Ontario

Historique récent | Mississauga—Erin Mills


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 46% ± 10% 41,7% 42,2% 44,2% PLO 43% ± 10% 25,3% 37,4% 44,2% NPD 5% ± 3% 27,6% 12,1% 5,5% PVO 3% ± 2% 2,7% 4,3% 2,9% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 2,6% 2,0% IND 1% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 1,1%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Mississauga—Erin Mills

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Mississauga—Erin Mills 36% 56% 46% ± 10% PC 33% 53% 43% ± 10% PLO 2% 9% 5% ± 3% NPD PC 2025 44,25% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Mississauga—Erin Mills 68%▼ PC 32%▲ PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Mississauga—Erin Mills

PLO 43% ± 10% PC 46% ± 10% NPD 5% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Mississauga—Erin Mills 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 41% PLO 40% NPD 11% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 42% PLO 40% NPD 11% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 44% PLO 39% NPD 11% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 44% PLO 39% NPD 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 44% PLO 40% NPD 11% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 44% PLO 40% NPD 10% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 44% PLO 40% NPD 10% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 45% PLO 39% NPD 10% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 44% PLO 40% NPD 10% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 42% PLO 42% NPD 10% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 42% PLO 41% NPD 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 42% PLO 41% NPD 10% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 42% PLO 42% NPD 10% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 42% PC 42% NPD 9% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 43% PC 42% NPD 9% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 43% PC 42% NPD 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 43% PLO 43% NPD 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 43% PLO 43% NPD 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 44% PC 42% NPD 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 44% PC 42% NPD 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 43% PC 42% NPD 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 43% PC 43% NPD 9% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 43% PC 43% NPD 9% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 43% PC 43% NPD 9% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 43% PC 43% NPD 9% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 43% PC 42% NPD 9% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 43% PC 42% NPD 9% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 43% PC 43% NPD 9% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 43% PC 43% NPD 9% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 44% PLO 44% NPD 6% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 45% PLO 44% NPD 5% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 44% PLO 44% NPD 5% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 45% PLO 44% NPD 5% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 48% PLO 42% NPD 4% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 48% PLO 42% NPD 4% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 48% PLO 42% NPD 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 47% PLO 42% NPD 5% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 46% PLO 42% NPD 5% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 46% PLO 43% NPD 5% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Mississauga—Erin Mills

PLO 32% PC 68% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 55% PLO 45% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 58% PLO 42% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 77% PLO 23% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 80% PLO 20% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 73% PLO 27% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 71% PLO 29% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 72% PLO 28% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 80% PLO 20% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 78% PLO 22% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 51% PLO 49% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 59% PLO 41% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 56% PLO 44% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 50% PLO 50% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 52% PC 48% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 52% PC 48% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 55% PC 45% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 50% PLO 50% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 51% PLO 49% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 64% PC 36% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 62% PC 38% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 54% PC 46% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 52% PC 48% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 53% PC 47% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 52% PC 48% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 51% PC 49% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 56% PC 44% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 56% PC 44% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 50% PC 50% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 52% PC 48% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 51% PLO 49% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 53% PLO 47% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 52% PLO 48% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 59% PLO 41% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 84% PLO 16% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 81% PLO 19% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 81% PLO 19% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 73% PLO 27% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 70% PLO 30% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 68% PLO 32% NPD <1% 2026-02-18