Ontario

Historique récent | Peterborough—Kawartha


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 42% ± 9% 37,5% 38,5% 40,5% PLO 35% ± 9% 24,6% 30,6% 36,4% NPD 17% ± 6% 33,9% 21,4% 17,2% PVO 3% ± 2% 3,4% 3,7% 3,1% PNBO 2% ± 1% 0,0% 2,1% 1,6% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 3,8% 1,2%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Peterborough—Kawartha

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Peterborough—Kawartha 34% 51% 42% ± 9% PC 27% 44% 35% ± 9% PLO 11% 23% 17% ± 6% NPD PC 2025 40,49% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Peterborough—Kawartha 88%▼ PC 12%▲ PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Peterborough—Kawartha

PLO 35% ± 9% PC 42% ± 9% NPD 17% ± 6% PVO 3% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Peterborough—Kawartha 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 39% PLO 33% NPD 20% PVO 5% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 40% PLO 33% NPD 20% PVO 5% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 42% PLO 32% NPD 19% PVO 4% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 42% PLO 32% NPD 19% PVO 4% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 42% PLO 32% NPD 19% PVO 4% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 42% PLO 33% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 43% PLO 32% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 43% PLO 33% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 43% PLO 33% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 43% PLO 32% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 43% PLO 32% NPD 18% PVO 4% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 43% PLO 33% NPD 17% PVO 4% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 43% PLO 33% NPD 17% PVO 4% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 43% PLO 33% NPD 17% PVO 4% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 43% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 43% PLO 35% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 43% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 43% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% PVO 4% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 15% PVO 4% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 15% PVO 4% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 40% PLO 36% NPD 17% PVO 3% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 41% PLO 36% NPD 17% PVO 3% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 41% PLO 36% NPD 17% PVO 3% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 42% PLO 36% NPD 17% PVO 3% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 45% PLO 35% NPD 14% PVO 3% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 45% PLO 36% NPD 14% PVO 3% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 43% PLO 35% NPD 16% PVO 3% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 43% PLO 35% NPD 17% PVO 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 42% PLO 35% NPD 17% PVO 3% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Peterborough—Kawartha

PLO 12% PC 88% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 86% PLO 14% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 88% PLO 12% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 93% PLO 7% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 89% PLO 11% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 79% PLO 21% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 77% PLO 23% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 83% PLO 17% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 89% PLO 11% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 88% PLO 12% NPD <1% 2026-02-18