Ontario

Historique récent | Chatham-Kent—Leamington


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 54% ± 9% 51,9% 47,6% 52,0% PLO 18% ± 6% 8,1% 0,0% 18,4% NPD 17% ± 6% 35,7% 30,2% 17,1% PNBO 8% ± 5% 0,0% 4,0% 7,9% PVO 3% ± 2% 3,5% 3,4% 2,9% PON 2% ± 2% 0,0% 14,8% 1,6%

Infolettre Qc125

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Projection Qc125 Chatham-Kent—Leamington

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Chatham-Kent—Leamington 45% 63% 54% ± 9% PC 11% 24% 18% ± 6% PLO 10% 23% 17% ± 6% NPD 3% 12% 8% ± 5% PNBO PC 2025 52,02% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Chatham-Kent—Leamington >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Chatham-Kent—Leamington

PLO 18% ± 6% PC 54% ± 9% NPD 17% ± 6% PNBO 8% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Chatham-Kent—Leamington 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PNBO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 54% NPD 29% PLO 1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 54% NPD 29% PLO 1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 59% NPD 28% PLO 1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 59% NPD 28% PLO 1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 58% NPD 28% PLO 2% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 60% NPD 26% PLO 2% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 60% NPD 26% PLO 2% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 60% NPD 26% PLO 2% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 60% NPD 26% PLO 2% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 60% NPD 26% PLO 2% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 59% NPD 26% PLO 2% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 60% NPD 26% PLO 2% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 61% NPD 25% PLO 2% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 61% NPD 24% PLO 2% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 61% NPD 24% PLO 2% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 62% NPD 24% PLO 2% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 62% NPD 23% PLO 2% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 62% NPD 23% PLO 2% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 61% NPD 24% PLO 2% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 61% NPD 24% PLO 2% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 62% NPD 23% PLO 2% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 62% NPD 23% PLO 2% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 62% NPD 23% PLO 2% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 62% NPD 23% PLO 2% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 62% NPD 24% PLO 2% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 62% NPD 24% PLO 2% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 62% NPD 24% PLO 2% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 63% NPD 23% PLO 2% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 63% NPD 23% PLO 2% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 52% PLO 18% NPD 17% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 52% PLO 18% NPD 17% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 52% PLO 18% NPD 17% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 53% PLO 18% NPD 17% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 57% PLO 17% NPD 14% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 57% PLO 18% NPD 13% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 56% PLO 17% NPD 15% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 54% PLO 17% NPD 16% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 54% PLO 18% NPD 16% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 54% PLO 18% NPD 17% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Chatham-Kent—Leamington

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18