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Dernière mise à jour: 31 mars 2021
Chef | Doug Ford |
Proportion du suffrage en 2018 | 40.5% |
Projection de vote actuelle | 40.4% ± 5.4% |
Nombre actuel de députés-es | 71 |
Projection de sièges actuelle | 76 ± 16 |
Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti progressiste conservateur de l'Ontario
Rang | Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilités de victoire |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | PCO solide | >99% | |
2. | Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | PCO solide | >99% | |
3. | Markham—Unionville | PCO solide | >99% | |
4. | Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | PCO solide | >99% | |
5. | Thornhill | PCO solide | >99% | |
6. | Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes | PCO solide | >99% | |
7. | Simcoe—Grey | ![]() |
PCO solide | >99% |
8. | York—Simcoe | PCO solide | >99% | |
9. | Haldimand—Norfolk | PCO solide | >99% | |
10. | Wellington—Halton Hills | PCO solide | >99% | |
11. | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | PCO solide | >99% | |
12. | Dufferin—Caledon | PCO solide | >99% | |
13. | Etobicoke North | PCO solide | >99% | |
14. | Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston | ![]() |
PCO solide | >99% |
15. | Huron—Bruce | PCO solide | >99% | |
16. | Barrie—Innisfil | PCO solide | >99% | |
17. | Kanata—Carleton | PCO solide | >99% | |
18. | Elgin—Middlesex—London | PCO solide | >99% | |
19. | Bay of Quinte | PCO solide | >99% | |
20. | Durham | PCO solide | >99% | |
21. | Simcoe North | PCO solide | >99% | |
22. | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte | PCO solide | >99% | |
23. | Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | PCO solide | >99% | |
24. | Carleton | PCO solide | >99% | |
25. | Hastings—Lennox and Addington | PCO solide | >99% | |
26. | Nepean | PCO solide | >99% | |
27. | Nipissing | PCO solide | >99% | |
28. | Niagara West | PCO solide | >99% | |
29. | Parry Sound—Muskoka | PCO solide | >99% | |
30. | King—Vaughan | PCO solide | >99% | |
31. | Perth—Wellington | PCO solide | >99% | |
32. | Oxford | PCO solide | >99% | |
33. | York Centre | ![]() |
PCO solide | >99% |
34. | Scarborough North | PCO solide | >99% | |
35. | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | PCO probable | >99% | |
36. | Whitby | PCO probable | >99% | |
37. | Kenora—Rainy River | PCO probable | >99% | |
38. | Brampton South | PCO probable | >99% | |
39. | Pickering—Uxbridge | PCO probable | >99% | |
40. | Newmarket—Aurora | PCO probable | 99% | |
41. | Markham—Thornhill | PCO probable | 99% | |
42. | Richmond Hill | PCO probable | 99% | |
43. | Chatham-Kent—Leamington | PCO probable | 99% | |
44. | Sault Ste. Marie | PCO probable | 99% | |
45. | Flamborough—Glanbrook | PCO probable | 99% | |
46. | Mississauga—Malton | PCO probable | 99% | |
47. | Oakville North—Burlington | PCO probable | 99% | |
48. | Sarnia—Lambton | PCO probable | 98% | |
49. | Markham—Stouffville | PCO probable | 98% | |
50. | Willowdale | PCO probable | 98% | |
51. | Vaughan—Woodbridge | PCO probable | 98% | |
52. | Northumberland—Peterborough South | PCO probable | 98% | |
53. | Scarborough—Rouge Park | PCO probable | 97% | |
54. | Scarborough—Agincourt | PCO probable | 97% | |
55. | Kitchener—Conestoga | PCO probable | 97% | |
56. | Scarborough Centre | PCO probable | 96% | |
57. | Mississauga—Streetsville | PCO probable | 96% | |
58. | Brampton West | PCO probable | 95% | |
59. | Ajax | PCO probable | 93% | |
60. | Kitchener South—Hespeler | PCO probable | 92% | |
61. | Burlington | PCO probable | 92% | |
62. | Mississauga—Erin Mills | PCO probable | 91% | |
63. | Cambridge | ![]() |
PCO enclin | 89% |
64. | Mississauga Centre | PCO enclin | 89% | |
65. | Etobicoke—Lakeshore | PCO enclin | 89% | |
66. | Peterborough—Kawartha | PCO enclin | 85% | |
67. | Brampton Centre | PCO enclin | 84% | |
68. | Brantford—Brant | PCO enclin | 81% | |
69. | Milton | PCO enclin | 80% | |
70. | Don Valley North | PCO enclin | 78% | |
71. | Oakville | PCO enclin | 72% | |
72. | Mississauga East—Cooksville | Pivot | 66% | |
73. | Mississauga—Lakeshore | Pivot | 65% | |
74. | Etobicoke Centre | Pivot | 62% | |
75. | Oshawa | Pivot | 56% | |
76. | Essex | Pivot | 55% | |
77. | Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | Pivot | 50% | |
78. | Niagara Centre | Pivot | 44% | |
79. | Brampton North | Pivot | 40% | |
80. | Eglinton—Lawrence | Pivot | 38% | |
81. | Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | Pivot | 33% | |
82. | Don Valley West | PLO enclin | 28% | |
83. | Ottawa West—Nepean | PLO enclin | 24% | |
84. | York South—Weston | Pivot | 22% | |
85. | Scarborough—Guildwood | PLO enclin | 18% | |
86. | St. Catharines | NPD enclin | 17% | |
87. | Scarborough Southwest | NPD enclin | 17% | |
88. | Kitchener Centre | NPD enclin | 14% | |
89. | Kiiwetinoong | NPD enclin | 13% | |
90. | Mushkegowuk—James Bay | NPD enclin | 13% | |
91. | Humber River—Black Creek | Pivot | 13% | |
92. | Niagara Falls | NPD enclin | 13% | |
93. | Don Valley East | PLO enclin | 11% | |
94. | Brampton East | NPD probable | 10% | |
95. | London North Centre | NPD probable | 7% | |
96. | Orléans | PLO probable | 7% | |
97. | Kingston and the Islands | Pivot | 6% | |
98. | Waterloo | NPD probable | 6% | |
99. | Windsor West | NPD probable | 2% | |
100. | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | NPD probable | 2% | |
101. | Timmins | NPD probable | 2% | |
102. | Sudbury | NPD probable | <1% | |
103. | London West | NPD probable | <1% | |
104. | Hamilton Mountain | NPD probable | <1% |