Ontario

Historique récent | Waterloo


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 52% ± 9% 50,5% 45,9% 50,2% PC 27% ± 8% 31,4% 29,3% 27,4% PLO 14% ± 6% 12,2% 13,9% 15,7% PVO 3% ± 2% 4,8% 6,9% 3,6% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 2,6% 1,1% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 0,8% 1,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Waterloo

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Waterloo 43% 62% 52% ± 9% NPD 19% 35% 27% ± 8% PC 9% 20% 14% ± 6% PLO NPD 2025 50,23% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Waterloo >99% NPD <1% PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Waterloo

PLO 14% ± 6% PC 27% ± 8% NPD 52% ± 9% PVO 3% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Waterloo 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 41% PC 31% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 40% PC 31% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 40% PC 33% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 40% PC 33% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 40% PC 33% PLO 17% PVO 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 39% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 39% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 38% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 39% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 39% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 39% PC 34% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 39% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 38% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD 37% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD 37% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 37% PC 35% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 37% PC 35% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 37% PC 35% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 38% PC 34% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 38% PC 34% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 37% PC 34% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 37% PC 34% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 37% PC 34% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 38% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 38% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 38% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 38% PC 34% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 37% PC 35% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 37% PC 35% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 50% PC 27% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 50% PC 28% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 50% PC 28% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 49% PC 28% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 45% PC 32% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 47% PC 31% PLO 16% PVO 4% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 49% PC 29% PLO 15% PVO 3% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 52% PC 28% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 52% PC 27% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 52% PC 27% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Waterloo

PLO <1% NPD >99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 96% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 95% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 88% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 86% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 89% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 82% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 82% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 77% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 79% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 81% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 85% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 81% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 75% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD 69% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD 69% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 67% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 66% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 66% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 77% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 75% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 68% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 68% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 70% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 71% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 72% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 72% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 73% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 63% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 62% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 99% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2026-02-18