Ontario

Historique récent | Cambridge


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 45% ± 9% 37,0% 37,0% 43,7% PLO 33% ± 9% 23,3% 20,7% 34,4% NPD 11% ± 5% 32,5% 22,2% 11,6% PVO 6% ± 3% 6,3% 9,0% 5,7% PNBO 4% ± 3% 0,0% 11,1% 4,6%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Cambridge

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Cambridge 36% 55% 45% ± 9% PC 25% 42% 33% ± 9% PLO 6% 16% 11% ± 5% NPD 2% 9% 6% ± 3% PVO 1% 8% 4% ± 3% PNBO PC 2025 43,7% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Cambridge 98% PC 2% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Cambridge

PLO 33% ± 9% PC 45% ± 9% NPD 11% ± 5% PVO 6% ± 3% PNBO 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Cambridge 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO PNBO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 38% PLO 25% NPD 19% PVO 11% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 38% PLO 25% NPD 19% PVO 12% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 42% PLO 24% NPD 19% PVO 11% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 42% PLO 24% NPD 18% PVO 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 42% PLO 25% NPD 19% PVO 11% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 42% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 11% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 42% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 11% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 43% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 11% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 43% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 11% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 42% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 11% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 43% PLO 24% NPD 18% PVO 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 43% PLO 25% NPD 17% PVO 11% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 43% PLO 25% NPD 16% PVO 11% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 43% PLO 25% NPD 16% PVO 11% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 43% PLO 25% NPD 16% PVO 11% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 43% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 44% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 44% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 43% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 43% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 43% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 44% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 43% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 44% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 44% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 43% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 43% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 44% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 11% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 44% PLO 26% NPD 15% PVO 10% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 12% PVO 6% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 11% PVO 6% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 11% PVO 6% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 45% PLO 34% NPD 11% PVO 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 48% PLO 33% NPD 9% PVO 5% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 48% PLO 33% NPD 9% PVO 5% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 47% PLO 33% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 46% PLO 33% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 46% PLO 33% NPD 11% PVO 6% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 45% PLO 33% NPD 11% PVO 6% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Cambridge

PLO 2% PC 98% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2026-02-18