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Oxford


Député(e) : Hardeman, Ernie (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 12 novembre 2024
PPCO solide
Oxford 50% ± 9% PPCO 18% ± 6% NPD 15% ± 6% PLO 7% ± 4% PON 6% ± 4%▼ PVO 3% ± 2% PNBO PPCO 2022 50,0% Projection du vote | 12 novembre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Oxford >99% PPCO <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 12 novembre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Oxford

PLO 15% ± 6% PPCO 50% ± 9% NPD 18% ± 6% PVO 6% ± 4% PON 7% ± 4% Projection du vote % | Oxford 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO PON 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 55% NPD 20% PLO 13% PVO 6% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 55% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 55% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 55% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 55% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 55% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 55% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 55% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 54% NPD 21% PLO 13% PVO 6% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 55% NPD 20% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 55% NPD 20% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 56% NPD 20% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 57% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 58% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 57% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 56% NPD 20% PLO 15% PVO 6% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 56% NPD 20% PLO 15% PVO 6% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 55% NPD 19% PLO 14% PVO 8% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 54% NPD 21% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 54% NPD 21% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 53% NPD 21% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 54% NPD 20% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 54% NPD 20% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 54% NPD 20% PLO 14% PVO 8% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 53% NPD 20% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 54% NPD 20% PLO 13% PVO 8% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 55% NPD 19% PLO 13% PVO 8% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 55% NPD 19% PLO 13% PVO 8% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 55% NPD 19% PLO 13% PVO 8% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 56% NPD 19% PLO 13% PVO 8% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 58% NPD 18% PLO 12% PVO 8% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 50% NPD 21% PLO 12% PVO 5% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 49% NPD 22% PLO 12% PVO 5% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 50% NPD 20% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 49% NPD 20% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 49% NPD 20% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 49% NPD 21% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 44% NPD 23% PLO 13% PVO 7% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 45% NPD 23% PLO 13% PVO 7% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 46% NPD 22% PLO 13% PVO 7% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 46% NPD 22% PLO 13% PVO 7% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 44% NPD 23% PLO 14% PVO 7% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 46% NPD 22% PLO 13% PVO 6% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 50% NPD 22% PLO 13% PVO 7% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 49% NPD 22% PLO 14% PVO 6% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 49% NPD 22% PLO 14% PVO 6% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 46% NPD 20% PLO 18% PVO 6% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 48% NPD 19% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 48% NPD 19% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 49% NPD 19% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 49% NPD 19% PLO 15% PVO 7% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 51% NPD 18% PLO 15% PVO 7% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 50% NPD 18% PLO 15% PVO 7% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO 50% NPD 18% PLO 15% PVO 6% 2024-11-11

Probabilités de victoire | Oxford

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-11-11

Historique récent | Oxford



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 46,2% 55,7% 50,0% 50% ± 9% NPD 25,7% 30,4% 21,4% 18% ± 6% PLO 21,4% 6,9% 12,3% 15% ± 6% PON 0,0% 0,0% 8,1% 7% ± 4% PVO 4,8% 4,3% 4,7% 6% ± 4% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 3,4% 3% ± 2%