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Parti progressiste conservateur de l'Ontario

Mise à jour : 20 mars 2026
ChefDoug Ford
Proportion du suffrage en 202543,0%
Projection de vote actuelle44,1% ± 4,2%
Nombre actuel de députés-es élus-es79
Projection de sièges actuelle80 [66-89]

Infolettre Qc125

Chargement…

Projection de sièges Projection du vote | 20 mars 2026 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 54% Majorité : 63 sièges Efficacité du vote | PC Qc125 Ontario 3,3 siège/% [66-89] 44% ± 4% 2018 2025
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.

Projection du vote | 20 mars 2026

35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 39,9% ▼ 2025 43,0% 44,1% ± 4,2% ▼ Max. 48,3% ▼ Probabilités % PC

Projection de sièges | 20 mars 2026

52 57 62 67 72 77 82 87 92 97 102 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Majority 63 seats Min. 66 ▼ 2025 80 seats 80 ▼ Max. 89 ▼ Probabilities % PC

Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti progressiste conservateur de l'Ontario



Circonscriptions Parti actuel Projection
1.
Timmins
George Pirie
 PC PPCO solide
2.
Vaughan—Woodbridge
Michael Tibollo
 PC PPCO solide
3.
King—Vaughan
Stephen Lecce
 PC PPCO solide
4.
Thornhill
Laura Smith
 PC PPCO solide
5.
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry
Nolan Quinn
 PC PPCO solide
6.
Markham—Unionville
Billy Pang
 PC PPCO solide
7.
Kenora—Rainy River
Greg Rickford
 PC PPCO solide
8.
Etobicoke North
Doug Ford
 PC PPCO solide
9.
York—Simcoe
Caroline Mulroney
 PC PPCO solide
10.
Brampton North
Graham Mcgregor
 PC PPCO solide
11.
Elgin—Middlesex—London
Rob Flack
 PC PPCO solide
12.
Essex
Anthony Leardi
 PC PPCO solide
13.
Nipissing
Vic Fedeli
 PC PPCO solide
14.
Oxford
Ernie Hardeman
 PC PPCO solide
15.
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
Billy Denault
 PC PPCO solide
16.
Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes
Steve Clark
 PC PPCO solide
17.
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Stephen Pinsonneault
 PC PPCO solide
18.
Barrie—Innisfil
Andrea Khanjin
 PC PPCO solide
19.
Chatham-Kent—Leamington
Trevor Jones
 PC PPCO solide
20.
Dufferin—Caledon
Sylvia Jones
 PC PPCO solide
21.
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock
Laurie Scott
 PC PPCO solide
22.
Simcoe North
Jill Dunlop
 PC PPCO solide
23.
Sarnia—Lambton
Bob Bailey
 PC PPCO solide
24.
Niagara West
Sam Oosterhoff
 PC PPCO solide
25.
Huron—Bruce
Lisa Thompson
 PC PPCO solide
26.
Brantford—Brant
Will Bouma
 PC PPCO solide
27.
Kitchener South—Hespeler
Jess Dixon
 PC PPCO solide
28.
Brampton West
Amarjot Sandhu
 PC PPCO solide
29.
Durham
Todd Mccarthy
 PC PPCO solide
30.
Windsor—Tecumseh
Andrew Dowie
 PC PPCO solide
31.
Hastings—Lennox and Addington
Ric Bresee
 PC PPCO solide
32.
Perth—Wellington
Matthew Rae
 PC PPCO solide
33.
Thunder Bay—Atikokan
Kevin Holland
 PC PPCO solide
34.
Simcoe—Grey
Brian Saunderson
 PC PPCO solide
35.
Northumberland—Peterborough South
David Piccini
 PC PPCO solide
36.
Brampton East
Hardeep Grewal
 PC PPCO solide
37.
Wellington—Halton Hills
Joseph Racinsky
 PC PPCO solide
38.
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
Michael Parsa
 PC PPCO solide
39.
Flamborough—Glanbrook
Donna Skelly
 PC PPCO solide
40.
Brampton South
Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria
 PC PPCO solide
41.
Richmond Hill
Daisy Wai
 PC PPCO solide
42.
Algoma—Manitoulin
Bill Rosenberg
 PC PPCO solide
43.
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston
John Jordan
 PC PPCO probable
44.
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
Paul Vickers
 PC PPCO probable
45.
York Centre
Michael Kerzner
 PC PPCO probable
46.
Scarborough North
Raymond Cho
 PC PPCO probable
47.
Brampton Centre
Charmaine Williams
 PC PPCO probable
48.
Bay of Quinte
Tyler Allsopp
 PC PPCO probable
49.
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell
Stéphane Sarrazin
 PC PPCO probable
50.
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
Doug Downey
 PC PPCO probable
51.
Kitchener—Conestoga
Mike Harris
 PC PPCO probable
52.
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
Neil Lumsden
 PC PPCO probable
53.
Carleton
George Darouze
 PC PPCO probable
54.
Markham—Thornhill
Logan Kanapathi
 PC PPCO probable
55.
Cambridge
Brian Riddell
 PC PPCO probable
56.
Mississauga—Malton
Deepak Anand
 PC PPCO probable
57.
Scarborough—Rouge Park
Vijay Thanigasalam
 PC PPCO probable
58.
Oakville North—Burlington
Effie Triantafilopoulos
 PC PPCO probable
59.
Whitby
Lorne Coe
 PC PPCO probable
60.
Markham—Stouffville
Paul Calandra
 PC PPCO probable
61.
Pickering—Uxbridge
Peter Bethlenfalvy
 PC PPCO probable
62.
Parry Sound—Muskoka
Graydon Smith
 PC PPCO enclin
63.
Scarborough—Agincourt
Aris Babikian
 PC PPCO enclin
64.
Hamilton Mountain
Monica Ciriello
 PC PPCO enclin
65.
Etobicoke Centre
Kinga Surma
 PC PPCO enclin
66.
Milton
Zee Hamid
 PC PPCO enclin
67.
Peterborough—Kawartha
Dave Smith
 PC PPCO enclin
68.
Mississauga Centre
Natalia Kusendova
 PC PPCO enclin
69.
Newmarket—Aurora
Dawn Gallagher Murphy
 PC PPCO enclin
70.
Sault Ste. Marie
Chris Scott [Élu avec le PC]
 I PPCO enclin
71.
Mississauga—Streetsville
Nina Tangri
 PC PPCO enclin
72.
Oakville
Stephen Crawford
 PC PPCO enclin
73.
Mississauga—Lakeshore
Rudy Cuzzetto
 PC PPCO enclin
74.
Mississauga East—Cooksville
Silvia Gualtieri
 PC PPCO enclin
75.
Scarborough Centre
David Smith
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
76.
Willowdale
Stan Cho
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
77.
York South—Weston
Mohamed Firin
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
78.
Eglinton—Lawrence
Michelle Cooper
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
79.
Burlington
Natalie Pierre
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
80.
Mississauga—Erin Mills
Sheref Sabawy
 PC Pivot PLO/PC
81.
Ajax
Robert Cerjanec
 L Pivot PLO/PC
82.
Mushkegowuk—James Bay
Guy Bourgouin
 N Pivot PC/NPD
83.
Humber River—Black Creek
Tom Rakocevic
 N Pivot PC/NPD
84.
Don Valley North
Jonathan Tsao
 L PLO enclin
85.
Oshawa
Jennifer French
 N NPD enclin
86.
Kanata—Carleton
Karen Mccrimmon
 L PLO enclin
87.
Niagara Centre
Jeff Burch
 N NPD enclin
88.
Timiskaming—Cochrane
John Vanthof
 N NPD enclin
89.
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
Sandy Shaw
 N NPD enclin
90.
Etobicoke—Lakeshore
Lee Fairclough
 L PLO enclin
91.
Thunder Bay—Superior North
Lise Vaugeois
 N NPD enclin
92.
Sudbury
Jamie West
 N NPD probable
93.
St. Catharines
Jennie Stevens
 N NPD probable
94.
Nepean
Tyler Watt
 L PLO probable
95.
Scarborough—Guildwood
Andrea Hazell
 L PLO probable
96.
Windsor West
Lisa Gretzky
 N NPD probable
97.
Nickel Belt
France Gélinas
 N NPD probable
98.
Scarborough Southwest
Doly Begum
 N NPD probable
99.
London—Fanshawe
Teresa Armstrong
 N NPD probable
100.
London North Centre
Terence Kernaghan
 N NPD probable
101.
London West
Peggy Sattler
 N NPD probable
102.
Kiiwetinoong
Sol Mamakwa
 N NPD probable
103.
Toronto—St. Paul’s
Stephanie Smyth
 L PLO probable
104.
Orléans
Stephen Blais
 L PLO probable
105.
Don Valley West
Stephanie Bowman
 L PLO solide
106.
Don Valley East
Adil Shamji
 L PLO solide
107.
Niagara Falls
Wayne J. Gates
 N NPD solide
108.
Haldimand—Norfolk
Bobbi Ann Brady
 I IND solide
109.
Ottawa West—Nepean
Chandra Pasma
 N NPD solide
110.
Kitchener Centre
Aislinn Clancy
 V PVO solide
111.
Waterloo
Catherine Fife
 N NPD solide