Ontario

Historique récent | Burlington


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 45% ± 9% 40,4% 42,5% 43,1% PLO 42% ± 9% 24,6% 29,4% 43,1% NPD 8% ± 4% 28,6% 17,6% 8,0% PVO 3% ± 2% 4,5% 6,7% 3,4% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 2,5% 1,3%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Burlington

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Burlington 36% 54% 45% ± 9% PC 33% 51% 42% ± 9% PLO 4% 11% 8% ± 4% NPD PC 2025 43,14% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Burlington 69%▼ PC 31%▲ PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Burlington

PLO 42% ± 9% PC 45% ± 9% NPD 8% ± 4% PVO 3% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Burlington 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 42% PLO 31% NPD 17% PVO 8% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 43% PLO 31% NPD 16% PVO 8% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 45% PLO 30% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 45% PLO 30% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 45% PLO 30% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 15% PVO 7% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 15% PVO 7% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 46% PLO 30% NPD 15% PVO 7% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 46% PLO 31% NPD 15% PVO 7% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 43% PLO 32% NPD 15% PVO 7% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 44% PLO 32% NPD 15% PVO 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 44% PLO 32% NPD 15% PVO 7% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 14% PVO 7% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 14% PVO 7% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 14% PVO 8% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 45% PLO 33% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 45% PLO 33% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 43% PLO 34% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 43% PLO 34% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 45% PLO 33% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 45% PLO 33% NPD 13% PVO 8% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 43% PLO 43% NPD 8% PVO 3% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 43% PLO 43% NPD 8% PVO 3% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 43% PLO 43% NPD 8% PVO 3% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 44% PLO 42% NPD 8% PVO 3% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 47% PLO 41% NPD 6% PVO 3% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 47% PLO 41% NPD 6% PVO 3% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 47% PLO 41% NPD 7% PVO 3% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 45% PLO 41% NPD 8% PVO 3% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 45% PLO 41% NPD 8% PVO 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 45% PLO 42% NPD 8% PVO 3% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Burlington

PLO 31% PC 69% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 51% PLO 49% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 53% PLO 47% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 52% PLO 48% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 60% PLO 40% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 86% PLO 14% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 83% PLO 17% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 83% PLO 17% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 75% PLO 25% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 72% PLO 28% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 69% PLO 31% NPD <1% 2026-02-18