Ontario

Historique récent | Thunder Bay—Atikokan


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 47% ± 10% 23,2% 36,3% 45,7% NPD 25% ± 9% 36,3% 32,9% 25,9% PLO 24% ± 8% 36,0% 24,4% 24,6% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 2,0% 1,7% PVO 1% ± 2% 2,7% 2,9% 1,5%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Thunder Bay—Atikokan

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Thunder Bay—Atikokan 37% 58% 47% ± 10% PC 16% 34% 25% ± 9% NPD 16% 32% 24% ± 8% PLO PC 2025 45,71% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Thunder Bay—Atikokan >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Thunder Bay—Atikokan

PLO 24% ± 8% PC 47% ± 10% NPD 25% ± 9% Projection du vote % | Thunder Bay—Atikokan 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 37% PLO 30% NPD 27% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 37% PLO 30% NPD 26% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 40% PLO 29% NPD 26% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 40% PLO 29% NPD 26% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 39% PLO 30% NPD 26% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 40% PLO 31% NPD 24% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 40% PLO 31% NPD 24% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 41% PLO 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 41% PLO 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 40% PLO 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 41% PLO 30% NPD 25% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 41% PLO 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 41% PLO 31% NPD 23% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 41% PLO 31% NPD 22% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 41% PLO 31% NPD 22% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 41% PLO 32% NPD 22% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 42% PLO 32% NPD 21% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 42% PLO 32% NPD 21% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 41% PLO 32% NPD 22% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 41% PLO 32% NPD 22% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 42% PLO 32% NPD 21% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 38% PLO 31% NPD 26% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 38% PLO 31% NPD 26% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 37% PLO 30% NPD 27% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 37% PLO 30% NPD 27% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 37% PLO 30% NPD 27% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 37% PLO 30% NPD 27% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 38% PLO 30% NPD 27% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 38% PLO 30% NPD 27% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 46% NPD 26% PLO 25% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 46% NPD 26% PLO 25% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 46% NPD 25% PLO 25% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 47% NPD 25% PLO 24% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 51% PLO 24% NPD 21% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 51% PLO 24% NPD 21% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 50% PLO 24% NPD 23% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 48% NPD 25% PLO 24% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 48% NPD 25% PLO 24% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 47% NPD 25% PLO 24% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Thunder Bay—Atikokan

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 85% PLO 13% NPD 2% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 87% PLO 12% NPD 1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 95% PLO 4% NPD 1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD 1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 91% PLO 9% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 88% PLO 10% NPD 1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 88% PLO 11% NPD 1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 88% PLO 10% NPD 3% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 88% PLO 10% NPD 3% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 87% PLO 10% NPD 3% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 88% PLO 10% NPD 3% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 90% PLO 8% NPD 2% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 89% PLO 9% NPD 2% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18