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Ontario

Mississauga—Streetsville


Député(e) : Tangri, Nina (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 12 novembre 2024
PPCO probable
Mississauga—Streetsville 45% ± 9% PPCO 37% ± 9% PLO 11% ± 5% NPD 4% ± 3% PVO PPCO 2022 45,6% Projection du vote | 12 novembre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Mississauga—Streetsville 92%▲ PPCO 8%▼ PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 12 novembre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Mississauga—Streetsville

PLO 37% ± 9% PPCO 45% ± 9% NPD 11% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Mississauga—Streetsville 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 41% PLO 39% NPD 13% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 39% PLO 37% NPD 17% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 39% PLO 37% NPD 17% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 40% PLO 36% NPD 17% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 39% PLO 37% NPD 17% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 39% PLO 37% NPD 17% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 39% PLO 37% NPD 17% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 39% PLO 38% NPD 17% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 39% PLO 38% NPD 17% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 40% PLO 36% NPD 17% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 40% PLO 36% NPD 17% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 40% PLO 36% NPD 17% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 40% PLO 36% NPD 16% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 40% PLO 35% NPD 18% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 39% PLO 36% NPD 18% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 40% PLO 36% NPD 17% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 40% PLO 36% NPD 17% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 39% PLO 35% NPD 17% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 39% PLO 35% NPD 18% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 39% PLO 35% NPD 18% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 39% PLO 35% NPD 18% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 39% PLO 35% NPD 18% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 39% PLO 35% NPD 18% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 39% PLO 34% NPD 17% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 39% PLO 34% NPD 17% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 39% PLO 34% NPD 18% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 40% PLO 34% NPD 17% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 40% PLO 34% NPD 17% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 40% PLO 39% NPD 11% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PLO 40% PPCO 39% NPD 11% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 42% PLO 38% NPD 11% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 46% PLO 35% NPD 12% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 45% PLO 35% NPD 12% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 45% PLO 36% NPD 11% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 44% PLO 37% NPD 11% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 44% PLO 37% NPD 11% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 45% PLO 36% NPD 11% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 41% PLO 37% NPD 13% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 42% PLO 37% NPD 13% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 42% PLO 37% NPD 13% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 43% PLO 37% NPD 12% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 40% PLO 38% NPD 13% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 42% PLO 36% NPD 13% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 45% PLO 35% NPD 12% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PLO 40% PPCO 40% NPD 12% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PLO 41% PPCO 40% NPD 12% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PLO 43% PPCO 38% NPD 12% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 41% PLO 41% NPD 11% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 42% PLO 39% NPD 12% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 43% PLO 38% NPD 11% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 45% PLO 37% NPD 11% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 46% PLO 36% NPD 11% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 45% PLO 37% NPD 11% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO 45% PLO 37% NPD 11% 2024-11-11

Probabilités de victoire | Mississauga—Streetsville

PLO 8% PPCO 92% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 12 novembre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 65% PLO 35% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 60% PLO 40% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 66% PLO 34% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 70% PLO 30% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 68% PLO 32% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 65% PLO 35% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 60% PLO 40% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 56% PLO 44% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 56% PLO 44% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 73% PLO 27% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 73% PLO 27% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 75% PLO 25% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 75% PLO 25% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 80% PLO 20% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 71% PLO 29% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 72% PLO 28% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 75% PLO 25% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 77% PLO 23% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 77% PLO 23% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 77% PLO 23% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 75% PLO 25% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 79% PLO 21% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 78% PLO 22% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 79% PLO 21% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 79% PLO 21% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 81% PLO 19% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 85% PLO 15% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 85% PLO 15% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 54% PLO 46% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PLO 52% PPCO 48% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 71% PLO 29% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 94% PLO 6% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 91% PLO 9% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 88% PLO 12% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 89% PLO 11% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 93% PLO 7% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 78% PLO 22% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 78% PLO 22% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 84% PLO 16% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 85% PLO 15% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 61% PLO 39% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 85% PLO 15% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 96% PLO 4% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PLO 52% PPCO 48% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PLO 60% PPCO 40% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PLO 82% PPCO 18% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 54% PLO 46% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 69% PLO 31% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 78% PLO 22% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 90% PLO 10% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 95% PLO 5% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 89% PLO 11% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PPCO 92% PLO 8% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-11-11

Historique récent | Mississauga—Streetsville



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 29,2% 43,5% 45,6% 45% ± 9% PLO 51,1% 25,7% 35,4% 37% ± 9% NPD 13,5% 25,8% 12,0% 11% ± 5% PVO 3,9% 2,8% 3,0% 4% ± 3% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 1,9% 1% ± 2% PON 0,0% 0,0% 1,3% 1% ± 1%