Ontario

Historique récent | Nepean


2018 2022 2025 Projection PLO 47% ± 10% 19,6% 33,4% 48,5% PC 40% ± 9% 45,2% 39,2% 38,4% NPD 9% ± 4% 28,6% 20,1% 8,8% PVO 2% ± 2% 5,1% 4,1% 1,9% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 2,3% 1,0% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 0,9% 0,8% IND 0% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,5%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Nepean

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Nepean 38% 57% 47% ± 10% PLO 31% 49% 40% ± 9% PC 5% 13% 9% ± 4% NPD PLO 2025 48,53% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Nepean 86%▲ PLO 14%▼ PC <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Nepean

PLO 47% ± 10% PC 40% ± 9% NPD 9% ± 4% Projection du vote % | Nepean 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 41% PLO 34% NPD 18% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 41% PLO 34% NPD 18% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 43% PLO 33% NPD 17% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 17% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 43% PLO 34% NPD 17% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 44% PLO 33% NPD 16% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 16% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 15% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 15% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 44% PLO 34% NPD 15% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 45% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 45% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 43% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 43% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 44% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 45% PLO 34% NPD 14% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 45% PLO 35% NPD 14% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO 49% PC 38% NPD 9% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 48% PC 39% NPD 9% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 49% PC 39% NPD 9% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 48% PC 39% NPD 9% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 46% PC 43% NPD 7% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 47% PC 42% NPD 7% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 46% PC 42% NPD 8% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 47% PC 41% NPD 8% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 47% PC 41% NPD 9% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 47% PC 40% NPD 9% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Nepean

PLO 86% PC 14% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 87% PLO 13% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 88% PLO 12% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 91% PLO 9% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 93% PC 7% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 94% PC 6% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 91% PC 9% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 71% PC 29% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 74% PC 26% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 75% PC 25% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 82% PC 18% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 82% PC 18% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 86% PC 14% NPD <1% 2026-02-18