Ontario

Historique récent | Niagara Falls


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 57% ± 9% 50,8% 48,1% 55,0% PC 34% ± 9% 35,6% 36,5% 34,5% PLO 6% ± 3% 9,4% 8,4% 6,3% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 2,8% 1,6% PVO 1% ± 1% 3,5% 2,7% 1,6% PON 0% ± 1% 0,0% 1,3% 0,5% IND 0% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,5%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Niagara Falls

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Niagara Falls 47% 66% 57% ± 9% NPD 25% 42% 34% ± 9% PC 3% 9% 6% ± 3% PLO NPD 2025 54,95% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Niagara Falls >99% NPD <1% PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Niagara Falls

PLO 6% ± 3% PC 34% ± 9% NPD 57% ± 9% Projection du vote % | Niagara Falls 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 42% PC 41% PLO 10% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 42% NPD 42% PLO 10% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 44% NPD 41% PLO 10% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 43% NPD 42% PLO 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 42% NPD 42% PLO 10% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 43% NPD 41% PLO 11% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 43% NPD 41% PLO 11% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 44% NPD 40% PLO 11% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 44% NPD 40% PLO 11% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 43% NPD 41% PLO 11% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 42% NPD 42% PLO 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 43% NPD 41% PLO 11% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 43% NPD 41% PLO 11% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 44% NPD 40% PLO 11% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 44% NPD 40% PLO 11% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 41% NPD 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 41% NPD 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 41% NPD 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 42% PC 40% PLO 12% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 42% PC 40% PLO 12% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 41% PC 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 41% PC 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 42% PC 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 42% PC 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 42% PC 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 42% PC 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 42% PC 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 42% NPD 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 42% NPD 41% PLO 12% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 55% PC 35% PLO 6% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 54% PC 35% PLO 6% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 54% PC 35% PLO 6% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 54% PC 36% PLO 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 49% PC 41% PLO 6% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 51% PC 39% PLO 6% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 53% PC 37% PLO 6% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 56% PC 34% PLO 6% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 56% PC 34% PLO 6% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 57% PC 34% PLO 6% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Niagara Falls

PLO <1% PC <1% NPD >99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 52% PC 48% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 51% NPD 49% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 67% NPD 33% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 56% NPD 44% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 51% NPD 49% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 64% NPD 36% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 65% NPD 35% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 72% NPD 28% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 70% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 58% NPD 42% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 53% NPD 47% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 58% NPD 42% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 66% NPD 34% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 73% NPD 27% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 52% NPD 48% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 51% NPD 49% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 52% NPD 48% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 62% PC 38% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 60% PC 40% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 51% PC 49% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 51% PC 49% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 54% PC 46% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 54% PC 46% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 55% PC 45% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 55% PC 45% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 56% PC 44% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 56% NPD 44% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 55% NPD 45% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 90% PC 10% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 96% PC 4% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18