logo
logo
Ontario

Nipissing


Député(e) : Fedeli, Vic (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 29 juillet 2024
PPCO solide
Nipissing 51% ± 10%▲ PPCO 21% ± 8%▼ NPD 20% ± 7% PLO 5% ± 4% PVO PPCO 2022 50,2% Projection du vote | 29 juillet 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Nipissing >99% PPCO <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 29 juillet 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Nipissing

PLO 20% ± 7% PPCO 51% ± 10% NPD 21% ± 8% PVO 5% ± 4% Projection du vote % | Nipissing 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 52% NPD 23% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 15% PVO 4% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 49% NPD 25% PLO 15% PVO 4% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 51% NPD 24% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 50% NPD 24% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 49% NPD 25% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 48% NPD 24% PLO 17% PVO 4% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 48% NPD 27% PLO 13% PVO 4% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 48% NPD 27% PLO 13% PVO 6% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 47% NPD 27% PLO 13% PVO 6% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 47% NPD 27% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 47% NPD 27% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 47% NPD 27% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 47% NPD 27% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 47% NPD 26% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 47% NPD 26% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 48% NPD 26% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 49% NPD 25% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 49% NPD 25% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 49% NPD 25% PLO 12% PVO 7% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 50% NPD 25% PLO 12% PVO 6% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 52% NPD 24% PLO 11% PVO 6% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 50% NPD 28% PLO 13% PVO 3% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 50% NPD 29% PLO 14% PVO 3% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 50% NPD 27% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 50% NPD 27% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 50% NPD 27% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 50% NPD 27% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 45% NPD 30% PLO 14% PVO 5% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 45% NPD 30% PLO 15% PVO 5% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 46% NPD 30% PLO 14% PVO 5% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 47% NPD 29% PLO 14% PVO 5% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 44% NPD 31% PLO 15% PVO 5% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 46% NPD 30% PLO 14% PVO 5% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 49% NPD 29% PLO 14% PVO 5% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 48% NPD 29% PLO 15% PVO 4% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 48% NPD 28% PLO 15% PVO 4% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 43% PLO 26% NPD 23% PVO 4% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 46% PLO 24% NPD 21% PVO 5% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 46% PLO 23% NPD 22% PVO 4% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 48% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 4% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 49% NPD 22% PLO 20% PVO 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 51% NPD 21% PLO 20% PVO 5% 2024-07-29

Probabilités de victoire | Nipissing

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 98% NPD 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29

Historique récent | Nipissing



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 41,8% 49,9% 50,2% 51% ± 10% NPD 25,7% 36,9% 28,3% 21% ± 8% PLO 26,8% 7,9% 13,5% 20% ± 7% PVO 3,8% 2,8% 3,3% 5% ± 4% PON 0,0% 0,0% 2,0% 2% ± 2% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 1,3% 1% ± 2%