Ontario

Historique récent | York Centre


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 56% ± 10% 50,2% 45,8% 54,0% PLO 34% ± 10% 21,4% 32,0% 35,6% NPD 5% ± 4% 23,4% 14,0% 5,6% PVO 2% ± 2% 2,3% 2,5% 2,2% PNBO 1% ± 2% 0,0% 1,5% 1,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 York Centre

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

York Centre 45% 66% 56% ± 10% PC 24% 44% 34% ± 10% PLO 2% 9% 5% ± 4% NPD PC 2025 53,95% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% York Centre >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | York Centre

PLO 34% ± 10% PC 56% ± 10% NPD 5% ± 4% Projection du vote % | York Centre 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 49% PLO 33% NPD 12% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 49% PLO 33% NPD 11% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 52% PLO 32% NPD 11% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 52% PLO 31% NPD 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 51% PLO 32% NPD 11% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 52% PLO 33% NPD 10% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 52% PLO 33% NPD 10% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 53% PLO 32% NPD 10% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 52% PLO 32% NPD 10% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 52% PLO 32% NPD 10% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 53% PLO 31% NPD 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 52% PLO 32% NPD 10% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 52% PLO 32% NPD 10% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 52% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 52% PLO 34% NPD 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 52% PLO 34% NPD 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 53% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 54% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 54% PLO 33% NPD 9% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 54% PLO 36% NPD 6% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 54% PLO 35% NPD 6% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 54% PLO 36% NPD 5% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 55% PLO 35% NPD 5% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 58% PLO 33% NPD 4% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 58% PLO 33% NPD 4% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 58% PLO 33% NPD 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 56% PLO 34% NPD 5% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 56% PLO 34% NPD 5% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 56% PLO 34% NPD 5% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | York Centre

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18