Qc125.com - Ontario - Parti progressiste conservateur de l'Ontario





Dernière mise à jour: 19 mai 2021

ChefDoug Ford
Proportion du suffrage en 201840.5%
Projection de vote actuelle32.9% ± 4.9%
Nombre actuel de députés-es71
Projection de sièges actuelle54 ± 21



Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti progressiste conservateur de l'Ontario



Rang Circonscriptions Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilités de victoire
1. Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PCO solide >99%
2. Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PCO solide >99%
3. Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry PCO solide >99%
4. Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes PCO solide >99%
5. Wellington—Halton Hills PCO solide >99%
6. Dufferin—Caledon PCO solide >99%
7. Simcoe—Grey PCO solide >99%
8. Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PCO solide >99%
9. Thornhill PCO solide >99%
10. York—Simcoe PCO solide >99%
11. Haldimand—Norfolk PCO solide >99%
12. Barrie—Innisfil PCO solide >99%
13. Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston PCO solide >99%
14. Huron—Bruce PCO solide >99%
15. Markham—Unionville PCO solide >99%
16. Parry Sound—Muskoka PCO solide >99%
17. Bay of Quinte PCO probable >99%
18. Hastings—Lennox and Addington PCO probable >99%
19. Elgin—Middlesex—London PCO probable >99%
20. Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte PCO probable >99%
21. Niagara West PCO probable >99%
22. Nipissing PCO probable >99%
23. Oxford PCO probable 99%
24. Etobicoke North PCO probable 99%
25. Perth—Wellington PCO probable 99%
26. Durham PCO probable 99%
27. Kanata—Carleton PCO probable 98%
28. Simcoe North PCO probable 98%
29. Carleton PCO probable 98%
30. Lambton—Kent—Middlesex PCO probable 97%
31. Kenora—Rainy River PCO probable 97%
32. Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill PCO probable 94%
33. Nepean PCO probable 93%
34. Sault Ste. Marie PCO probable 90%
35. Chatham-Kent—Leamington PCO probable 90%
36. King—Vaughan PCO enclin 89%
37. York Centre PCO enclin 88%
38. Flamborough—Glanbrook PCO enclin 87%
39. Sarnia—Lambton PCO enclin 87%
40. Scarborough North PCO enclin 86%
41. Whitby PCO enclin 85%
42. Mississauga Centre PCO enclin 83%
43. Kitchener—Conestoga PCO enclin 80%
44. Scarborough—Agincourt PCO enclin 72%
45. Brampton South PCO enclin 71%
46. Kitchener South—Hespeler Pivot 66%
47. Pickering—Uxbridge Pivot 65%
48. Markham—Thornhill Pivot 62%
49. Newmarket—Aurora Pivot 60%
50. Richmond Hill Pivot 57%
51. Northumberland—Peterborough South Pivot 51%
52. Scarborough—Rouge Park Pivot 49%
53. Willowdale Pivot 48%
54. Mississauga—Malton Pivot 48%
55. Brampton West Pivot 46%
56. Oakville North—Burlington Pivot 44%
57. Brantford—Brant Pivot 43%
58. Markham—Stouffville Pivot 42%
59. Vaughan—Woodbridge Pivot 42%
60. Peterborough—Kawartha Pivot 41%
61. Cambridge Pivot 37%
62. Scarborough Centre Pivot 36%
63. Etobicoke—Lakeshore Pivot 35%
64. Ajax Pivot 30%
65. Mississauga—Streetsville Pivot 30%
66. Burlington Pivot 30%
67. Brampton Centre Pivot 27%
68. Don Valley North PLO enclin 19%
69. Milton PLO enclin 18%
70. Mississauga—Erin Mills PLO enclin 18%
71. Essex NPD enclin 17%
72. Oakville PLO enclin 16%
73. Niagara Centre NPD enclin 11%
74. Etobicoke Centre PLO probable 10%
75. Mississauga East—Cooksville PLO probable 7%
76. Oshawa NPD probable 6%
77. Mississauga—Lakeshore PLO probable 6%
78. Eglinton—Lawrence PLO probable 4%
79. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas NPD enclin 4%
80. Mushkegowuk—James Bay NPD probable 3%
81. Kiiwetinoong NPD probable 3%
82. Glengarry—Prescott—Russell PLO probable 3%
83. Humber River—Black Creek Pivot 2%
84. Brampton North NPD enclin 2%
85. Don Valley West PLO probable 1%
86. Niagara Falls NPD probable <1%
87. St. Catharines NPD enclin <1%
88. Scarborough Southwest NPD probable <1%
89. Kitchener Centre NPD enclin <1%
Rang Circonscriptions Projection
1. Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PCO solide
2. Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PCO solide
3. Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry PCO solide
4. Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes PCO solide
5. Wellington—Halton Hills PCO solide
6. Dufferin—Caledon PCO solide
7. Simcoe—Grey PCO solide
8. Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PCO solide
9. Thornhill PCO solide
10. York—Simcoe PCO solide
11. Haldimand—Norfolk PCO solide
12. Barrie—Innisfil PCO solide
13. Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston PCO solide
14. Huron—Bruce PCO solide
15. Markham—Unionville PCO solide
16. Parry Sound—Muskoka PCO solide
17. Bay of Quinte PCO probable
18. Hastings—Lennox and Addington PCO probable
19. Elgin—Middlesex—London PCO probable
20. Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte PCO probable
21. Niagara West PCO probable
22. Nipissing PCO probable
23. Oxford PCO probable
24. Etobicoke North PCO probable
25. Perth—Wellington PCO probable
26. Durham PCO probable
27. Kanata—Carleton PCO probable
28. Simcoe North PCO probable
29. Carleton PCO probable
30. Lambton—Kent—Middlesex PCO probable
31. Kenora—Rainy River PCO probable
32. Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill PCO probable
33. Nepean PCO probable
34. Sault Ste. Marie PCO probable
35. Chatham-Kent—Leamington PCO probable
36. King—Vaughan PCO enclin
37. York Centre PCO enclin
38. Flamborough—Glanbrook PCO enclin
39. Sarnia—Lambton PCO enclin
40. Scarborough North PCO enclin
41. Whitby PCO enclin
42. Mississauga Centre PCO enclin
43. Kitchener—Conestoga PCO enclin
44. Scarborough—Agincourt PCO enclin
45. Brampton South PCO enclin
46. Kitchener South—Hespeler Pivot
47. Pickering—Uxbridge Pivot
48. Markham—Thornhill Pivot
49. Newmarket—Aurora Pivot
50. Richmond Hill Pivot
51. Northumberland—Peterborough South Pivot
52. Scarborough—Rouge Park Pivot
53. Willowdale Pivot
54. Mississauga—Malton Pivot
55. Brampton West Pivot
56. Oakville North—Burlington Pivot
57. Brantford—Brant Pivot
58. Markham—Stouffville Pivot
59. Vaughan—Woodbridge Pivot
60. Peterborough—Kawartha Pivot
61. Cambridge Pivot
62. Scarborough Centre Pivot
63. Etobicoke—Lakeshore Pivot
64. Ajax Pivot
65. Mississauga—Streetsville Pivot
66. Burlington Pivot
67. Brampton Centre Pivot
68. Don Valley North PLO enclin
69. Milton PLO enclin
70. Mississauga—Erin Mills PLO enclin
71. Essex NPD enclin
72. Oakville PLO enclin
73. Niagara Centre NPD enclin
74. Etobicoke Centre PLO probable
75. Mississauga East—Cooksville PLO probable
76. Oshawa NPD probable
77. Mississauga—Lakeshore PLO probable
78. Eglinton—Lawrence PLO probable
79. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas NPD enclin
80. Mushkegowuk—James Bay NPD probable
81. Kiiwetinoong NPD probable
82. Glengarry—Prescott—Russell PLO probable
83. Humber River—Black Creek Pivot
84. Brampton North NPD enclin
85. Don Valley West PLO probable
86. Niagara Falls NPD probable
87. St. Catharines NPD enclin
88. Scarborough Southwest NPD probable
89. Kitchener Centre NPD enclin



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