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Ontario

Windsor—Tecumseh


Député(e) : Dowie, Andrew (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 9 octobre 2024
PPCO solide
Windsor—Tecumseh 47% ± 9%▼ PPCO 25% ± 7% NPD 18% ± 6%▲ PLO 4% ± 3% PVO 3% ± 2% PON PPCO 2022 45,9% Projection du vote | 9 octobre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Windsor—Tecumseh >99% PPCO <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 9 octobre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Windsor—Tecumseh

PLO 18% ± 6% PPCO 47% ± 9% NPD 25% ± 7% Projection du vote % | Windsor—Tecumseh 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 43% PPCO 29% PLO 15% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 44% PPCO 28% PLO 13% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 43% PPCO 29% PLO 14% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 43% PPCO 29% PLO 14% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 43% PPCO 29% PLO 14% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 43% PPCO 29% PLO 14% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 43% PPCO 28% PLO 14% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 43% PPCO 29% PLO 15% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 43% PPCO 28% PLO 15% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 43% PPCO 29% PLO 14% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 42% PPCO 29% PLO 14% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 42% PPCO 30% PLO 14% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 42% PPCO 29% PLO 14% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 42% PPCO 30% PLO 14% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 42% PPCO 29% PLO 14% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 40% PPCO 29% PLO 17% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 40% PPCO 29% PLO 17% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 39% PPCO 28% PLO 16% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 39% PPCO 27% PLO 16% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 39% PPCO 27% PLO 16% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 40% PPCO 27% PLO 16% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 39% PPCO 28% PLO 16% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 39% PPCO 28% PLO 16% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 38% PPCO 28% PLO 16% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 38% PPCO 28% PLO 16% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 38% PPCO 28% PLO 16% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 38% PPCO 29% PLO 16% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 38% PPCO 29% PLO 16% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 40% PPCO 28% PLO 14% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 40% PPCO 28% PLO 14% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 40% PPCO 29% PLO 14% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 46% NPD 30% PLO 14% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 45% NPD 30% PLO 15% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 46% NPD 28% PLO 15% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 46% NPD 28% PLO 16% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 46% NPD 28% PLO 16% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 46% NPD 29% PLO 15% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 42% NPD 31% PLO 15% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 42% NPD 31% PLO 15% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 43% NPD 31% PLO 15% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 43% NPD 30% PLO 15% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 41% NPD 32% PLO 16% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 43% NPD 31% PLO 15% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 46% NPD 30% PLO 15% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 45% NPD 30% PLO 16% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 45% NPD 30% PLO 16% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 20% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 45% NPD 26% PLO 20% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 45% NPD 27% PLO 19% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 46% NPD 26% PLO 18% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 46% NPD 26% PLO 17% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 48% NPD 25% PLO 17% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 47% NPD 25% PLO 18% 2024-10-09

Probabilités de victoire | Windsor—Tecumseh

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 97% PPCO 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 97% PPCO 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 95% NPD 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 98% NPD 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09

Historique récent | Windsor—Tecumseh



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 15,0% 27,0% 45,9% 47% ± 9% NPD 62,2% 58,4% 30,0% 25% ± 7% PLO 15,3% 8,1% 14,5% 18% ± 6% PON 0,0% 0,0% 3,2% 3% ± 2% PVO 5,8% 4,4% 2,6% 4% ± 3% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 2,0% 2% ± 2%