Ontario

Historique récent | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 55% ± 9% 55,3% 59,0% 53,6% PLO 25% ± 8% 6,2% 9,7% 26,2% NPD 12% ± 5% 33,3% 18,8% 12,2% PNBO 4% ± 3% 0,0% 6,2% 4,4% PVO 3% ± 2% 3,3% 4,0% 3,6%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Lambton—Kent—Middlesex 46% 64% 55% ± 9% PC 18% 33% 25% ± 8% PLO 7% 17% 12% ± 5% NPD 1% 7% 4% ± 3% PNBO PC 2025 53,55% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Lambton—Kent—Middlesex >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex

PLO 25% ± 8% PC 55% ± 9% NPD 12% ± 5% PVO 3% ± 2% PNBO 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO PNBO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 61% NPD 15% PLO 15% PVO 2% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 62% NPD 15% PLO 15% PVO 2% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 65% NPD 15% PLO 14% PVO 2% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 65% NPD 14% PLO 14% PVO 2% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 64% PLO 15% NPD 15% PVO 2% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 13% PVO 2% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 13% PVO 2% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% PVO 2% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% PVO 2% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 13% PVO 2% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 14% PVO 2% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 65% PLO 15% NPD 13% PVO 2% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 13% PVO 2% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 66% PLO 15% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 67% PLO 16% NPD 13% PVO 2% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 67% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 68% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 68% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 66% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 67% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 67% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 68% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 67% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 67% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 67% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 67% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 67% PLO 16% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 68% PLO 15% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 68% PLO 15% NPD 12% PVO 2% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 54% PLO 26% NPD 12% PVO 4% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 54% PLO 26% NPD 12% PVO 4% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 54% PLO 26% NPD 12% PVO 4% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 55% PLO 26% NPD 12% PVO 3% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 58% PLO 25% NPD 10% PVO 3% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 58% PLO 25% NPD 10% PVO 3% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 57% PLO 25% NPD 11% PVO 3% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 56% PLO 25% NPD 12% PVO 3% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 56% PLO 25% NPD 12% PVO 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 55% PLO 25% NPD 12% PVO 3% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18