Ontario

Historique récent | Simcoe North


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 53% ± 9% 47,0% 49,8% 51,7% PLO 26% ± 8% 17,7% 17,4% 27,4% NPD 10% ± 4% 28,1% 17,7% 9,9% PVO 6% ± 4% 6,7% 8,8% 6,6% PNBO 3% ± 2% 0,0% 3,2% 3,2%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Simcoe North

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Simcoe North 45% 62% 53% ± 9% PC 19% 34% 26% ± 8% PLO 5% 14% 10% ± 4% NPD 3% 10% 6% ± 4% PVO PC 2025 51,7% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Simcoe North >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Simcoe North

PLO 26% ± 8% PC 53% ± 9% NPD 10% ± 4% PVO 6% ± 4% PNBO 3% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Simcoe North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO PNBO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 49% PLO 19% NPD 17% PVO 11% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 50% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 11% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 53% PLO 18% NPD 16% PVO 10% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 53% PLO 18% NPD 16% PVO 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 52% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 10% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 53% PLO 19% NPD 15% PVO 10% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 53% PLO 19% NPD 15% PVO 10% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 54% PLO 19% NPD 14% PVO 10% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 54% PLO 19% NPD 15% PVO 10% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 53% PLO 19% NPD 15% PVO 10% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 53% PLO 19% NPD 15% PVO 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 53% PLO 19% NPD 15% PVO 10% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 54% PLO 19% NPD 14% PVO 10% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 54% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 54% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 10% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 54% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 54% PLO 21% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 54% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 55% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 56% PLO 20% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 52% PLO 27% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 52% PLO 27% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 52% PLO 27% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 53% PLO 27% NPD 10% PVO 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 56% PLO 26% NPD 8% PVO 6% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 56% PLO 26% NPD 8% PVO 6% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 55% PLO 26% NPD 9% PVO 6% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 54% PLO 26% NPD 9% PVO 6% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 54% PLO 26% NPD 9% PVO 6% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 53% PLO 26% NPD 10% PVO 6% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Simcoe North

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18