Ontario

Historique récent | Windsor—Tecumseh


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 50% ± 9% 27,0% 45,9% 48,2% NPD 30% ± 9% 58,4% 30,0% 31,0% PLO 14% ± 5% 8,1% 14,5% 14,3% PVO 2% ± 2% 4,4% 2,6% 1,9% PON 2% ± 2% 0,0% 3,2% 1,6% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 2,0% 1,6%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Windsor—Tecumseh

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Windsor—Tecumseh 41% 59% 50% ± 9% PC 21% 39% 30% ± 9% NPD 8% 19% 14% ± 5% PLO PC 2025 48,15% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Windsor—Tecumseh >99% PC <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Windsor—Tecumseh

PLO 14% ± 5% PC 50% ± 9% NPD 30% ± 9% Projection du vote % | Windsor—Tecumseh 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 48% NPD 26% PLO 18% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 48% NPD 25% PLO 18% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 51% NPD 25% PLO 17% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 52% NPD 25% PLO 17% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 51% NPD 25% PLO 17% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 52% NPD 23% PLO 18% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 52% NPD 23% PLO 18% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 53% NPD 23% PLO 18% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 53% NPD 23% PLO 18% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 52% NPD 23% PLO 18% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 52% NPD 24% PLO 17% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 52% NPD 23% PLO 17% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 53% NPD 22% PLO 18% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 53% NPD 22% PLO 18% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 53% NPD 22% PLO 18% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 19% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 18% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 18% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 53% NPD 21% PLO 19% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 53% NPD 21% PLO 19% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 19% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 19% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 19% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 18% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 18% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 18% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 54% NPD 21% PLO 18% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 55% NPD 20% PLO 18% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 55% NPD 20% PLO 18% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 48% NPD 31% PLO 14% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 49% NPD 31% PLO 14% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 49% NPD 31% PLO 14% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 49% NPD 30% PLO 14% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 54% NPD 26% PLO 14% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 54% NPD 25% PLO 14% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 53% NPD 27% PLO 14% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 51% NPD 30% PLO 14% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 50% NPD 30% PLO 14% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 50% NPD 30% PLO 14% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Windsor—Tecumseh

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18