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Ontario

Sault Ste. Marie


Député(e) : Romano, Ross (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 29 juillet 2024
PPCO solide
Sault Ste. Marie 50% ± 10%▲ PPCO 29% ± 9%▼ NPD 9% ± 5% PLO 4% ± 3% PVO 3% ± 3% PNBO PPCO 2022 46,9% Projection du vote | 29 juillet 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Sault Ste. Marie >99% PPCO <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 29 juillet 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Sault Ste. Marie

PLO 9% ± 5% PPCO 50% ± 10% NPD 29% ± 9% Projection du vote % | Sault Ste. Marie 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 44% NPD 26% PLO 17% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 17% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 17% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 17% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 17% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 42% NPD 28% PLO 17% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 42% NPD 28% PLO 18% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 42% NPD 27% PLO 18% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 42% NPD 28% PLO 18% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 17% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 17% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 17% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 17% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 17% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 17% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 42% NPD 26% PLO 20% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 42% NPD 30% PLO 16% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 41% NPD 30% PLO 16% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 40% NPD 30% PLO 15% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 40% NPD 30% PLO 15% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 40% NPD 30% PLO 15% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 41% NPD 30% PLO 15% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 41% NPD 30% PLO 15% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 40% NPD 29% PLO 15% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 40% NPD 29% PLO 15% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 40% NPD 34% PLO 11% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 41% NPD 33% PLO 11% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 41% NPD 33% PLO 11% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 39% NPD 34% PLO 11% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 40% NPD 34% PLO 11% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 41% NPD 34% PLO 10% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 47% NPD 37% PLO 6% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 46% NPD 38% PLO 6% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 47% NPD 36% PLO 6% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 47% NPD 36% PLO 7% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 47% NPD 36% PLO 7% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 47% NPD 36% PLO 6% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 43% NPD 39% PLO 6% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 43% NPD 39% PLO 6% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 44% NPD 38% PLO 6% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 45% NPD 38% PLO 6% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 42% NPD 40% PLO 7% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 44% NPD 39% PLO 6% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 47% NPD 37% PLO 6% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 46% NPD 37% PLO 7% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 46% NPD 37% PLO 7% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 41% NPD 30% PLO 18% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 17% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 44% NPD 29% PLO 16% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 48% NPD 31% PLO 10% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 48% NPD 31% PLO 9% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 50% NPD 29% PLO 9% 2024-07-29

Probabilités de victoire | Sault Ste. Marie

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 96% NPD 4% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 96% NPD 4% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 95% NPD 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 84% NPD 16% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 90% NPD 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 90% NPD 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 79% NPD 21% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 80% NPD 20% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 88% NPD 12% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 88% NPD 12% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 95% NPD 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 95% NPD 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 95% NPD 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 93% NPD 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 71% NPD 29% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 73% NPD 27% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 80% NPD 20% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 83% NPD 17% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 65% NPD 35% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 78% NPD 22% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 91% NPD 9% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 89% NPD 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 91% NPD 9% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29

Historique récent | Sault Ste. Marie



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 12,4% 42,0% 46,9% 50% ± 10% NPD 25,5% 40,7% 37,3% 29% ± 9% PLO 58,5% 10,0% 6,0% 9% ± 5% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 3,3% 3% ± 3% PVO 3,2% 3,3% 2,5% 4% ± 3%