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Ontario

Timiskaming—Cochrane


Député(e) : Vanthof, John (NPD)

Dernière mise à jour : 12 novembre 2024
PPCO enclin
Timiskaming—Cochrane 38% ± 10%▲ PPCO 34% ± 10%▼ NPD 11% ± 6% PLO 9% ± 6% PVO 5% ± 4% PNBO NPD 2022 42,9% Projection du vote | 12 novembre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Timiskaming—Cochrane 71%▲ PPCO 29%▼ NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 12 novembre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Timiskaming—Cochrane

PLO 11% ± 6% PPCO 38% ± 10% NPD 34% ± 10% PVO 9% ± 6% PNBO 5% ± 4% Projection du vote % | Timiskaming—Cochrane 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO PNBO 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 45% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 46% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 45% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 44% PPCO 24% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 45% PPCO 24% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 45% PPCO 24% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 45% PPCO 24% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 44% PPCO 24% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 44% PPCO 24% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 44% PPCO 25% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 44% PPCO 25% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 44% PPCO 25% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 43% PPCO 25% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 44% PPCO 25% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 44% PPCO 24% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 41% PPCO 24% PLO 20% PVO 7% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 44% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 43% PPCO 24% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 44% PPCO 23% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 43% PPCO 23% PLO 15% PVO 10% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 43% PPCO 23% PLO 15% PVO 11% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 43% PPCO 23% PLO 15% PVO 11% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 43% PPCO 23% PLO 15% PVO 11% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 42% PPCO 23% PLO 15% PVO 10% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 42% PPCO 23% PLO 15% PVO 11% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 42% PPCO 23% PLO 15% PVO 11% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 41% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 11% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 41% PPCO 24% PLO 15% PVO 11% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 43% PPCO 24% PLO 14% PVO 10% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 43% PPCO 24% PLO 14% PVO 10% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 42% PPCO 24% PLO 14% PVO 10% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD 43% PPCO 36% PLO 7% PVO 6% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD 43% PPCO 35% PLO 7% PVO 6% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD 41% PPCO 36% PVO 7% PLO 7% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD 41% PPCO 36% PLO 7% PVO 7% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD 41% PPCO 36% PLO 7% PVO 7% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD 42% PPCO 35% PLO 7% PVO 7% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD 43% PPCO 31% PVO 9% PLO 7% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD 43% PPCO 32% PVO 9% PLO 7% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD 43% PPCO 33% PVO 8% PLO 7% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD 43% PPCO 33% PVO 8% PLO 7% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD 44% PPCO 31% PVO 9% PLO 7% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD 43% PPCO 32% PVO 8% PLO 7% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD 43% PPCO 35% PVO 8% PLO 7% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD 43% PPCO 35% PVO 8% PLO 7% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD 43% PPCO 35% PVO 8% PLO 8% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 34% PPCO 31% PLO 19% PVO 8% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 33% NPD 33% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 34% PPCO 33% PLO 17% PVO 8% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 36% NPD 35% PLO 11% PVO 9% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 37% NPD 35% PLO 11% PVO 9% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 39% NPD 34% PLO 11% PVO 9% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 37% NPD 35% PLO 11% PVO 9% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO 38% NPD 34% PLO 11% PVO 9% 2024-11-11

Probabilités de victoire | Timiskaming—Cochrane

PLO <1% PPCO 71% NPD 29% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD 88% PPCO 12% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD 76% PPCO 24% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD 76% PPCO 24% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD 77% PPCO 23% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD 81% PPCO 19% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD 97% PPCO 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD 96% PPCO 4% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD 94% PPCO 6% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD 95% PPCO 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD 88% PPCO 12% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD 88% PPCO 12% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 71% PPCO 29% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 53% NPD 47% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 54% PPCO 46% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 55% NPD 45% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 59% NPD 41% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 79% NPD 21% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 67% NPD 33% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO 71% NPD 29% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-11-11

Historique récent | Timiskaming—Cochrane



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NPD 55,5% 61,2% 42,9% 34% ± 10% PPCO 17,2% 22,5% 35,5% 38% ± 10% PLO 23,2% 9,0% 6,8% 11% ± 6% PVO 1,8% 4,0% 6,2% 9% ± 6% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 5,2% 5% ± 4% PON 0,0% 0,0% 1,6% 1% ± 2%