Ontario

Historique récent | London North Centre


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 49% ± 10% 47,6% 39,1% 46,7% PC 32% ± 8% 30,9% 30,0% 32,6% PLO 14% ± 6% 15,7% 20,6% 15,6% PVO 3% ± 2% 4,6% 4,8% 3,3% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 2,8% 1,1%

Infolettre Qc125

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Projection Qc125 London North Centre

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

London North Centre 39% 58% 49% ± 10% NPD 24% 41% 32% ± 8% PC 9% 20% 14% ± 6% PLO NPD 2025 46,71% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% London North Centre >99% NPD <1% PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | London North Centre

PLO 14% ± 6% PC 32% ± 8% NPD 49% ± 10% PVO 3% ± 2% Projection du vote % | London North Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 34% PC 31% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 34% PC 31% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 34% NPD 34% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 34% NPD 33% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 34% PC 34% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 34% NPD 32% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 34% NPD 32% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 35% NPD 32% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 35% NPD 32% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 34% NPD 32% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 34% NPD 33% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 34% NPD 33% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 35% NPD 32% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 35% NPD 31% PLO 25% PVO 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 35% NPD 31% PLO 26% PVO 6% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 36% PC 33% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 36% PC 33% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 36% PC 33% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 36% PC 32% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 36% PC 32% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 36% PC 33% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 36% PC 33% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 36% PC 32% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 36% PC 32% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 36% PC 32% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 36% PC 32% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 36% PC 32% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 36% PC 33% PLO 23% PVO 6% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 35% PC 34% PLO 24% PVO 6% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 47% PC 33% PLO 16% PVO 3% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 46% PC 33% PLO 16% PVO 3% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 46% PC 33% PLO 16% PVO 3% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 46% PC 34% PLO 16% PVO 3% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 41% PC 38% PLO 16% PVO 3% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 43% PC 37% PLO 15% PVO 3% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 46% PC 35% PLO 15% PVO 3% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 48% PC 33% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 48% PC 33% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 49% PC 32% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | London North Centre

PLO <1% PC <1% NPD >99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 72% PC 27% PLO 1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 70% PC 30% PLO 1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 52% NPD 48% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 54% NPD 46% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 50% PC 49% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 62% NPD 38% PLO 1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 63% NPD 37% PLO 1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 69% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 67% NPD 32% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 63% NPD 36% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 59% NPD 41% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 64% NPD 36% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 71% NPD 29% PLO 1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 77% NPD 22% PLO 1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 76% NPD 23% PLO 1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 73% PC 27% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 72% PC 28% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 72% PC 28% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 82% PC 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 80% PC 20% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 74% PC 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 74% PC 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 76% PC 24% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 77% PC 23% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 77% PC 23% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 77% PC 23% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 78% PC 22% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 70% PC 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 57% PC 43% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 99% PC 1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 99% PC 1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 98% PC 2% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 70% PC 30% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 84% PC 16% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 96% PC 4% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18