Ontario

Historique récent | Ottawa West—Nepean


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 52% ± 10% 32,5% 37,0% 49,3% PC 28% ± 8% 32,8% 34,9% 28,7% PLO 16% ± 6% 29,3% 22,7% 17,8% PVO 2% ± 2% 3,8% 3,9% 2,4% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 0,0% 1,8%

Infolettre Qc125

Chargement…


Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Ottawa West—Nepean

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Ottawa West—Nepean 42% 61% 52% ± 10% NPD 20% 37% 28% ± 8% PC 10% 23% 16% ± 6% PLO NPD 2025 49,33% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Ottawa West—Nepean >99% NPD <1% PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Ottawa West—Nepean

PLO 16% ± 6% PC 28% ± 8% NPD 52% ± 10% Projection du vote % | Ottawa West—Nepean 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 36% NPD 34% PLO 24% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 37% NPD 34% PLO 24% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 37% NPD 35% PLO 24% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 37% NPD 34% PLO 23% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 36% NPD 35% PLO 24% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 38% NPD 33% PLO 24% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 24% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 24% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 37% NPD 34% PLO 24% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 24% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 38% NPD 32% PLO 25% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 38% NPD 32% PLO 25% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 37% NPD 32% PLO 25% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 36% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 36% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 36% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 36% NPD 34% PLO 25% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 36% NPD 34% PLO 25% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 36% NPD 34% PLO 25% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 36% NPD 34% PLO 25% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 36% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 36% NPD 33% PLO 25% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 49% PC 29% PLO 18% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 49% PC 29% PLO 18% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 49% PC 29% PLO 18% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 48% PC 30% PLO 18% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 44% PC 34% PLO 18% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 46% PC 33% PLO 18% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 48% PC 31% PLO 17% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 51% PC 29% PLO 16% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 51% PC 29% PLO 16% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 52% PC 28% PLO 16% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Ottawa West—Nepean

PLO <1% PC <1% NPD >99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 68% NPD 32% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 71% NPD 29% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 63% NPD 37% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 66% NPD 34% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 62% NPD 38% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 73% NPD 27% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 79% NPD 21% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 77% NPD 23% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 70% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 75% NPD 25% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 80% NPD 20% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 85% NPD 14% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 85% NPD 15% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 81% NPD 19% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 77% NPD 23% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 78% NPD 22% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 67% NPD 32% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 68% NPD 32% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 75% NPD 25% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 64% NPD 36% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 63% NPD 37% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 63% NPD 37% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 62% NPD 37% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 72% NPD 28% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 69% NPD 31% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 95% PC 5% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 98% PC 2% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18