Ontario

Historique récent | Don Valley North


2018 2022 2025 Projection PLO 43% ± 10% 30,9% 36,8% 43,8% PC 39% ± 10% 44,4% 47,5% 37,6% IND 10% ± 6% 0,0% 0,0% 9,8% NPD 5% ± 4% 20,9% 9,8% 5,1% PVO 2% ± 2% 2,5% 3,7% 2,6% PNBO 1% ± 2% 0,0% 2,2% 1,1%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Don Valley North

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Don Valley North 32% 53% 43% ± 10% PLO 29% 49% 39% ± 10% PC 3% 16% 10% ± 6% IND 1% 8% 5% ± 4% NPD PLO 2025 43,77% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Don Valley North 68%▲ PLO 32%▼ PC <1% INDProbabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Don Valley North

PLO 43% ± 10% PC 39% ± 10% NPD 5% ± 4% IND 10% ± 6% Projection du vote % | Don Valley North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD IND 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 50% PLO 36% NPD 8% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 50% PLO 36% NPD 8% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 52% PLO 35% NPD 8% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 53% PLO 35% NPD 8% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 52% PLO 36% NPD 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 52% PLO 36% NPD 7% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 52% PLO 36% NPD 7% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 53% PLO 35% NPD 7% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 53% PLO 35% NPD 7% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 52% PLO 36% NPD 7% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 53% PLO 35% NPD 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 53% PLO 35% NPD 7% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 53% PLO 36% NPD 7% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 53% PLO 36% NPD 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 49% PLO 34% NPD 6% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 48% PLO 34% NPD 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 48% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 48% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 46% PLO 34% NPD 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 46% PLO 34% NPD 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 47% PLO 34% NPD 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 47% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 47% PLO 34% NPD 6% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 47% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 47% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 47% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 47% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 48% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 48% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO 44% PC 38% NPD 5% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 44% PC 38% NPD 5% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 44% PC 38% NPD 5% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 43% PC 38% NPD 5% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 42% PC 42% NPD 4% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 42% PC 41% NPD 4% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 42% PC 41% NPD 4% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 42% PC 40% NPD 5% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 42% PC 40% NPD 5% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 43% PC 39% NPD 5% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Don Valley North

PLO 68% PC 32% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO 91% PC 9% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 81% PC 19% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 81% PC 19% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 76% PC 24% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 50% PLO 50% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 54% PC 46% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 54% PC 46% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 63% PC 37% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 65% PC 35% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 68% PC 32% NPD <1% 2026-02-18