Ontario

Historique récent | London—Fanshawe


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 50% ± 10% 55,7% 47,1% 47,6% PC 34% ± 9% 29,8% 32,8% 34,2% PLO 11% ± 5% 8,4% 10,4% 12,4% PVO 2% ± 2% 4,5% 3,5% 2,6% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 3,1% 1,7% IND 0% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,5%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 London—Fanshawe

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

London—Fanshawe 40% 60% 50% ± 10% NPD 25% 43% 34% ± 9% PC 6% 16% 11% ± 5% PLO NPD 2025 47,59% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% London—Fanshawe 99% NPD 1% PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | London—Fanshawe

PLO 11% ± 5% PC 34% ± 9% NPD 50% ± 10% Projection du vote % | London—Fanshawe 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 43% PC 35% PLO 13% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 42% PC 36% PLO 13% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 42% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 42% PC 39% PLO 12% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 42% PC 38% PLO 13% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 41% PC 39% PLO 13% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 40% PC 39% PLO 13% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 40% PC 40% PLO 13% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 40% PC 39% PLO 13% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 40% PC 39% PLO 13% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 41% PC 39% PLO 12% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 41% PC 39% PLO 13% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 40% PC 39% PLO 13% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 40% NPD 39% PLO 13% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 40% NPD 39% PLO 13% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 44% PC 37% PLO 12% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 43% PC 37% PLO 12% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 43% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 42% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 42% PC 38% PLO 12% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 48% PC 34% PLO 12% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 47% PC 35% PLO 12% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 47% PC 35% PLO 13% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 46% PC 35% PLO 12% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 42% PC 40% PLO 12% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 44% PC 39% PLO 12% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 46% PC 36% PLO 12% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 49% PC 34% PLO 11% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 49% PC 34% PLO 11% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 50% PC 34% PLO 11% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | London—Fanshawe

PLO <1% PC 1% NPD 99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 88% PC 12% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 86% PC 14% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 71% PC 29% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 69% PC 31% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 74% PC 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 62% PC 38% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 61% PC 39% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 54% PC 46% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 56% PC 44% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 60% PC 40% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 65% PC 35% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 59% PC 41% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 52% PC 48% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 57% NPD 43% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 56% NPD 44% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 79% PC 21% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 78% PC 22% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 78% PC 22% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 87% PC 13% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 85% PC 15% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 80% PC 20% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 80% PC 20% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 82% PC 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 83% PC 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 83% PC 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 83% PC 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 84% PC 16% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 76% PC 24% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 74% PC 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PC <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 98% PC 2% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 98% PC 2% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 96% PC 4% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 63% PC 37% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 78% PC 22% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 94% PC 6% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 99% PC 1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 99% PC 1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 99% PC 1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18