Ontario

Historique récent | Essex


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 57% ± 9% 42,3% 51,1% 55,5% NPD 21% ± 7% 48,5% 28,3% 21,7% PLO 15% ± 5% 5,7% 8,5% 15,7% PVO 2% ± 2% 3,5% 2,0% 2,3% PON 2% ± 2% 0,0% 6,8% 2,0% PNBO 2% ± 1% 0,0% 2,7% 1,6% IND 0% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,4%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Essex

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Essex 49% 66% 57% ± 9% PC 14% 28% 21% ± 7% NPD 10% 21% 15% ± 5% PLO PC 2025 55,46% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Essex >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Essex

PLO 15% ± 5% PC 57% ± 9% NPD 21% ± 7% Projection du vote % | Essex 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 54% NPD 26% PLO 10% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 55% NPD 25% PLO 10% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 58% NPD 25% PLO 10% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 58% NPD 25% PLO 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 57% NPD 25% PLO 11% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 59% NPD 23% PLO 11% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 59% NPD 23% PLO 11% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 59% NPD 23% PLO 11% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 59% NPD 23% PLO 11% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 59% NPD 23% PLO 11% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 59% NPD 23% PLO 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 59% NPD 23% PLO 11% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 60% NPD 22% PLO 11% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 60% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 60% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 60% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 61% NPD 20% PLO 11% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 61% NPD 20% PLO 11% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 60% NPD 21% PLO 12% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 60% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 61% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 61% NPD 20% PLO 11% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 61% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 61% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 61% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 61% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 61% NPD 21% PLO 11% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 61% NPD 20% PLO 11% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 62% NPD 20% PLO 11% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 55% NPD 22% PLO 16% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 56% NPD 21% PLO 16% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 56% NPD 21% PLO 16% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 57% NPD 21% PLO 15% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 61% NPD 17% PLO 15% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 61% NPD 17% PLO 15% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 60% NPD 19% PLO 15% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 58% NPD 20% PLO 15% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 58% NPD 21% PLO 15% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 57% NPD 21% PLO 15% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Essex

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18