Ontario

Historique récent | King—Vaughan


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 66% ± 9% 56,6% 57,6% 64,2% PLO 27% ± 8% 23,3% 28,2% 28,0% NPD 4% ± 3% 15,4% 7,0% 3,9% PVO 2% ± 2% 3,4% 2,7% 2,1% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 3,4% 1,3% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 0,8% 0,6%

Infolettre Qc125

Chargement…


Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 King—Vaughan

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

King—Vaughan 57% 74% 66% ± 9% PC 19% 35% 27% ± 8% PLO 1% 6% 4% ± 3% NPD PC 2025 64,18% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% King—Vaughan >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | King—Vaughan

PLO 27% ± 8% PC 66% ± 9% NPD 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | King—Vaughan 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 56% PLO 31% NPD 7% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 57% PLO 30% NPD 7% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 59% PLO 29% NPD 7% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 59% PLO 29% NPD 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 59% PLO 30% NPD 7% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 59% PLO 30% NPD 6% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 59% PLO 30% NPD 6% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 60% PLO 30% NPD 6% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 59% PLO 30% NPD 6% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 57% PLO 32% NPD 6% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 57% PLO 31% NPD 6% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 57% PLO 31% NPD 6% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 57% PLO 32% NPD 6% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 57% PLO 32% NPD 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 57% PLO 32% NPD 6% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 56% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 57% PLO 33% NPD 5% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 57% PLO 32% NPD 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 55% PLO 34% NPD 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 56% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 56% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 57% PLO 33% NPD 5% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 56% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 56% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 56% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 56% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 56% PLO 33% NPD 6% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 57% PLO 32% NPD 5% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 57% PLO 32% NPD 5% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 64% PLO 28% NPD 4% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 64% PLO 28% NPD 4% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 64% PLO 28% NPD 4% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 65% PLO 27% NPD 4% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 68% PLO 26% NPD 3% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 68% PLO 26% NPD 3% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 67% PLO 26% NPD 3% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 66% PLO 26% NPD 4% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 66% PLO 27% NPD 4% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 66% PLO 27% NPD 4% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | King—Vaughan

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18