% PC <1% NPD <1% PVO >99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PVO 98% PC 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PVO 98% PC 2% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PVO 90% PC 9% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PVO 89% PC 10% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PVO 90% PC 10% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PVO 90% PC 10% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PVO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PVO 88% PC 12% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PVO 88% PC 12% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PVO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PVO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PVO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PVO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PVO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PVO 82% PC 18% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PVO 82% PC 18% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PVO 83% PC 17% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PVO 83% PC 17% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PVO 88% PC 12% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PVO 87% PC 13% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PVO 83% PC 17% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PVO 83% PC 17% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PVO 76% PC 24% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PVO 68% PC 32% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PVO 68% PC 32% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PVO 67% PC 33% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PVO 68% PC 32% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PVO 63% PC 37% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PVO 56% PC 44% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PVO >99% NPD <1% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PVO >99% NPD <1% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PVO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PVO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PVO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PVO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PVO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PVO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PVO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PVO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18