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Parti progressiste conservateur de l'Ontario

Mise à jour : 24 mai 2026
ChefDoug Ford
Proportion du suffrage en 202543,0%
Projection de vote actuelle37,7% ± 4,1%
Nombre actuel de députés-es élus-es79
Projection de sièges actuelle53 [39-69]

Infolettre Qc125

Chargement…

Projection de sièges Projection du vote | 24 mai 2026 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% Majorité : 63 sièges Efficacité du vote | PC Qc125 Ontario 4,5 siège/% [39-69] 38% ± 4% 2018 2025
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.

Projection du vote | 24 mai 2026

28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 33,5% ▼ 37,7% ± 4,1% ▼ Max. 41,8% ▼ 2025 43,0% Probabilités % PC

Projection de sièges | 24 mai 2026

21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 39 ▼ 53 ▼ Majority 63 seats Max. 69 ▼ 2025 80 seats Probabilities % PC

Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti progressiste conservateur de l'Ontario



Circonscriptions Parti actuel Projection
1.
Timmins
George Pirie
 PC PPCO solide
2.
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry
Nolan Quinn
 PC PPCO solide
3.
Kenora—Rainy River
Greg Rickford
 PC PPCO solide
4.
Essex
Anthony Leardi
 PC PPCO solide
5.
Chatham-Kent—Leamington
Trevor Jones
 PC PPCO solide
6.
York—Simcoe
Caroline Mulroney
 PC PPCO solide
7.
Vaughan—Woodbridge
Michael Tibollo
 PC PPCO solide
8.
Nipissing
Vic Fedeli
 PC PPCO solide
9.
Sarnia—Lambton
Bob Bailey
 PC PPCO solide
10.
King—Vaughan
Stephen Lecce
 PC PPCO solide
11.
Thornhill
Laura Smith
 PC PPCO solide
12.
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
Billy Denault
 PC PPCO solide
13.
Oxford
Ernie Hardeman
 PC PPCO solide
14.
Etobicoke North
Doug Ford
 PC PPCO solide
15.
Elgin—Middlesex—London
Rob Flack
 PC PPCO solide
16.
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock
Laurie Scott
 PC PPCO solide
17.
Brantford—Brant
Will Bouma
 PC PPCO solide
18.
Dufferin—Caledon
Sylvia Jones
 PC PPCO probable
19.
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Stephen Pinsonneault
 PC PPCO probable
20.
Barrie—Innisfil
Andrea Khanjin
 PC PPCO probable
21.
Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes
Steve Clark
 PC PPCO probable
22.
Markham—Unionville
Billy Pang
 PC PPCO probable
23.
Niagara West
Sam Oosterhoff
 PC PPCO probable
24.
Brampton North
Graham Mcgregor
 PC PPCO probable
25.
Windsor—Tecumseh
Andrew Dowie
 PC PPCO probable
26.
Simcoe North
Jill Dunlop
 PC PPCO probable
27.
Huron—Bruce
Lisa Thompson
 PC PPCO probable
28.
Thunder Bay—Atikokan
Kevin Holland
 PC PPCO probable
29.
York Centre
Michael Kerzner
 PC PPCO probable
30.
Kitchener South—Hespeler
Jess Dixon
 PC PPCO probable
31.
Brampton West
Amarjot Sandhu
 PC PPCO probable
32.
Scarborough North
Raymond Cho
 PC PPCO probable
33.
Durham
Todd Mccarthy
 PC PPCO probable
34.
Algoma—Manitoulin
Bill Rosenberg
 PC PPCO probable
35.
Brampton East
Hardeep Grewal
 PC PPCO probable
36.
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
Michael Parsa
 PC PPCO probable
37.
Simcoe—Grey
Brian Saunderson
 PC PPCO enclin
38.
Perth—Wellington
Matthew Rae
 PC PPCO enclin
39.
Wellington—Halton Hills
Joseph Racinsky
 PC PPCO enclin
40.
Hastings—Lennox and Addington
Ric Bresee
 PC PPCO enclin
41.
Brampton South
Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria
 PC PPCO enclin
42.
Northumberland—Peterborough South
David Piccini
 PC PPCO enclin
43.
Richmond Hill
Daisy Wai
 PC PPCO enclin
44.
Flamborough—Glanbrook
Donna Skelly
 PC PPCO enclin
45.
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston
John Jordan
 PC PPCO enclin
46.
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
Paul Vickers
 PC PPCO enclin
47.
Brampton Centre
Charmaine Williams
 PC PPCO enclin
48.
Bay of Quinte
Tyler Allsopp
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
49.
Kitchener—Conestoga
Mike Harris
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
50.
Scarborough—Rouge Park
Vijay Thanigasalam
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
51.
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
Doug Downey
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
52.
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell
Stéphane Sarrazin
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
53.
Scarborough—Agincourt
Aris Babikian
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
54.
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
Neil Lumsden
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
55.
Parry Sound—Muskoka
Graydon Smith
 PC Pivot PC/PVO
56.
Markham—Thornhill
Logan Kanapathi
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
57.
Etobicoke Centre
Kinga Surma
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
58.
Mississauga—Malton
Deepak Anand
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
59.
Carleton
George Darouze
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
60.
Cambridge
Brian Riddell
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
61.
Hamilton Mountain
Monica Ciriello
 PC PLO enclin
62.
Markham—Stouffville
Paul Calandra
 PC PLO enclin
63.
Scarborough Centre
David Smith
 PC PLO enclin
64.
Willowdale
Stan Cho
 PC PLO enclin
65.
Sault Ste. Marie
Chris Scott [Élu avec le PC]
 I NPD enclin
66.
Oakville North—Burlington
Effie Triantafilopoulos
 PC PLO enclin
67.
Pickering—Uxbridge
Peter Bethlenfalvy
 PC PLO enclin
68.
Whitby
Lorne Coe
 PC PLO enclin
69.
Humber River—Black Creek
Tom Rakocevic
 N Pivot PLO/PC/NPD
70.
Eglinton—Lawrence
Michelle Cooper
 PC PLO enclin
71.
York South—Weston
Mohamed Firin
 PC PLO enclin
72.
Peterborough—Kawartha
Dave Smith
 PC PLO enclin
73.
Mushkegowuk—James Bay
Guy Bourgouin
 N NPD enclin
74.
Mississauga Centre
Natalia Kusendova
 PC PLO enclin
75.
Milton
Zee Hamid
 PC PLO enclin
76.
Newmarket—Aurora
Dawn Gallagher Murphy
 PC PLO probable
77.
Mississauga—Streetsville
Nina Tangri
 PC PLO probable
78.
Mississauga East—Cooksville
Silvia Gualtieri
 PC PLO probable
79.
Oakville
Stephen Crawford
 PC PLO probable
80.
Mississauga—Lakeshore
Rudy Cuzzetto
 PC PLO probable
81.
Don Valley North
Jonathan Tsao
 L PLO probable
82.
Mississauga—Erin Mills
Sheref Sabawy
 PC PLO probable
83.
Ajax
Robert Cerjanec
 L PLO probable
84.
Burlington
Natalie Pierre
 PC PLO probable
85.
Niagara Centre
Jeff Burch
 N NPD probable
86.
Timiskaming—Cochrane
John Vanthof
 N NPD probable
87.
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
Sandy Shaw
 N NPD probable
88.
Etobicoke—Lakeshore
Lee Fairclough
 L PLO probable
89.
Thunder Bay—Superior North
Lise Vaugeois
 N NPD probable
90.
Oshawa
Jennifer French
 N NPD probable
91.
St. Catharines
Jennie Stevens
 N NPD probable
92.
Sudbury
Jamie West
 N NPD probable
93.
Scarborough—Guildwood
Andrea Hazell
 L PLO probable
94.
Scarborough Southwest
Doly Begum
 N NPD probable
95.
Kanata—Carleton
Karen Mccrimmon
 L PLO probable
96.
Windsor West
Lisa Gretzky
 N NPD solide
97.
Nepean
Tyler Watt
 L PLO solide
98.
Kiiwetinoong
Sol Mamakwa
 N NPD solide
99.
Nickel Belt
France Gélinas
 N NPD solide
100.
London—Fanshawe
Teresa Armstrong
 N NPD solide
101.
Haldimand—Norfolk
Bobbi Ann Brady
 I IND solide
102.
London North Centre
Terence Kernaghan
 N NPD solide
103.
London West
Peggy Sattler
 N NPD solide