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Cambridge


Député(e) : Riddell, Brian (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 9 octobre 2024
PPCO probable
Cambridge 37% ± 9%▼ PPCO 24% ± 7%▲ PLO 18% ± 6% NPD 12% ± 6% PVO 9% ± 5% PNBO PPCO 2022 37,0% Projection du vote | 9 octobre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Cambridge >99% PPCO <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 9 octobre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Cambridge

PLO 24% ± 7% PPCO 37% ± 9% NPD 18% ± 6% PVO 12% ± 6% PNBO 9% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Cambridge 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO PNBO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 PLO 35% PPCO 35% NPD 17% PVO 5% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 34% PLO 32% NPD 21% PVO 5% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 34% PLO 32% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 34% PLO 32% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 34% PLO 32% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 34% PLO 32% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 33% PLO 33% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 33% PLO 33% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PLO 34% PPCO 33% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 34% PLO 32% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 34% PLO 32% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 35% PLO 32% NPD 21% PVO 5% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 35% PLO 33% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 36% PLO 32% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 35% PLO 33% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 36% PLO 32% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 35% PLO 32% NPD 22% PVO 5% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 35% PLO 31% NPD 22% PVO 7% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 34% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 7% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 34% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 7% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 34% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 7% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 35% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 7% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 35% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 7% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 33% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 7% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 33% PLO 30% NPD 22% PVO 7% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 33% PLO 28% NPD 24% PVO 7% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 34% PLO 28% NPD 23% PVO 7% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 34% PLO 28% NPD 23% PVO 7% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 34% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 7% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 34% PLO 29% NPD 23% PVO 7% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 36% PLO 27% NPD 22% PVO 7% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 37% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 37% NPD 23% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 36% PLO 21% NPD 21% PVO 10% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 36% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 10% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 36% PLO 22% NPD 21% PVO 10% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 36% NPD 21% PLO 21% PVO 10% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 32% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 13% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 32% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 13% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 33% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 12% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 34% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 12% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 32% NPD 23% PLO 22% PVO 12% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 33% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 12% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 36% NPD 23% PLO 21% PVO 12% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 36% PLO 22% NPD 22% PVO 12% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 36% PLO 23% NPD 22% PVO 11% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 33% PLO 27% NPD 19% PVO 12% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 34% PLO 26% NPD 18% PVO 12% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 35% PLO 25% NPD 19% PVO 12% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 35% PLO 25% NPD 19% PVO 12% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 36% PLO 24% NPD 19% PVO 12% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 38% PLO 23% NPD 18% PVO 12% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 37% PLO 24% NPD 18% PVO 12% 2024-10-09

Probabilités de victoire | Cambridge

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 PLO 52% PPCO 48% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 68% PLO 32% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 68% PLO 32% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 68% PLO 32% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 61% PLO 39% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 59% PLO 41% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 55% PLO 45% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 51% PLO 49% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PLO 54% PPCO 46% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 63% PLO 37% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 63% PLO 37% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 66% PLO 34% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 65% PLO 34% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 72% PLO 28% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 61% PLO 38% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 74% PLO 26% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 77% PLO 23% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 78% PLO 22% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 78% PLO 22% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 79% PLO 21% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 77% PLO 23% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 80% PLO 19% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 79% PLO 21% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 74% PLO 26% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 74% PLO 26% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 86% PLO 13% NPD 1% PVO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 90% PLO 10% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 90% PLO 10% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 84% PLO 15% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 85% PLO 15% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 98% NPD 2% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 98% NPD 1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 97% NPD 2% PLO 1% PVO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 89% PLO 11% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 96% PLO 4% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% PVO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-09

Historique récent | Cambridge



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 32,5% 37,0% 37,0% 37% ± 9% NPD 21,7% 32,5% 22,2% 18% ± 6% PLO 38,9% 23,3% 20,7% 24% ± 7% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 11,1% 9% ± 5% PVO 5,6% 6,3% 9,0% 12% ± 6%