Oxford
Député(e) : Hardeman, Ernie (PPCO)
Dernière mise à jour : 9 octobre 2024
PPCO solide
Oxford
50% ± 9%▼
PPCO
18% ± 6%
NPD
15% ± 6%
PLO
7% ± 4%
PON
7% ± 4%
PVO
3% ± 2%
PNBO
PPCO 2022
50,0%
Projection du vote | 9 octobre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des
sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit
pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125,
cliquez ici .
50%
100%
Oxford
>99%
PPCO
<1%
NPD
<1%
PLO
Probabilités de victoire | 9 octobre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles
si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui . Elles sont calculées par un programme de type
Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).
Projection du vote | Oxford
PLO 15% ± 6%
PPCO 50% ± 9%
NPD 18% ± 6%
PVO 7% ± 4%
PON 7% ± 4%
Projection du vote % | Oxford
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022-05-01
2022-09-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-05-01
2023-09-01
2024►
2024-01-01
2024-05-01
2024-09-01
2025►
2025-01-01
2025-05-01
Élection 2022
PLO
PPCO
NPD
PVO
PON
9 octobre 2024
2022-04-30
PPCO 55%
NPD 20%
PLO 13%
PVO 6%
2022-04-30
2022-05-03
PPCO 55%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-03
2022-05-04
PPCO 55%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-04
2022-05-05
PPCO 55%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-05
2022-05-06
PPCO 55%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-06
2022-05-07
PPCO 55%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-07
2022-05-08
PPCO 55%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-08
2022-05-09
PPCO 55%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-09
2022-05-10
PPCO 54%
NPD 21%
PLO 13%
PVO 6%
2022-05-10
2022-05-11
PPCO 55%
NPD 20%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-11
2022-05-12
PPCO 55%
NPD 20%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-12
2022-05-13
PPCO 56%
NPD 20%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-13
2022-05-14
PPCO 57%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-14
2022-05-15
PPCO 58%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-15
2022-05-16
PPCO 57%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 6%
2022-05-16
2022-05-17
PPCO 56%
NPD 20%
PLO 15%
PVO 6%
2022-05-17
2022-05-18
PPCO 56%
NPD 20%
PLO 15%
PVO 6%
2022-05-18
2022-05-19
PPCO 55%
NPD 19%
PLO 14%
PVO 8%
2022-05-19
2022-05-20
PPCO 54%
NPD 21%
PLO 14%
PVO 9%
2022-05-20
2022-05-21
PPCO 54%
NPD 21%
PLO 14%
PVO 9%
2022-05-21
2022-05-22
PPCO 53%
NPD 21%
PLO 14%
PVO 9%
2022-05-22
2022-05-23
PPCO 54%
NPD 20%
PLO 14%
PVO 9%
2022-05-23
2022-05-24
PPCO 54%
NPD 20%
PLO 14%
PVO 9%
2022-05-24
2022-05-25
PPCO 54%
NPD 20%
PLO 14%
PVO 8%
2022-05-25
2022-05-26
PPCO 53%
NPD 20%
PLO 14%
PVO 9%
2022-05-26
2022-05-27
PPCO 54%
NPD 20%
PLO 13%
PVO 8%
2022-05-27
2022-05-28
PPCO 55%
NPD 19%
PLO 13%
PVO 8%
2022-05-28
2022-05-29
PPCO 55%
NPD 19%
PLO 13%
PVO 8%
2022-05-29
2022-05-30
PPCO 55%
NPD 19%
PLO 13%
PVO 8%
2022-05-30
2022-05-31
PPCO 56%
NPD 19%
PLO 13%
PVO 8%
2022-05-31
2022-06-01
PPCO 58%
NPD 18%
PLO 12%
PVO 8%
2022-06-01
2022-06-03
PPCO 50%
NPD 21%
PLO 12%
PVO 5%
2022-06-03
2022-12-30
PPCO 49%
NPD 22%
PLO 12%
PVO 5%
2022-12-30
2023-02-15
PPCO 50%
NPD 20%
PLO 13%
PVO 5%
2023-02-15
2023-03-09
PPCO 49%
NPD 20%
PLO 13%
PVO 5%
2023-03-09
2023-03-17
PPCO 49%
NPD 20%
PLO 13%
PVO 5%
2023-03-17
2023-04-16
PPCO 49%
NPD 21%
PLO 13%
PVO 5%
2023-04-16
2023-07-07
PPCO 44%
NPD 23%
PLO 13%
PVO 7%
2023-07-07
2023-07-22
PPCO 45%
NPD 23%
PLO 13%
PVO 7%
2023-07-22
2023-07-28
PPCO 46%
NPD 22%
PLO 13%
PVO 7%
2023-07-28
2023-08-26
PPCO 46%
NPD 22%
PLO 13%
PVO 7%
2023-08-26
2023-10-07
PPCO 44%
NPD 23%
PLO 14%
PVO 7%
2023-10-07
2023-10-23
PPCO 46%
NPD 22%
PLO 13%
PVO 6%
2023-10-23
2023-12-01
PPCO 50%
NPD 22%
PLO 13%
PVO 7%
2023-12-01
2023-12-20
PPCO 49%
NPD 22%
PLO 14%
PVO 6%
2023-12-20
2024-02-02
PPCO 49%
NPD 22%
PLO 14%
PVO 6%
2024-02-02
2024-02-20
PPCO 46%
NPD 20%
PLO 18%
PVO 6%
2024-02-20
2024-03-05
PPCO 48%
NPD 19%
PLO 17%
PVO 7%
2024-03-05
2024-04-04
PPCO 48%
NPD 19%
PLO 16%
PVO 6%
2024-04-04
2024-05-03
PPCO 49%
NPD 19%
PLO 16%
PVO 7%
2024-05-03
2024-06-30
PPCO 49%
NPD 19%
PLO 15%
PVO 7%
2024-06-30
2024-07-29
PPCO 51%
NPD 18%
PLO 15%
PVO 7%
2024-07-29
2024-10-09
PPCO 50%
NPD 18%
PLO 15%
PVO 7%
2024-10-09
Probabilités de victoire | Oxford
PLO <1%
PPCO >99%
NPD <1%
PVO <1%
Probabilité de victoire
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022-05-01
2022-09-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-05-01
2023-09-01
2024►
2024-01-01
2024-05-01
2024-09-01
2025►
2025-01-01
2025-05-01
Élection 2022
PLO
PPCO
NPD
PVO
9 octobre 2024
2022-04-30
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-04-30
2022-05-03
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-03
2022-05-04
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-04
2022-05-05
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-05
2022-05-06
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-06
2022-05-07
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-07
2022-05-08
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-08
2022-05-09
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-09
2022-05-10
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-10
2022-05-11
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-11
2022-05-12
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-12
2022-05-13
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-13
2022-05-14
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-14
2022-05-15
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-15
2022-05-16
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-16
2022-05-17
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-17
2022-05-18
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-18
2022-05-19
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-19
2022-05-20
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-20
2022-05-21
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-21
2022-05-22
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-22
2022-05-23
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-23
2022-05-24
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-24
2022-05-25
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-25
2022-05-26
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-26
2022-05-27
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-27
2022-05-28
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-28
2022-05-29
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-29
2022-05-30
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-30
2022-05-31
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-05-31
2022-06-01
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-06-01
2022-06-03
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-06-03
2022-12-30
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2022-12-30
2023-02-15
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-02-15
2023-03-09
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-03-09
2023-03-17
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-03-17
2023-04-16
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-04-16
2023-07-07
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-07-07
2023-07-22
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-07-22
2023-07-28
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-07-28
2023-08-26
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-08-26
2023-10-07
PPCO >99%
NPD <1%
PVO <1%
PLO <1%
2023-10-07
2023-10-23
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-10-23
2023-12-01
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-12-01
2023-12-20
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2023-12-20
2024-02-02
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2024-02-02
2024-02-20
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2024-02-20
2024-03-05
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2024-03-05
2024-04-04
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2024-04-04
2024-05-03
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2024-05-03
2024-06-30
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2024-06-30
2024-07-29
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2024-07-29
2024-10-09
PPCO >99%
PVO <1%
NPD <1%
PLO <1%
2024-10-09
Historique récent | Oxford
2014
2018
2022
Proj.
PPCO
46,2%
55,7%
50,0%
50% ± 9%
NPD
25,7%
30,4%
21,4%
18% ± 6%
PLO
21,4%
6,9%
12,3%
15% ± 6%
PON
0,0%
0,0%
8,1%
7% ± 4%
PVO
4,8%
4,3%
4,7%
7% ± 4%
PNBO
0,0%
0,0%
3,4%
3% ± 2%