Ontario

Historique récent | Oshawa


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 48% ± 10% 44,8% 42,1% 45,9% PC 41% ± 10% 41,8% 40,2% 41,5% PLO 8% ± 4% 7,9% 9,1% 8,8% PVO 2% ± 2% 3,6% 4,0% 2,1% PNBO 1% ± 2% 0,0% 2,5% 1,4% IND 0% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,3%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Oshawa

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Oshawa 38% 58% 48% ± 10% NPD 31% 50% 41% ± 10% PC 4% 12% 8% ± 4% PLO NPD 2025 45,87% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Oshawa 85%▲ NPD 15%▼ PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Oshawa

PLO 8% ± 4% PC 41% ± 10% NPD 48% ± 10% Projection du vote % | Oshawa 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 41% NPD 41% PLO 11% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 11% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 43% NPD 40% PLO 10% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 44% NPD 40% PLO 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 43% NPD 40% PLO 11% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 44% NPD 39% PLO 11% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 44% NPD 39% PLO 11% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 44% NPD 38% PLO 11% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 44% NPD 38% PLO 11% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 12% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 11% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 43% NPD 39% PLO 12% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 12% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 12% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 43% NPD 40% PLO 10% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 43% NPD 40% PLO 10% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 43% NPD 40% PLO 10% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 43% NPD 40% PLO 10% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 43% NPD 40% PLO 10% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 44% NPD 39% PLO 10% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 44% NPD 39% PLO 10% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 46% PC 42% PLO 9% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 45% PC 42% PLO 9% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 45% PC 42% PLO 9% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 45% PC 43% PLO 9% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 48% NPD 40% PLO 9% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 46% NPD 42% PLO 9% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 44% PC 44% PLO 8% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 47% PC 41% PLO 8% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 47% PC 41% PLO 8% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 48% PC 41% PLO 8% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Oshawa

PLO <1% PC 15% NPD 85% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 55% NPD 45% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 58% NPD 42% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 69% NPD 31% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 72% NPD 28% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 67% NPD 33% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 79% NPD 21% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 79% NPD 21% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 84% NPD 16% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 83% NPD 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 67% NPD 33% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 62% NPD 38% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 67% NPD 33% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 80% NPD 20% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 80% NPD 20% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 82% NPD 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 80% NPD 20% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 80% NPD 20% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 70% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 70% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 77% NPD 23% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 78% NPD 22% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 72% NPD 28% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 68% NPD 32% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 67% NPD 33% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 68% NPD 32% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 67% NPD 33% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 77% NPD 23% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 76% NPD 24% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 86% PC 14% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 70% PC 30% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 68% PC 32% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 60% PC 40% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 88% NPD 12% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 76% NPD 24% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 53% PC 47% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 81% PC 19% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 82% PC 18% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 85% PC 15% PLO <1% 2026-02-18