Ontario

Historique récent | Toronto Centre


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 47% ± 10% 53,7% 43,8% 44,5% PLO 34% ± 9% 27,2% 36,7% 36,2% PC 15% ± 6% 14,1% 12,2% 14,5% PVO 3% ± 2% 3,1% 5,1% 2,7% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 1,1% 0,7% IND 0% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,4%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Toronto Centre

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Toronto Centre 37% 57% 47% ± 10% NPD 24% 43% 34% ± 9% PLO 9% 20% 15% ± 6% PC NPD 2025 44,5% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Toronto Centre 98% NPD 2% PLO <1% PC Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Toronto Centre

PLO 34% ± 9% PC 15% ± 6% NPD 47% ± 10% Projection du vote % | Toronto Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 39% NPD 38% PC 14% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 39% NPD 38% PC 14% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PLO 38% NPD 38% PC 16% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PLO 38% NPD 38% PC 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PLO 39% NPD 38% PC 16% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO 40% NPD 37% PC 16% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO 40% NPD 37% PC 16% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PLO 39% NPD 37% PC 17% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PLO 39% NPD 37% PC 17% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PLO 39% NPD 37% PC 16% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PLO 38% NPD 38% PC 17% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PLO 39% NPD 37% PC 17% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PLO 40% NPD 36% PC 17% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 40% NPD 35% PC 17% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 40% NPD 35% PC 17% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 39% NPD 36% PC 17% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 39% NPD 36% PC 17% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 39% NPD 36% PC 17% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 40% NPD 36% PC 16% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 40% NPD 36% PC 16% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 39% NPD 36% PC 17% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 40% NPD 36% PC 17% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 39% NPD 36% PC 17% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 38% NPD 37% PC 17% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 38% NPD 37% PC 17% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 38% NPD 37% PC 17% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 38% NPD 37% PC 17% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 38% NPD 36% PC 17% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 39% NPD 36% PC 17% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 44% PLO 36% PC 15% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 44% PLO 36% PC 15% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 44% PLO 36% PC 15% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 44% PLO 36% PC 15% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 40% PLO 37% PC 17% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 42% PLO 37% PC 17% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 45% PLO 35% PC 16% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 47% PLO 34% PC 15% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 47% PLO 34% PC 15% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 47% PLO 34% PC 15% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Toronto Centre

PLO 2% NPD 98% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 58% NPD 42% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 58% NPD 42% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PLO 53% NPD 47% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PLO 53% NPD 47% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PLO 54% NPD 46% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO 68% NPD 32% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO 69% NPD 31% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PLO 66% NPD 34% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PLO 66% NPD 34% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PLO 66% NPD 34% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PLO 54% NPD 46% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PLO 62% NPD 38% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PLO 73% NPD 27% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 80% NPD 20% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 81% NPD 19% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 69% NPD 31% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 70% NPD 30% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 71% NPD 29% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 71% NPD 29% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 71% NPD 29% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 71% NPD 29% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 71% NPD 29% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 68% NPD 32% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 59% NPD 41% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 58% NPD 42% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 58% NPD 42% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 58% NPD 42% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 63% NPD 37% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 64% NPD 36% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 98% PLO 2% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 90% PLO 10% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 88% PLO 12% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 88% PLO 12% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 70% PLO 30% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 80% PLO 20% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 95% PLO 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 98% PLO 2% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 98% PLO 2% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 98% PLO 2% 2026-02-18