Ontario

Historique récent | Algoma—Manitoulin


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 43% ± 10% 24,6% 35,4% 41,3% NPD 26% ± 9% 58,3% 46,0% 27,2% PLO 14% ± 6% 8,3% 8,7% 14,5% IND 11% ± 7% 0,0% 0,0% 11,9% PNBO 3% ± 3% 0,0% 5,3% 2,6% PVO 2% ± 3% 3,6% 3,1% 2,5%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Algoma—Manitoulin

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Algoma—Manitoulin 33% 53% 43% ± 10% PC 17% 35% 26% ± 9% NPD 8% 20% 14% ± 6% PLO 4% 19% 11% ± 7% IND PC 2025 41,33% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Algoma—Manitoulin >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Algoma—Manitoulin

PLO 14% ± 6% PC 43% ± 10% NPD 26% ± 9% IND 11% ± 7% Projection du vote % | Algoma—Manitoulin 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD IND 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 41% PC 39% PLO 11% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 40% PC 40% PLO 11% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 10% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 42% NPD 40% PLO 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 41% NPD 40% PLO 11% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 11% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 11% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 11% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 43% NPD 39% PLO 11% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 11% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 42% NPD 39% PLO 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 43% NPD 39% PLO 11% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 43% NPD 38% PLO 11% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 43% NPD 37% PLO 12% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 43% NPD 37% PLO 11% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 40% NPD 34% PLO 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 40% NPD 34% PLO 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 40% NPD 34% PLO 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 38% NPD 36% PLO 10% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 38% NPD 36% PLO 10% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 39% NPD 36% PLO 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 38% NPD 37% PLO 10% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 38% NPD 37% PLO 10% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 38% NPD 37% PLO 10% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 38% NPD 37% PLO 10% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 38% NPD 37% PLO 10% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 38% NPD 37% PLO 10% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 38% NPD 36% PLO 10% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 38% NPD 36% PLO 10% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 41% NPD 27% PLO 14% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 42% NPD 27% PLO 14% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 42% NPD 27% PLO 15% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 42% NPD 26% PLO 14% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 47% NPD 23% PLO 14% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 47% NPD 22% PLO 14% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 46% NPD 24% PLO 14% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 44% NPD 26% PLO 14% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 43% NPD 26% PLO 14% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 43% NPD 26% PLO 14% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Algoma—Manitoulin

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 57% PC 43% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 55% PC 45% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 62% NPD 38% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 62% NPD 38% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 58% NPD 42% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 69% NPD 31% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 69% NPD 31% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 75% NPD 25% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 73% NPD 27% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 70% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 66% NPD 34% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 70% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 76% NPD 24% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 81% NPD 19% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 81% NPD 19% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 82% NPD 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 83% NPD 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 83% NPD 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 61% NPD 39% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 62% NPD 38% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 69% NPD 31% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 57% NPD 43% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 56% NPD 44% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 55% NPD 45% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 54% NPD 46% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 55% NPD 45% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 54% NPD 46% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 63% NPD 37% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 63% NPD 37% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 99% NPD 1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 99% NPD 1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18