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Ontario

Timmins


Député(e) : Pirie, George (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 29 juillet 2024
PPCO solide
Timmins 62% ± 12%▲ PPCO 18% ± 9%▼ NPD 15% ± 8% PLO 3% ± 3% PVO PPCO 2022 64,9% Projection du vote | 29 juillet 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Timmins >99% PPCO <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 29 juillet 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Timmins

PLO 15% ± 8% PPCO 62% ± 12% NPD 18% ± 9% Projection du vote % | Timmins 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 42% PPCO 32% PLO 16% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 43% PPCO 31% PLO 16% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 42% PPCO 32% PLO 16% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 41% PPCO 32% PLO 16% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 42% PPCO 32% PLO 16% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 42% PPCO 32% PLO 16% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 42% PPCO 31% PLO 16% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 41% PPCO 32% PLO 17% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 41% PPCO 31% PLO 17% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 41% PPCO 32% PLO 16% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 41% PPCO 32% PLO 17% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 41% PPCO 33% PLO 17% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 49% PPCO 39% PLO 0% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 49% PPCO 39% PLO 0% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 49% PPCO 39% PLO 0% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 48% PPCO 40% PLO 0% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 49% PPCO 38% PLO 0% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 49% PPCO 38% PLO 0% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 49% PPCO 37% PLO 0% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 49% PPCO 37% PLO 0% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 49% PPCO 37% PLO 0% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 48% PPCO 37% PLO 0% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 48% PPCO 37% PLO 0% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 47% PPCO 37% PLO 0% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 47% PPCO 37% PLO 0% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 47% PPCO 37% PLO 0% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 46% PPCO 38% PLO 0% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 46% PPCO 38% PLO 0% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 46% PPCO 38% PLO 0% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 46% PPCO 38% PLO 0% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 46% PPCO 39% PLO 0% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 65% NPD 29% PLO 0% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 64% NPD 30% PLO 0% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 66% NPD 28% PLO 0% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 66% NPD 28% PLO 0% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 66% NPD 28% PLO 0% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 65% NPD 29% PLO 0% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 60% NPD 32% PLO 0% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 55% NPD 30% PLO 8% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 56% NPD 29% PLO 8% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 57% NPD 29% PLO 8% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 54% NPD 30% PLO 9% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 56% NPD 29% PLO 8% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 59% NPD 28% PLO 8% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 58% NPD 28% PLO 8% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 58% NPD 28% PLO 9% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 52% NPD 23% PLO 20% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 57% NPD 20% PLO 18% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 57% NPD 21% PLO 17% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 59% NPD 20% PLO 16% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 60% NPD 20% PLO 15% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 62% NPD 18% PLO 15% 2024-07-29

Probabilités de victoire | Timmins

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 29 juillet 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 88% PPCO 12% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 87% PPCO 13% PLO <1% PVO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 86% PPCO 14% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 87% PPCO 13% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 86% PPCO 14% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 85% PPCO 15% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 92% PPCO 8% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 85% PPCO 15% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 85% PPCO 15% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 85% PPCO 15% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 83% PPCO 17% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 79% PPCO 21% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29

Historique récent | Timmins



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 31,3% 29,6% 64,9% 62% ± 12% NPD 46,0% 57,4% 29,5% 18% ± 9% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 2,8% 2% ± 3% PVO 2,0% 1,8% 2,3% 3% ± 3% PLO 20,5% 8,8% 0,0% 15% ± 8%