Ontario

Historique récent | Hamilton Centre


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 41% ± 10% 65,3% 57,3% 38,4% PLO 20% ± 7% 10,9% 13,0% 21,3% PC 19% ± 7% 15,7% 16,5% 18,9% IND 14% ± 8% 0,0% 0,0% 14,9% PVO 5% ± 3% 5,8% 8,8% 4,9% PNBO 1% ± 2% 0,0% 1,7% 1,3%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Hamilton Centre

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Hamilton Centre 31% 51% 41% ± 10% NPD 13% 27% 20% ± 7% PLO 12% 26% 19% ± 7% PC 6% 22% 14% ± 8% IND 1% 8% 5% ± 3% PVO NPD 2025 38,36% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Hamilton Centre >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PC Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Hamilton Centre

PLO 20% ± 7% PC 19% ± 7% NPD 41% ± 10% PVO 5% ± 3% IND 14% ± 8% Projection du vote % | Hamilton Centre 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO IND 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 51% PC 19% PLO 16% PVO 10% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 51% PC 20% PLO 16% PVO 10% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 51% PC 22% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 51% PC 22% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 48% PC 21% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 46% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 47% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 46% PC 23% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 47% PC 23% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 47% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 48% PC 22% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 47% PC 22% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 46% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD 46% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 10% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD 35% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD 35% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD 35% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD 35% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD 35% PC 21% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD 35% PC 21% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD 34% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD 34% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD 34% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 35% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 35% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 35% PC 22% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 33% PLO 24% PC 19% PVO 10% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 33% PLO 24% PC 20% PVO 10% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 33% PLO 24% PC 20% PVO 10% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 38% PLO 21% PC 19% PVO 5% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 38% PLO 21% PC 19% PVO 5% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 38% PLO 22% PC 19% PVO 5% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 38% PLO 21% PC 20% PVO 5% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 34% PC 22% PLO 22% PVO 5% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 36% PC 22% PLO 21% PVO 5% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 38% PC 21% PLO 20% PVO 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 41% PLO 20% PC 19% PVO 5% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 41% PLO 20% PC 19% PVO 5% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 41% PLO 20% PC 19% PVO 5% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Hamilton Centre

PLO <1% NPD >99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 97% PLO 3% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NPD 97% PLO 3% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 95% PLO 5% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 99% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2026-02-18