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Dernière mise à jour: 10 décembre 2020
Chef | Doug Ford |
Proportion du suffrage en 2018 | 40.5% |
Projection de vote actuelle | 44.5% ± 5.3% |
Nombre actuel de députés-es | 71 |
Projection de sièges actuelle | 88 ± 16 |
Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti progressiste conservateur de l'Ontario
Rang | Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilités de victoire |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | PCO solide | >99% | |
2. | Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | PCO solide | >99% | |
3. | Markham—Unionville | PCO solide | >99% | |
4. | Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | PCO solide | >99% | |
5. | Thornhill | PCO solide | >99% | |
6. | Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes | PCO solide | >99% | |
7. | Simcoe—Grey | ![]() |
PCO solide | >99% |
8. | York—Simcoe | PCO solide | >99% | |
9. | Elgin—Middlesex—London | PCO solide | >99% | |
10. | Haldimand—Norfolk | PCO solide | >99% | |
11. | Nipissing | PCO solide | >99% | |
12. | Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | PCO solide | >99% | |
13. | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | PCO solide | >99% | |
14. | Oxford | PCO solide | >99% | |
15. | Wellington—Halton Hills | PCO solide | >99% | |
16. | King—Vaughan | PCO solide | >99% | |
17. | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | PCO solide | >99% | |
18. | Dufferin—Caledon | PCO solide | >99% | |
19. | Etobicoke North | PCO solide | >99% | |
20. | Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston | ![]() |
PCO solide | >99% |
21. | Carleton | PCO solide | >99% | |
22. | Niagara West | PCO solide | >99% | |
23. | Huron—Bruce | PCO solide | >99% | |
24. | Hastings—Lennox and Addington | PCO solide | >99% | |
25. | Kenora—Rainy River | PCO solide | >99% | |
26. | Bay of Quinte | PCO solide | >99% | |
27. | Barrie—Innisfil | PCO solide | >99% | |
28. | York Centre | ![]() |
PCO solide | >99% |
29. | Perth—Wellington | PCO solide | >99% | |
30. | Durham | PCO solide | >99% | |
31. | Parry Sound—Muskoka | PCO solide | >99% | |
32. | Whitby | PCO solide | >99% | |
33. | Simcoe North | PCO solide | >99% | |
34. | Nepean | PCO solide | >99% | |
35. | Kanata—Carleton | PCO solide | >99% | |
36. | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte | PCO solide | >99% | |
37. | Sarnia—Lambton | PCO solide | >99% | |
38. | Chatham-Kent—Leamington | PCO solide | >99% | |
39. | Scarborough North | PCO solide | >99% | |
40. | Flamborough—Glanbrook | PCO solide | >99% | |
41. | Sault Ste. Marie | PCO solide | >99% | |
42. | Brampton South | PCO solide | >99% | |
43. | Markham—Thornhill | PCO solide | >99% | |
44. | Newmarket—Aurora | PCO solide | >99% | |
45. | Kitchener—Conestoga | PCO solide | >99% | |
46. | Pickering—Uxbridge | PCO solide | >99% | |
47. | Brampton West | PCO solide | >99% | |
48. | Richmond Hill | PCO solide | >99% | |
49. | Mississauga—Malton | PCO probable | >99% | |
50. | Scarborough—Rouge Park | PCO probable | >99% | |
51. | Oakville North—Burlington | PCO probable | >99% | |
52. | Vaughan—Woodbridge | PCO probable | >99% | |
53. | Markham—Stouffville | PCO probable | >99% | |
54. | Kitchener South—Hespeler | PCO probable | >99% | |
55. | Willowdale | PCO probable | >99% | |
56. | Northumberland—Peterborough South | PCO probable | >99% | |
57. | Scarborough—Agincourt | PCO probable | >99% | |
58. | Scarborough Centre | PCO probable | 99% | |
59. | Mississauga—Streetsville | PCO probable | 99% | |
60. | Brantford—Brant | PCO probable | 99% | |
61. | Brampton Centre | PCO probable | 99% | |
62. | Ajax | PCO probable | 98% | |
63. | Burlington | PCO probable | 98% | |
64. | Mississauga—Erin Mills | PCO probable | 98% | |
65. | Mississauga Centre | PCO probable | 97% | |
66. | Etobicoke—Lakeshore | PCO probable | 97% | |
67. | Cambridge | ![]() |
PCO probable | 97% |
68. | Peterborough—Kawartha | PCO probable | 96% | |
69. | Oakville | PCO probable | 96% | |
70. | Oshawa | PCO probable | 94% | |
71. | Essex | PCO probable | 94% | |
72. | Milton | PCO probable | 94% | |
73. | Don Valley North | PCO probable | 93% | |
74. | Niagara Centre | PCO enclin | 88% | |
75. | Mississauga East—Cooksville | PCO enclin | 86% | |
76. | Brampton North | PCO enclin | 85% | |
77. | Mississauga—Lakeshore | PCO enclin | 85% | |
78. | Etobicoke Centre | PCO enclin | 83% | |
79. | Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | PCO enclin | 81% | |
80. | Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | PCO enclin | 74% | |
81. | Eglinton—Lawrence | Pivot | 67% | |
82. | Scarborough Southwest | Pivot | 64% | |
83. | St. Catharines | Pivot | 63% | |
84. | York South—Weston | Pivot | 62% | |
85. | Niagara Falls | Pivot | 59% | |
86. | Kitchener Centre | Pivot | 58% | |
87. | Don Valley West | Pivot | 52% | |
88. | Brampton East | Pivot | 51% | |
89. | Ottawa West—Nepean | Pivot | 47% | |
90. | London North Centre | Pivot | 45% | |
91. | Mushkegowuk—James Bay | Pivot | 44% | |
92. | Humber River—Black Creek | Pivot | 44% | |
93. | Kiiwetinoong | Pivot | 44% | |
94. | Waterloo | Pivot | 40% | |
95. | Scarborough—Guildwood | Pivot | 37% | |
96. | Don Valley East | PLO enclin | 25% | |
97. | Windsor West | NPD enclin | 23% | |
98. | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | NPD enclin | 22% | |
99. | Orléans | PLO enclin | 20% | |
100. | Kingston and the Islands | PLO enclin | 16% | |
101. | Timmins | NPD enclin | 15% | |
102. | London West | NPD enclin | 13% | |
103. | Sudbury | NPD enclin | 11% | |
104. | Hamilton Mountain | NPD enclin | 10% | |
105. | London—Fanshawe | NPD probable | 10% | |
106. | Toronto—St. Paul`s | Pivot | 9% | |
107. | Spadina—Fort York | NPD enclin | 4% | |
108. | University—Rosedale | NPD enclin | 3% | |
109. | Algoma—Manitoulin | NPD probable | 2% | |
110. | Ottawa South | PLO probable | 2% | |
111. | Windsor—Tecumseh | NPD probable | 2% | |
112. | Thunder Bay—Atikokan | PLO probable | <1% |